What price will Bitcoin hit on April 24?
Crypto|$73.4k Vol|
time16 hrs 16 mins

What price will Bitcoin hit on April 24? - AI Mispricing Alert

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Last updated:
Top Undervalued
+1.8¢
↑ 79,000(Yes)
+1.4¢
↓ 77,000(Yes)
+1¢
↑ 82,000(Yes)

What price will Bitcoin hit on April 24? AI analysis: • +1.8¢ undervalued • Live Prediction Market fair value & mispricing alerts.

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Highest temperature in Amsterdam on April 24?
Weather|$57.4k Vol|
time16 mins

Highest temperature in Amsterdam on April 24?

Top Undervalued
+16.5¢
16°C(Yes)
+13.5¢
15°C(No)
Undervalued Options Insights:
According to the latest forecasts for April 24, the highest temperature at Amsterdam Airport Schipho...
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Movers
April 23, 2026 - April 24, 2026, the price of 16°C rose from around 32c to 45.5c, while 15°C dropped from 41.5c to 30.5c. This was driven by the latest same-day weather forecasts which slightly upgraded the expected high, indicating a greater likelihood of hitting 16°C. April 22, 2026 - April 23, 2026, no single massive spike >10c occurred, but as forecast models converged, options for 13°C and 14°C steadily declined, solidifying 15°C as the initial market favorite.
AI Analysis
Based on historical data, what is the actual frequency of the highest temperature at Amsterdam Schiphol Airport on April 24 falling into the various target brackets (e.g., 13°C to 16°C) over the past few years?
Highest temperature in Helsinki on April 24?
Weather|$54.7k Vol|
time16 mins

Highest temperature in Helsinki on April 24?

Top Undervalued
+66¢
11°C(Yes)
+57.5¢
12°C(No)
Undervalued Options Insights:
Based on the latest meteorological observations and short-term forecasts for April 24, 2026, at Hels...
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Exotics
While weather forecasts are a part of daily life and not extremely bizarre, placing bets on the exact integer maximum temperature for a specific city on a specific date is still a relatively niche market for regular users not involved in weather derivatives.
Movers
April 23, 2026 - April 24, 2026, the price of the 11°C option surged from 30.5c to 65.5c, while the 10°C option plummeted from 42.5c to 2.3c. This was driven by real-time temperature observations and short-term forecasts confirming the daily high would exceed 10°C and settle in the 11-12°C range. April 22, 2026 - April 23, 2026, the price of the 10°C option rose from 9c to 42.5c, as earlier forecasts suggested cooler air might suppress the daytime peak.
AI Analysis
How exactly does Wunderground finalize the daily highest temperature data for Helsinki Vantaa Airport, and how does the strict whole-degree Celsius recording rule specifically affect the resolution of this weather market?
Highest temperature in Busan on April 24?
Weather|$61.9k Vol|
time16 mins

Highest temperature in Busan on April 24?

Top Undervalued
+0.1¢
21°C(Yes)
Undervalued Options Insights:
The current time is 9:58 AM UTC on April 24, 2026, which corresponds to 6:58 PM Korea Standard Time....
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Exotics
Predicting the highest temperature of a specific city on a specific date is a somewhat niche daily event in prediction markets. It appeals to a smaller audience but is not completely bizarre.
Movers
2026-04-23 to 2026-04-24, the price of '21°C' surged from ~27c to over 99c, while '22°C' plunged from 36c to near 0c. This is because the actual daytime temperatures for April 24 in Busan were recorded, confirming the daily high peaked at 21°C, and the market priced in this deterministic resolution.
AI Analysis
How frequently does the Wunderground Gimhae Intl Airport (RKPK) page update its daily high temperatures, and at what exact time will the data for April 24 be finalized to meet the resolution criteria?
Highest temperature in Panama City on April 24?
Weather|$17.6k Vol|
time16 mins

Highest temperature in Panama City on April 24?

Top Undervalued
+7¢
30°C(No)
+1.8¢
31°C or higher(Yes)
Undervalued Options Insights:
Based on historical climate data and current weather forecasts, daytime high temperatures in Panama ...
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Movers
April 22, 2026 - April 24, 2026, the price of '31°C or higher' surged from 81.6c to 95.4c. This was driven by the increasing certainty in weather forecasts as the resolution date approached, significantly boosting market confidence in temperatures reaching 31°C or more. April 22, 2026 - April 23, 2026, prices for '30°C' and lower options generally experienced minor declines, primarily due to the crowding-out effect caused by the rising price of the dominant option '31°C or higher'.
AI Analysis
Verify the update status of the Wunderground page for Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station to confirm if there is any risk of delayed maximum temperature data on April 24.
Highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur on April 24?
Weather|$42.2k Vol|
time16 mins

Highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur on April 24?

Top Undervalued
0¢
35°C(Yes)
Undervalued Options Insights:
It is already past 6:00 PM local time in Kuala Lumpur (10:00 AM UTC), meaning the maximum temperatur...
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Exotics
Predicting the highest temperature for a specific city on a given day is a typical weather-based prediction market. While not as universally mainstream as political elections, it is a fairly common novelty category on prediction platforms.
Movers
April 23, 2026 - April 24, 2026, the Yes price for the 35°C option surged from 4.5c to 99.85c. The reason is that the actual maximum temperature in Kuala Lumpur on April 24 was recorded at 35°C, and the market quickly priced in this factual outcome. Over the past 3 days, other temperature options dropped significantly as the day's high was established.
AI Analysis
Explain the resolution rules for this Kuala Lumpur temperature market like I'm 5, especially how the whole degree Celsius measurement on Wunderground determines the winning option.
All Outcomes
Market Price
AI Fair Value
Value Edge
↑ 79,000
YesNo
58¢
42¢
59.8¢
40.2¢
+1.8¢
0¢
↓ 77,000
YesNo
30.5¢
69.5¢
31.9¢
68.1¢
+1.4¢
0¢

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⚠️ Risk Warning: Live data may lag! Prices can shift instantly due to news or low liquidity. Before trading, use AI Chat for [Live Recalculate], [Check Liquidity], [Trollbox Radar], or review [Fair Value Logic] to verify.
AI Insights & Reasoning:
Positive Factor 1: VWAP Deviation Rate, 0.0040, Impact-Intense, Factor description Intraday average cost: percentage deviation of price relative to intraday VWAP Positive Factor 2: Hourly MA60 Deviation Rate, 0.0030, Impact-Intense, Factor description Intraday trend direction: deviation of price relative to the 60-hour moving average (~2.5 days) Positive Factor 3: Hourly MA20 Deviation Rate, 0.0030, Impact-Strong, Factor description Institutional control indicator: deviation of price relative to the 20-hour moving average Positive Factor 4: Daily MA10 Deviation Rate, 0.0240, Impact-Strong, Factor description Short-term defense line: deviation of price relative to the 10-day moving average Positive Factor 5: Intraday Volatility Exhaustion Rate, 0.0500, Impact-Medium, Factor description Volatility exhaustion: today range relative to the 14-day average range

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