What price will Bitcoin hit on May 5?
Crypto|$21.9k Vol|
time18 hrs 47 mins

What price will Bitcoin hit on May 5? - AI Found +26.8¢ Mispricing

AI Signal Dashboard

Last updated:
Top Undervalued
+26.8¢
↑ 82,000(Yes)
+17.6¢
↓ 80,000(No)
+15.9¢
↑ 83,000(Yes)

What price will Bitcoin hit on May 5? AI analysis: • +26.8¢ undervalued • Live Prediction Market fair value & mispricing alerts.

Real-time High Yield Opportunities

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Highest temperature in Busan on May 5?
Weather|$58.9k Vol|
time2 hrs 47 mins

Highest temperature in Busan on May 5?

Top Undervalued
+0.9¢
21°C(No)
+0.1¢
22°C(No)
Undervalued Options Insights:
As of the afternoon of May 5, 2026 (KST), the market price heavily reflects the actual high temperat...
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Movers
May 3, 2026 - May 5, 2026, the price of the 21°C option surged from around 34c to 99.5c, while the 22°C option plummeted from around 21.5c to 0.25c. This is because as May 5 arrived and actual temperatures were observed, the uncertainty regarding the high temperature was eliminated, and the market directly reacted to the finalized observations locking in at 21°C.
AI Analysis
How reliable is the Wunderground data for Gimhae Intl Airport (RKPK), and at what exact time is the daily maximum temperature data typically finalized to avoid settlement delays and capital lock-up?
April Inflation US - Monthly
Economy|$27.5k Vol|
time6 days 14 hrs

April Inflation US - Monthly

Top Undervalued
+4¢
0.5%(Yes)
+1¢
0.4%(Yes)
Undervalued Options Insights:
Current market pricing indicates that investors expect core and headline inflation for April 2026 to...
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Hedging
Gold
DXY
S&P 500
US 10Y Yield
The US CPI is a pivotal macroeconomic indicator determining Federal Reserve monetary policy and interest rate expectations. The monthly CPI release is a major tradable event in financial markets. Unexpected readings directly trigger significant repricing in US Treasury yields, the US Dollar Index (DXY), and risk assets like the S&P 500, giving this event strong macro correlation and hedging value.
AI Analysis
What is the exact scheduled release time for the April 2026 BLS Consumer Price Index report, and are there any potential risks of delay that could lock up funds?
April Unemployment Rate
Economy|$50.4k Vol|
time2 days 14 hrs

April Unemployment Rate

Top Undervalued
+2¢
4.4%(Yes)
+1.5¢
4.3%(Yes)
Undervalued Options Insights:
Based on the latest prediction market pricing and market consensus close to the release date, 4.3% a...
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Hedging
Russell 2000
DXY
S&P 500
US 10Y Yield
The April unemployment rate (typically released alongside NFP data) is a critical gauge of US economic health and the Federal Reserve's monetary policy path. An unexpected jump or drop in the unemployment rate directly shifts market expectations for interest rates, causing tradable, medium-impact volatility across FX (DXY), bond markets (US 10Y Yield), and broad equities, particularly for interest-rate and growth-sensitive small caps (Russell 2000) and the S&P 500.
Movers
May 1, 2026 - May 3, 2026, the price of the 4.1% option experienced brief volatility, briefly spiking from around 4c to a peak of ~15c before settling back to 9c. This was primarily due to a liquidity shock caused by speculative position-taking ahead of the data release. Prior to May 1, 2026, no price movement exceeding 10 cents was observed.
AI Analysis
Explain the BLS U-3 unemployment rate resolution criteria and check if there are any risks of the May 8 data release schedule being delayed and locking up capital.
April Inflation US - Annual
Economy|$198.5k Vol|
time6 days 14 hrs

April Inflation US - Annual

Top Undervalued
+2.3¢
3.7%(Yes)
Arbitrage Opportunity
6¢
Arbitrage
333.1%
Annualized yield
Arbitrage|Direct Arb
Arbitrage Plan: Buy 1 Yes share of all options. The sum of all Yes prices is currently around 93.9 cents. Since exactly one option will resolve to Yes (paying $1), buying this basket yields a risk-free arbitrage. Plan Description: The sum of the Yes prices for all mutually exclusive options is approximately 93.9 cents, which is l...
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Undervalued Options Insights:
With only one week left until the April CPI data release, institutional and Cleveland Fed Nowcast fo...
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Hedging
Gold
DXY
S&P 500
US 10Y Yield
US CPI data is a crucial driver for Federal Reserve monetary policy. A higher-than-expected inflation print typically pushes up US 10-year Treasury yields and the US Dollar (DXY) as markets price in tighter monetary policy, while simultaneously pressuring broad equities (S&P 500) and triggering volatility in Gold. This constitutes a highly tradable macro event.
AI Analysis
Explain the resolution rules for the April 2026 US CPI prediction market in ELI5 terms. What happens if the BLS delays the data release?
UEFA Europa Conference League: Team to reach final
Soccer|$15.0k Vol|
time2 days 14 hrs

UEFA Europa Conference League: Team to reach final

Top Undervalued
+1.5¢
Rayo Vallecano(No)
+1¢
Strasbourg(Yes)
Undervalued Options Insights:
The sum of the 'Yes' prices for the four teams is currently around 200.35%. Since this is the semi-f...
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AI Analysis
[Mandatory Task] Order Book & Fundamentals Comprehensive Assessment: Given the extremely low volume of ~$3.45, analyze the Order Book Depth on Polymarket and compare the implied probabilities of favorites like Crystal Palace and Fiorentina against their 'To Reach Final' odds on mainstream sportsbooks (e.g., Bet365) to identify severe mispricing or liquidity traps.
All Outcomes
Market Price
AI Fair Value
Value Edge
↑ 82,000
YesNo
32¢
71¢
58.8¢
41.2¢
+26.8¢
0¢
↓ 80,000
YesNo
60¢
45¢
37.4¢
62.6¢
0¢
+17.6¢

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⚠️ Risk Warning: Live data may lag! Prices can shift instantly due to news or low liquidity. Before trading, use AI Chat for [Live Recalculate], [Check Liquidity], [Trollbox Radar], or review [Fair Value Logic] to verify.
AI Insights & Reasoning:
Positive Factor 1: Hourly MA60 Deviation Rate, 0.0080, Impact-Intense, Factor description Intraday trend direction: deviation of price relative to the 60-hour moving average (~2.5 days) Positive Factor 2: Daily MA10 Deviation Rate, 0.0260, Impact-Strong, Factor description Short-term defense line: deviation of price relative to the 10-day moving average Positive Factor 3: Intraday Volatility Exhaustion Rate, 0.1060, Impact-Medium, Factor description Volatility exhaustion: today range relative to the 14-day average range Negative Factor 1: VWAP Deviation Rate, -0.0090, Impact-Intense, Factor description Intraday average cost: percentage deviation of price relative to intraday VWAP Negative Factor 2: Hourly MA20 Deviation Rate, -0.0030, Impact-Strong, Factor description Institutional control indicator: deviation of price relative to the 20-hour moving average

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What price will Bitcoin hit on May 5? - AI Found +26.8¢ Mispricing