All
Outcomes
Market
Price
AI Fair
Value
Value
Edge
Scottie Scheffler
YesNo
Xander Schauffele
YesNo
Jon Rahm
YesNo
Brooks Koepka
YesNo
Robert MacIntyre
YesNo
Rory McIlroy
YesNo
Ludvig Aberg
YesNo
Cameron Smith
YesNo
Matt Fitzpatrick
YesNo
Hideki Matsuyama
YesNo
Justin Thomas
YesNo
Cameron Young
YesNo
Adam Scott
YesNo
Joaquin Niemann
YesNo
Collin Morikawa
YesNo
Viktor Hovland
YesNo
Tommy Fleetwood
YesNo
Denny McCarthy
YesNo
Dustin Johnson
YesNo
Tony Finau
YesNo
Will Zalatoris
YesNo
Brian Harman
YesNo
Wyndham Clark
YesNo
Tom Kim
YesNo
Min Woo Lee
YesNo
Bryson Dechambeau
YesNo
Justin Rose
YesNo
Sahith Theegala
YesNo
Nicolai Hojgaard
YesNo
Max Homa
YesNo
Jordan Spieth
YesNo
Sam Burns
YesNo
Patrick Reed
YesNo
Fred Couples
YesNo
Tyrrell Hatton
YesNo
Russell Henley
YesNo
Akshay Bhatia
YesNo
Jason Day
YesNo
Aaron Rai
YesNo
Davis Thompson
YesNo
Keegan Bradley
YesNo
Corey Conners
YesNo
Danny Willett
YesNo
Sergio Garcia
YesNo
Thomas Detry
YesNo
Sepp Straka
YesNo
Phil Mickelson
YesNo
Taylor Pendrith
YesNo
Tiger Woods
YesNo
Patrick Cantlay
YesNo
Billy Horschel
YesNo
Rasmus Hojgaard
YesNo
Bubba Watson
YesNo
Maverick McNealy
YesNo
Byeong Hun An
YesNo
Sungjae Im
YesNo
Zach Johnson
YesNo
Shane Lowry
YesNo
Charl Schwartzel
YesNo
AI Insights:
03.17 22:06 UpdatedFair Value Reasoning:
With less than a month until the 2026 Masters, Scottie Scheffler remains undervalued at 18.5c relative to his dominance and course fit at Augusta. Traditional sportsbooks (e.g., FanDuel, DraftKings) typically list him around +400 to +450 (~18-20%), and adjusting for the vig and his recent form, his fair value is closer to 26c. Rory McIlroy (8.5c) is fairly priced, sitting slightly below his historical average, reflecting skepticism about his ability to close out majors. Jon Rahm (4.55c) and Brooks Koepka (1.65c) are severely undervalued; these LIV golfers have proven major championship pedigrees that far exceed current market sentiment, with Rahm's fair value closer to 8c as a former champion. Ludvig Aberg's recent form justifies a premium, and the market is correcting to reflect this.
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Divergence
There is a significant divergence regarding LIV golfers. Jon Rahm (4.55c, implied ~+2100) and Brooks Koepka (1.65c, implied ~+6000) are trading far below their odds on mainstream sportsbooks. In traditional markets, Rahm is typically the 3rd or 4th favorite (~+1000 to +1200), and Koepka is usually around +1800 to +2200. The prediction market appears to be applying an excessive 'LIV discount,' ignoring their proven track records at Augusta.
