What price will Ethereum hit on April 20?
Crypto|$27.2k Vol|
time11 hrs 15 mins

What price will Ethereum hit on April 20? - AI Found +12¢ Mispricing

AI Signal Dashboard

Last updated:
Top Undervalued
+12¢
↑ 2,350(Yes)
+6.4¢
↓ 2,250(No)
+3.3¢
↓ 2,200(No)

What price will Ethereum hit on April 20? AI analysis: • +12¢ undervalued • Live Prediction Market fair value & mispricing alerts.

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Highest temperature in San Francisco on April 21?
Weather|$17.7k Vol|
time19 hrs 15 mins

Highest temperature in San Francisco on April 21?

Top Undervalued
+7.8¢
56-57°F(No)
+2.5¢
60-61°F(No)
Undervalued Options Insights:
The latest weather forecasts indicate that San Francisco International Airport (KSFO) will experienc...
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Movers
April 19, 2026 - April 20, 2026, the price of 62-63°F surged from 16c to 30.5c before plunging back to 14.5c. This volatility was driven by conflicting weather models revising the expected temperature drop during the incoming cold front. April 19, 2026 - April 20, 2026, the price of 58-59°F climbed from 14.5c to 26c and then retracted to 20.5c, reflecting the forecasts oscillating between a high of 59°F and 61°F.
AI Analysis
What are the exact criteria for Wunderground to finalize the daily high temperature for San Francisco International Airport (KSFO), and at what specific time will the April 21 data be permanently locked for resolution?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on April 21?
Weather|$53.0k Vol|
time19 hrs 15 mins

Highest temperature in Hong Kong on April 21?

Top Undervalued
+4.5¢
29°C(Yes)
+1.8¢
26°C(Yes)
Undervalued Options Insights:
According to the latest 9-day weather forecast issued by the Hong Kong Observatory (HKO) on April 20...
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Exotics
While weather prediction is an established category in prediction markets, betting on the exact daily high temperature of a specific city is still a relatively niche and novelty micro-event compared to mainstream topics.
Movers
April 19, 2026 - April 20, 2026: The price of the 29°C option plummeted from 39.5c to 14.5c, and the 30°C option dropped from 16.5c to below 1c. Concurrently, the 27°C and 28°C options surged from 11.5c to 34.5c and from 32c to 49c, respectively. The reason is the updated forecast from the Hong Kong Observatory, which adjusted the expected maximum temperatures downwards due to anticipated clouds and showers, causing a sell-off in higher temperature options and converging expectations toward the 27-28°C range.
AI Analysis
Based on historical data from the Hong Kong Observatory, what is the actual frequency of the highest temperature falling into these specific ranges (e.g., 25°C to 30°C) in late April over the past few years?
Highest temperature in Los Angeles on April 21?
Weather|$13.5k Vol|
time19 hrs 15 mins

Highest temperature in Los Angeles on April 21?

Top Undervalued
+5¢
66-67°F(Yes)
+2.5¢
72-73°F(No)
Undervalued Options Insights:
According to the latest meteorological data, the forecasted high temperature for Los Angeles Interna...
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Exotics
Betting on the exact daily high temperature of a specific city is a typical micro-betting or novelty topic in prediction markets. It is more niche than macro events, appealing mainly to weather enthusiasts and locals, but it is not extremely bizarre.
Movers
April 19, 2026 - April 20, 2026: The price of the 68-69°F option surged from 19.5c to 37.5c. This was driven by updated weather forecasts closer to the settlement date, which confirmed a high probability of the maximum temperature falling within this range, attracting significant buying volume. Concurrently, options for 70-71°F and 72-73°F saw price declines.
AI Analysis
What is the exact process for Wunderground to finalize the highest temperature recorded at the KLAX station, and are there any risks of delayed updates or disputes over rounding criteria?
Highest temperature in Atlanta on April 21?
Weather|$20.5k Vol|
time19 hrs 15 mins

Highest temperature in Atlanta on April 21?

Top Undervalued
+6.5¢
80-81°F(Yes)
+2¢
82-83°F(No)
Undervalued Options Insights:
According to the latest weather forecasts, the high temperature at Atlanta Airport (KATL) on April 2...
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Movers
April 19, 2026 - April 20, 2026, the price of the 78-79°F option surged from 25c to 46.5c, while the 76-77°F option plummeted from 31.5c to 7c. This was driven by updated weather forecasts which revised the expected high temperature for April 21 upwards to around 78°F, causing market capital to shift towards the higher temperature bracket.
AI Analysis
How reliable is the Wunderground data for the Atlanta KATL station, and exactly when is the 'finalized' daily high temperature usually reported to avoid resolution delays?
Highest temperature in Houston on April 21?
Weather|$14.7k Vol|
time19 hrs 15 mins

Highest temperature in Houston on April 21?

Top Undervalued
+4.5¢
68-69°F(No)
+1.5¢
66-67°F(No)
Undervalued Options Insights:
As April 21 approaches, short-term meteorological models predict the high temperature at Houston Hob...
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Movers
April 20, 2026 06:58 - 13:28, the price of '72°F or higher' surged from 28c to 47c, driven by updated intra-day high-resolution weather models that revised the high temperature forecast upwards. April 19, 2026 06:03 - April 20, 2026 12:23, the price of '68-69°F' dropped significantly from 39.5c to 16c, reflecting a diminished probability of sub-70°F temps as forecasts updated. April 19, 2026 04:58 - 10:23, the price of '72°F or higher' briefly fell from 35.5c to 13c, as early cloud cover predictions suggested suppressed heating, though this was later corrected.
AI Analysis
Explain the resolution criteria and win/loss conditions for this Houston temperature market using the simplest language (Explain Like I'm 5).
All Outcomes
Market Price
AI Fair Value
Value Edge
↑ 2,350
YesNo
35¢
68¢
47¢
53¢
+12¢
0¢
↓ 2,250
YesNo
24¢
81¢
12.6¢
87.4¢
0¢
+6.4¢

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⚠️ Risk Warning: Live data may lag! Prices can shift instantly due to news or low liquidity. Before trading, use AI Chat for [Live Recalculate], [Check Liquidity], [Trollbox Radar], or review [Fair Value Logic] to verify.
AI Insights & Reasoning:
Negative Factor 1: VWAP Deviation Rate, -0.0120, Impact-Intense, Factor description Intraday average cost: percentage deviation of price relative to intraday VWAP Negative Factor 2: Hourly MA60 Deviation Rate, -0.0240, Impact-Intense, Factor description Intraday trend direction: deviation of price relative to the 60-hour moving average (~2.5 days) Negative Factor 3: Hourly MA20 Deviation Rate, -0.0080, Impact-Strong, Factor description Institutional control indicator: deviation of price relative to the 20-hour moving average Negative Factor 4: Daily MA10 Deviation Rate, -0.0200, Impact-Strong, Factor description Short-term defense line: deviation of price relative to the 10-day moving average Negative Factor 5: Intraday Volatility Exhaustion Rate, 0.1380, Impact-Medium, Factor description Volatility exhaustion: today range relative to the 14-day average range

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