AI Signal Dashboard
Last updated: 04.26 18:59
Top Undervalued
+19.9¢
Maximilian Eggestein(Yes)
+12¢
Mohamed Diomande(No)
+0.3¢
Elliot Anderson(Yes)
UEFA Europa League: Most Red Cards AI analysis: • +19.9¢ undervalued • Live Prediction Market fair value & mispricing alerts.
Undervalued Options Insights:
The sum of the 'Yes' prices for the three options reaches 117.9%, indicating an overestimation. Adju...
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Real-time High Yield Opportunities
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Outcomes
Market
Price
AI Fair
Value
Value
Edge
Maximilian Eggestein
YesNo
20.1¢
79.9¢
40¢
60¢
+19.9¢
0¢
Mohamed Diomande
YesNo
50¢
50¢
38¢
62¢
0¢
+12¢
Expand to view all 3 options
⚠️ Risk Warning: Live data may lag! Prices can shift instantly due to news or low liquidity. Before trading, use AI Chat for [Live Recalculate], [Check Liquidity], [Trollbox Radar], or review [Fair Value Logic] to verify.
Exotics
This is a relatively niche sports statistical market. While red cards are common football stats, predicting who will get the *most* over an entire tournament is highly random and involves identifying specific defensive or volatile players, making it moderately exotic.
Movers
April 22, 2026 - April 23, 2026, Mohamed Diomande's price dropped sharply from 55.7c to 42.85c. This was likely due to the market reassessing the red card risks and playing time expectations for each candidate as the tournament nears its end, causing his lead to shrink.
April 17, 2026 - April 19, 2026, Mohamed Diomande's price surged from 41.3c to 59.5c. This is likely because, following recent matches, his competitors failed to close the gap or faced elimination, prompting the market to reaffirm his lead.
April 10, 2026 - April 11, 2026, Elliot Anderson's price surged from 3.3c to 24.3c, while Mohamed Diomande's price dropped from 60.1c to 49.2c. This was likely due to a new red card event or a crucial team advancement during the April 9 Europa League matches, making Anderson a viable contender again and shifting market expectations.
March 31, 2026 - April 1, 2026, Mohamed Diomande's price plummeted from 96.4c to 58.4c, while Maximilian Eggestein's price surged from 5.9c to 31.9c. This was likely due to new red card events or team advancements during the tournament, breaking Diomande's previously perceived locked-in victory and prompting a massive market repricing.
March 26, 2026 - March 29, 2026, all options experienced massive fluctuations over 20c. Mohamed Diomande oscillated wildly between 60c and 82c, while Anderson and Eggestein plummeted from 34.8c and 37.6c to 18.6c and 16.8c, respectively. This is primarily due to fierce repricing driven by arbitrage hunters and the realization of Diomande's locked-in lead.
March 10, 2026 - March 11, 2026, Elliot Anderson's price crashed from 21.4c to 2.95c, likely because his team was eliminated in the Europa League Round of 16 stage. This prevented him from accumulating further red cards to challenge the leader, prompting the market to initially reprice his odds effectively to zero (before recent speculative rebounds).