What price will Ethereum hit on April 8? - AI Found +41.1¢ Mispricing

Crypto|$49.0k Vol|

12 hrs 36 mins

What price will Ethereum hit on April 8? - AI Found +41.1¢ Mispricing

AI Signal Dashboard

Last updated:

Top Undervalued

+41.1¢

↑ 2,300(Yes)

+18.3¢

↑ 2,350(Yes)

+8.9¢

↓ 2,150(No)

What price will Ethereum hit on April 8? AI analysis: • +41.1¢ undervalued • Live Prediction Market fair value & mispricing alerts.

Real-time High Yield Opportunities

Geopolitics|$130.2k Vol|

2k+ container ship transits of Suez Canal in H1 2026?

Top Undervalued

Arbitrage Opportunity

Annualized yield

Arbitrage|Low Risk

Arbitrage Plan: Buy Option_'No'. Plan Description: The current price of 'No' is 91.5c. Given the extremely low (almost zero) probability of 'Yes' occur...

🔓 Unlock Full Arb Plan (Pro)

Undervalued Options Insights:

As of early April 2026, the Red Sea crisis continues, and container ship transits through the Suez C...

🔓 Unlock Mispricing Insights (Pro)

The outcome directly dictates shipping freight rate trends. A 'Yes' (2000+ transits) implies the Red Sea crisis is resolved; shorter routes would effectively increase capacity supply, crashing freight rates and acting as a major bearish signal for shipping stocks like ZIM (which benefit from crisis-induced high rates). Conversely, 'No' is bullish for them. Additionally, a safe Red Sea reduces the geopolitical risk premium on Crude Oil.

Culture|$10.2k Vol|

Katy Perry confirmed pregnant by June 30?

Top Undervalued

Undervalued Options Insights:

The current market price (6c) continues to overestimate the probability. The rumors about Katy Perry...

🔓 Unlock Mispricing Insights (Pro)

This is a typical celebrity gossip prediction market. While not as routine as 'US Elections', speculation on celebrity life events (like pregnancy or marriage) is a popular public topic and a common sub-category within 'novelty/entertainment' prediction markets.

Politics|$100.2k Vol|

Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027?

Top Undervalued

Undervalued Options Insights:

The current market price is hovering at 10.5c, indicating prolonged bearish sentiment and further ti...

🔓 Unlock Mispricing Insights (Pro)

This is a prediction about the political fate of a high-ranking Chinese military official. While a standard topic for China elite politics watchers, for the general market it falls under niche, high-risk political speculation, being neither a mainstream election nor economic data.

As the Vice Chairman of the Central Military Commission, Zhang Youxia holds an extremely high status. If he were sentenced, it would signify severe turmoil or a purge within China's top leadership. Such high-level political uncertainty would directly hit investor confidence in Chinese markets, causing volatility in the offshore Yuan (CNY) and significantly impacting the Hang Seng Index (HSI) and large-cap China ETFs (e.g., FXI). Such a 'black swan' event would be interpreted as a spike in political risk premium.

[Mandatory Task] Order Book & Fundamentals Comprehensive Assessment: Retrieve the latest data from the Polymarket page for "Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison," analyze the order book depth and user discussions, and combine this with recent rumors regarding the Central Military Commission's anti-corruption drive to assess if the current price is fair or reactionary.

[Historical Frequency Statistics] Probability Analysis of High-Ranking Military Purges: Search for historical data over the past 20 years regarding the sentencing of officials at the Central Military Commission (CMC) Vice Chairman level (e.g., Guo Boxiong, Xu Caihou), and calculate the actual frequency of such purges to establish a baseline probability for Zhang Youxia being sentenced before 2027.

Elections|$10.7k Vol|

OK-02 House Election Winner

Top Undervalued

Democratic Party(No)

Republican Party(Yes)

Undervalued Options Insights:

OK-02 is one of the safest Republican districts in the country (Cook PVI R+29), with virtually no ch...

🔓 Unlock Mispricing Insights (Pro)

[Category 3: Decision & Action] Given the resolution date of November 2026, calculate the opportunity cost of capital for a long position on 'Republican Party'; specifically, convert the implied return of current odds into an Annualized Percentage Yield (APY) and compare it against DeFi stablecoin yields or the risk-free rate to determine if locking up funds for 8 months in this low-liquidity market is justified.

[Mandatory Task] Retrieve the latest Polymarket order book data for the 'OK-02 House Election Winner' event to analyze the bid-ask spread and liquidity depth given the low volume (~$1260); simultaneously, assess if the current Republican odds align with the district's historical partisan lean (Cook PVI) and fundamental 'Deep Red' status.

[Category 3: Decision & Action] Given the resolution date of November 2026, calculate the opportunity cost of capital for a long position on 'Republican Party'; specifically, convert the implied return of current odds into an Annualized Percentage Yield (APY) and compare it against DeFi stablecoin yields or the risk-free rate to determine if locking up funds for 8 months in this low-liquidity market is justified.

Economy|$23.6k Vol|

Argentina Monthly Inflation - March

Top Undervalued

Undervalued Options Insights:

Based on the latest market dynamics and inflation trends from previous months, the 3.1-3.3% range re...

🔓 Unlock Mispricing Insights (Pro)

Argentina's inflation data directly dictates the trajectory of the country's monetary policy and the perceived success of the Milei administration's economic reforms. If inflation comes in significantly lower than expected (e.g., ≤2.1%), it would be seen as a sign of major reform success, triggering a sharp rally in Argentine assets (ADRs like GGAL, YPF, BMA, and the ETF ARGT). Conversely, an uncontrolled rebound in inflation would trigger panic selling. While the impact on global assets (like S&P 500) is negligible, it has a high impact on specific Argentine assets.

[Mandatory Task: Order Book & Fundamentals Comprehensive Assessment] Given the extremely low volume (1.0101), combine the latest REM (Market Expectations Survey) data from the Central Bank of Argentina to analyze whether the bid-ask spreads for options (e.g., ≤2.1% vs 3.7%+) in the order book deviate from the consensus of mainstream economists.

All Outcomes

Market Price

AI Fair Value

Value Edge

↑ 2,300

YesNo

22¢

98¢

63.1¢

36.9¢

+41.1¢

0¢

↑ 2,350

YesNo

5¢

98¢

23.3¢

76.7¢

+18.3¢

0¢

Expand to view all 14 options

⚠️ Risk Warning: Live data may lag! Prices can shift instantly due to news or low liquidity. Before trading, use AI Chat for [Live Recalculate], [Check Liquidity], [Trollbox Radar], or review [Fair Value Logic] to verify.

AI Insights & Reasoning:

Positive Factor 1: VWAP Deviation Rate, 0.0020, Impact-Intense, Factor description Intraday average cost: percentage deviation of price relative to intraday VWAP Positive Factor 2: Hourly MA60 Deviation Rate, 0.0430, Impact-Intense, Factor description Intraday trend direction: deviation of price relative to the 60-hour moving average (~2.5 days) Positive Factor 3: Hourly MA20 Deviation Rate, 0.0170, Impact-Strong, Factor description Institutional control indicator: deviation of price relative to the 20-hour moving average Positive Factor 4: Daily MA10 Deviation Rate, 0.0600, Impact-Strong, Factor description Short-term defense line: deviation of price relative to the 10-day moving average Positive Factor 5: Intraday Volatility Exhaustion Rate, 0.1200, Impact-Medium, Factor description Volatility exhaustion: today range relative to the 14-day average range

Real-time High Yield Opportunities

Geopolitics|$130.2k Vol|

2k+ container ship transits of Suez Canal in H1 2026?

Top Undervalued

Arbitrage Opportunity

Annualized yield

Arbitrage|Low Risk

Arbitrage Plan: Buy Option_'No'. Plan Description: The current price of 'No' is 91.5c. Given the extremely low (almost zero) probability of 'Yes' occur...

🔓 Unlock Full Arb Plan (Pro)

Undervalued Options Insights:

As of early April 2026, the Red Sea crisis continues, and container ship transits through the Suez C...

🔓 Unlock Mispricing Insights (Pro)

The outcome directly dictates shipping freight rate trends. A 'Yes' (2000+ transits) implies the Red Sea crisis is resolved; shorter routes would effectively increase capacity supply, crashing freight rates and acting as a major bearish signal for shipping stocks like ZIM (which benefit from crisis-induced high rates). Conversely, 'No' is bullish for them. Additionally, a safe Red Sea reduces the geopolitical risk premium on Crude Oil.

Culture|$10.2k Vol|

Katy Perry confirmed pregnant by June 30?

Top Undervalued

Undervalued Options Insights:

The current market price (6c) continues to overestimate the probability. The rumors about Katy Perry...

🔓 Unlock Mispricing Insights (Pro)

This is a typical celebrity gossip prediction market. While not as routine as 'US Elections', speculation on celebrity life events (like pregnancy or marriage) is a popular public topic and a common sub-category within 'novelty/entertainment' prediction markets.

Politics|$100.2k Vol|

Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027?

Top Undervalued

Undervalued Options Insights:

The current market price is hovering at 10.5c, indicating prolonged bearish sentiment and further ti...

🔓 Unlock Mispricing Insights (Pro)

This is a prediction about the political fate of a high-ranking Chinese military official. While a standard topic for China elite politics watchers, for the general market it falls under niche, high-risk political speculation, being neither a mainstream election nor economic data.

As the Vice Chairman of the Central Military Commission, Zhang Youxia holds an extremely high status. If he were sentenced, it would signify severe turmoil or a purge within China's top leadership. Such high-level political uncertainty would directly hit investor confidence in Chinese markets, causing volatility in the offshore Yuan (CNY) and significantly impacting the Hang Seng Index (HSI) and large-cap China ETFs (e.g., FXI). Such a 'black swan' event would be interpreted as a spike in political risk premium.

[Mandatory Task] Order Book & Fundamentals Comprehensive Assessment: Retrieve the latest data from the Polymarket page for "Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison," analyze the order book depth and user discussions, and combine this with recent rumors regarding the Central Military Commission's anti-corruption drive to assess if the current price is fair or reactionary.

[Historical Frequency Statistics] Probability Analysis of High-Ranking Military Purges: Search for historical data over the past 20 years regarding the sentencing of officials at the Central Military Commission (CMC) Vice Chairman level (e.g., Guo Boxiong, Xu Caihou), and calculate the actual frequency of such purges to establish a baseline probability for Zhang Youxia being sentenced before 2027.

Elections|$10.7k Vol|

OK-02 House Election Winner

Top Undervalued

Democratic Party(No)

Republican Party(Yes)

Undervalued Options Insights:

OK-02 is one of the safest Republican districts in the country (Cook PVI R+29), with virtually no ch...

🔓 Unlock Mispricing Insights (Pro)

[Category 3: Decision & Action] Given the resolution date of November 2026, calculate the opportunity cost of capital for a long position on 'Republican Party'; specifically, convert the implied return of current odds into an Annualized Percentage Yield (APY) and compare it against DeFi stablecoin yields or the risk-free rate to determine if locking up funds for 8 months in this low-liquidity market is justified.

[Mandatory Task] Retrieve the latest Polymarket order book data for the 'OK-02 House Election Winner' event to analyze the bid-ask spread and liquidity depth given the low volume (~$1260); simultaneously, assess if the current Republican odds align with the district's historical partisan lean (Cook PVI) and fundamental 'Deep Red' status.

[Category 3: Decision & Action] Given the resolution date of November 2026, calculate the opportunity cost of capital for a long position on 'Republican Party'; specifically, convert the implied return of current odds into an Annualized Percentage Yield (APY) and compare it against DeFi stablecoin yields or the risk-free rate to determine if locking up funds for 8 months in this low-liquidity market is justified.

Economy|$23.6k Vol|

Argentina Monthly Inflation - March

Top Undervalued

Undervalued Options Insights:

Based on the latest market dynamics and inflation trends from previous months, the 3.1-3.3% range re...

🔓 Unlock Mispricing Insights (Pro)

Argentina's inflation data directly dictates the trajectory of the country's monetary policy and the perceived success of the Milei administration's economic reforms. If inflation comes in significantly lower than expected (e.g., ≤2.1%), it would be seen as a sign of major reform success, triggering a sharp rally in Argentine assets (ADRs like GGAL, YPF, BMA, and the ETF ARGT). Conversely, an uncontrolled rebound in inflation would trigger panic selling. While the impact on global assets (like S&P 500) is negligible, it has a high impact on specific Argentine assets.

[Mandatory Task: Order Book & Fundamentals Comprehensive Assessment] Given the extremely low volume (1.0101), combine the latest REM (Market Expectations Survey) data from the Central Bank of Argentina to analyze whether the bid-ask spreads for options (e.g., ≤2.1% vs 3.7%+) in the order book deviate from the consensus of mainstream economists.

Support

Frequently Asked Questions

1. What is PolyPredict AI and how can I access it?

2. How does the AI determine the "Fair Value"?

3. What makes the "Arbitrage Plans" unique?

4. What is the difference between Event and Live Markets?

5. What are the key differences between the Free and Pro versions?

6. Can I use PolyPredict AI on Telegram?

The All-in-One AI Copilot for Prediction Markets

The All-in-One AI Copilot for Prediction Markets

Market data provided by PolyMarket.

© 2026 SynthMind AI Limited.

Markets

AI Insights

Tools & subscriptions

Community

Policies & security

Partner

Apex Omni

PolyPredict AI Robot

What price will Ethereum hit on April 8? - AI Found +41.1¢ Mispricing