UFC: Who will Conor McGregor fight next?
Sports|$14.7k Vol|
time342 days 10 hrs

UFC: Who will Conor McGregor fight next? - AI Found +13.5¢ Mispricing

AI Signal Dashboard

Last updated: 03.28 11:01
Top Undervalued
+13.5¢
Max Holloway(No)
+12.5¢
Nate Diaz(No)
+11.5¢
Jorge Masvidal(No)

UFC: Who will Conor McGregor fight next? AI analysis: • +13.5¢ undervalued • Live Prediction Market fair value & mispricing alerts.

Undervalued Options Insights:
Based on the latest reports in late March 2026, Conor McGregor is targeting a July return during Int...
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Real-time High Yield Opportunities

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What will be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?
netflix|$11.8k Vol|
time1 days 10 hrs

What will be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?

Top Undervalued
+1.2¢
War Machine(No)
+0.7¢
Gaslit By My Husband: The Morgan Metzer Story(Yes)
Undervalued Options Insights:
Based on the latest streaming ranking data, the top movies on Netflix US are not in the list of opti...
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Exotics
While Netflix rankings are a topic of public interest, predicting specifically the '#2' movie falls into a niche prediction market category. It attracts entertainment industry watchers or specific data geeks, rather than being a broad question the general public naturally contemplates.
Movers
March 24, 2026 - March 25, 2026, the price of Gaslit By My Husband: The Morgan Metzer Story plummeted from 26c to 4c, as the market realized its chances of being #2 were extremely low. March 24, 2026 - March 25, 2026, the price of The Captive plummeted from 40.5c to 2.55c, due to actual ranking data showing it had no chance of reaching the top. March 24, 2026 - March 25, 2026, the price of Trap House plummeted from 40.5c to 2.55c, caused by fierce competition and lower-than-expected actual viewership. March 24, 2026 - March 25, 2026, the price of Trolls plummeted from 40.5c to 2.55c, similar to other initially overvalued options, as actual streaming data did not support its high price. March 24, 2026 - March 25, 2026, the price of War Machine plummeted from 44.5c to 5c, because the market realized the actual top list was dominated by unlisted movies.
AI Analysis
2026 NCAA Tournament Winner
Sports|$22.8m Vol|
time5 days 10 hrs

2026 NCAA Tournament Winner

Top Undervalued
+1.9¢
Arizona(No)
+1.8¢
Illinois(Yes)
Undervalued Options Insights:
As the 2026 NCAA Tournament enters its final stages, market prices reflect the latest game results. ...
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Movers
March 28, 2026 - March 29, 2026, Arizona's price surged from 28.8c to 35.25c, likely due to a crucial victory that significantly boosted their championship prospects. March 28, 2026 - March 29, 2026, Purdue's price crashed from 10.15c to 0.3c, as they were likely eliminated from the tournament. March 28, 2026 - March 29, 2026, Iowa's price crashed from 2.45c to 0.05c, as they were likely eliminated. March 28, 2026 - March 28, 2026, Illinois's price dropped slightly from 13.1c to 11.95c, but remained high around 12c. March 26, 2026 - March 27, 2026, Houston's price crashed from approximately 11c to 0.05c after being upset and eliminated from the tournament. March 26, 2026 - March 27, 2026, Illinois's price surged from 5.55c to 12.75c following a crucial victory that advanced them to the next round, significantly boosting their championship prospects. March 23, 2026, Florida's price crashed from 10.65c to 0.05c after the defending champion and No. 1 seed was stunned by No. 9 Iowa, 73-72, in the Round of 32. This massive upset fundamentally reshaped the market's probability distribution. March 21, 2026 - March 24, 2026, Houston's price rose from 7.5c to 11.5c, driven by dominant double-digit victories and home-court advantage (prior to their eventual elimination).
AI Analysis
2026 Women's NCAA Tournament Winner
Sports|$166.3k Vol|
time5 days 10 hrs

2026 Women's NCAA Tournament Winner

Top Undervalued
+8¢
UConn(No)
+3.9¢
Texas(Yes)
Undervalued Options Insights:
Based on the latest trading data, UConn remains the overwhelming favorite to win the championship, w...
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AI Analysis
Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by...?
Geopolitics|$350.3k Vol|
time92 days 10 hrs

Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by...?

Top Undervalued
+3.8¢
June 30(No)
+0.1¢
March 31(No)
Undervalued Options Insights:
As of March 26, 2026, Russia's advance in Donetsk Oblast remains slow. While they have captured area...
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Hedging
Crude Oil
If Russia captures the entire Donetsk Oblast by June 2026, it would mark a significant breakthrough and a potential collapse of Ukrainian defensive lines. This drastic shift in the geopolitical landscape would directly impact global energy markets (Crude Oil) and drive demand for safe-haven assets (Gold). Additionally, it could alter expectations regarding the war's duration, affecting volatility in defense contractor stocks (e.g., Lockheed Martin - LMT).
AI Analysis
All Outcomes
Market Price
AI Fair Value
Value Edge
Max Holloway
YesNo
43.5¢
56.5¢
30¢
70¢
+13.5¢
Nate Diaz
YesNo
17.5¢
82.5¢
95¢
+12.5¢

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⚠️ Risk Warning: Live data may lag! Prices can shift instantly due to news or low liquidity. Before trading, use AI Chat for [Live Recalculate], [Check Liquidity], [Trollbox Radar], or review [Fair Value Logic] to verify.
Rule Risk
There is a specific trap in the rules: resolution depends solely on an 'official announcement' by the UFC that includes a 'scheduled date', even if the fight never actually takes place. Verbal agreements, fighter announcements, or official teasers without a date do not count. The market resolves to 'Other' if no qualifying announcement is made by March 2027, which can trap bettors who rely on rumors.
Divergence
There is a significant divergence between market pricing and mainstream MMA consensus. Nate Diaz has a Yes price of 43.5c, yet recent reports heavily favor Max Holloway, Michael Chandler, or Ian Garry as the frontrunners for McGregor's July 2026 return [2, 3, 5]. The market heavily overprices Diaz, and the sum of all Yes prices exceeding 167% clearly demonstrates retail inefficiency and an over-allocation of 'Yes' bias.

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