What price will Ethereum hit on April 9?
Crypto|$16.1k Vol|
time16 hrs 55 mins

What price will Ethereum hit on April 9? - AI Found +30.3¢ Mispricing

AI Signal Dashboard

Last updated:
Top Undervalued
+30.3¢
↓ 2,150(Yes)
+22.8¢
↓ 2,100(Yes)
+7.6¢
↑ 2,200(No)

What price will Ethereum hit on April 9? AI analysis: • +30.3¢ undervalued • Live Prediction Market fair value & mispricing alerts.

Real-time High Yield Opportunities

View More
Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day April 8-12?
Economy|$10.7k Vol|
time2 days 12 hrs

Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day April 8-12?

Top Undervalued
+6¢
10(Yes)
+4.5¢
20(Yes)
Undervalued Options Insights:
According to the latest reports, a two-week provisional ceasefire between Iran and the US was announ...
🔓 Unlock Mispricing Insights (Pro)
Exotics
This is a niche event focusing on shipping data and geopolitical risks. While the Strait of Hormuz is a critical waterway, betting on the exact daily transit ship count is relatively obscure for the general public, though it is a standard metric monitored by commodity traders.
Hedging
Crude Oil
The Strait of Hormuz is the world's most critical chokepoint for crude oil transit. An abnormally sharp decline in ship transits through the strait usually indicates a major geopolitical crisis in the region (e.g., blockades, war), which would directly cause crude oil prices to spike. Therefore, this metric serves as a strong correlated hedge for crude oil futures.
AI Analysis
Based on IMF Portwatch data over the past year, what are the historical daily average and maximum peak numbers of ship transits through the Strait of Hormuz to evaluate the realistic probability of hitting 60 ships between April 8-12?
Kentucky Democratic Senate Primary Winner
Politics|$18.3k Vol|
time39 days 12 hrs

Kentucky Democratic Senate Primary Winner

Top Undervalued
+5¢
Charles Booker(No)
+2¢
Amy McGrath(Yes)
Undervalued Options Insights:
Charles Booker's price has stabilized around 79c, with Amy McGrath at 17.5c. While Booker maintains ...
🔓 Unlock Mispricing Insights (Pro)
AI Analysis
[Mandatory Task] Order Book & Fundamentals Comprehensive Assessment: Is the current volume of $4381 sufficient for effective price discovery? Analyze the bid-ask spread for prominent candidates like Amy McGrath and Charles Booker, and combine this with local Kentucky news to assess if there is significant mispricing or a liquidity trap.
Freddie Mac IPO Closing Market Cap
Finance|$191.9k Vol|
time81 days 12 hrs

Freddie Mac IPO Closing Market Cap

Top Undervalued
+11.2¢
No IPO by June 30, 2026(Yes)
Arbitrage Opportunity
2¢
Arbitrage
10.84%
Annualized yield
Arbitrage|Direct Arb
Arbitrage Plan: Buy YES shares for all options to construct a risk-free arbitrage portfolio. Plan Description: This is a mutually exclusive and exhaustive market. The sum of the YES prices for all options is: 88...
🔓 Unlock Full Arb Plan (Pro)
Undervalued Options Insights:
As of April 9, 2026, only ~81 days remain until the June 30 deadline. For a massive Government-Spons...
🔓 Unlock Mispricing Insights (Pro)
Rule Risk
High risk regarding the calculation definition. The GSE capital structure is unique, involving government-held Senior Preferred stock and warrants for 79.9% of common equity. The trap lies in the definition of 'Shares Outstanding': if the government has not fully exercised warrants or converted stakes by Day 1, the 'Shares Outstanding' listed on the exchange could be far lower than the 'Fully Diluted' count. This means even if the company's valuation is $500B, the calculated 'Market Cap' (Listed Shares x Price) could be artificially low (e.g., <$150B), creating a discrepancy between economic value and the resolution figure. Additionally, the distinction between a formal 'IPO' and a mere 'Uplisting' is ambiguous for GSEs.
Hedging
FMCC
US 10Y
FNMA
This event directly dictates the fate of Freddie Mac (FMCC) and Fannie Mae (FNMA) shares. A successful IPO with a high market cap implies a 'Recap & Release' scenario, potentially sending shares multi-bagging. Conversely, 'No IPO' or a harsh dilution plan could crush the stock. Additionally, the liquidity and capital structure of GSEs impact MBS spreads, causing moderate ripple effects on the US 10Y Yield and the Financial sector (XLF) which holds significant GSE debt.
Divergence
There is a slight divergence between market pricing and objective reality. Based on the fundamental mechanics of the IPO process, completing a massive IPO within 81 days without an S-1 filing is impossible (0% probability), making the true probability of 'No IPO' practically 100%. However, the prediction market prices 'No IPO' at only 88.85%. This mispricing is primarily driven by capital inefficiency and the presence of long-tail speculative bids.
AI Analysis
[Mandatory Task] Order Book & Fundamentals Comprehensive Assessment: Retrieve the latest predictions on Polymarket regarding the Freddie Mac IPO, analyze the implied probabilities of the 'No IPO by June 30, 2026' option versus the specific market cap brackets, and assess whether the market is underpricing regulatory delay risks given the FHFA's timeline and the current liquidity depth.
Highest temperature in London on April 10?
Weather|$81.2k Vol|
time1 days 0 hrs

Highest temperature in London on April 10?

Top Undervalued
+0.5¢
19°C(No)
+0.4¢
20°C(No)
Undervalued Options Insights:
The latest weather forecasts consistently predict that the highest temperature in London (including ...
🔓 Unlock Mispricing Insights (Pro)
Movers
April 6, 2026 - April 9, 2026, the price of '16°C or below' continuously surged from 41c to ~98c, while the price of '17°C' crashed from 29c to 1.25c, and higher temperature options like '21°C' and '22°C' plummeted from above 30c to near zero. This was driven by the approaching target date (April 10), which resulted in highly accurate and convergent weather forecasts explicitly showing a maximum temperature of only 13°C-14°C, completely ruling out the possibility of reaching 17°C or higher.
AI Analysis
Based on historical weather data for London on April 10th, what is the frequency of the highest temperature falling into these specific brackets (from 16°C or below to 26°C or higher)?
Will Victor Wembanyama record a quadruple double this season?
Sports|$67.6k Vol|
time2 days 20 hrs

Will Victor Wembanyama record a quadruple double this season?

Top Undervalued
+0.4¢
(Yes)
Undervalued Options Insights:
With less than 3 days remaining in the 2025-2026 NBA regular season, the Spurs have at most 1-2 game...
🔓 Unlock Mispricing Insights (Pro)
All Outcomes
Market Price
AI Fair Value
Value Edge
↓ 2,150
YesNo
42¢
63¢
72.3¢
27.7¢
+30.3¢
0¢
↓ 2,100
YesNo
9¢
93¢
31.8¢
68.2¢
+22.8¢
0¢

Expand to view all 14 options

⚠️ Risk Warning: Live data may lag! Prices can shift instantly due to news or low liquidity. Before trading, use AI Chat for [Live Recalculate], [Check Liquidity], [Trollbox Radar], or review [Fair Value Logic] to verify.
AI Insights & Reasoning:
Positive Factor 1: VWAP Deviation Rate, 0.0040, Impact-Intense, Factor description Intraday average cost: percentage deviation of price relative to intraday VWAP Positive Factor 2: Hourly MA60 Deviation Rate, 0.0110, Impact-Intense, Factor description Intraday trend direction: deviation of price relative to the 60-hour moving average (~2.5 days) Positive Factor 3: Daily MA10 Deviation Rate, 0.0300, Impact-Strong, Factor description Short-term defense line: deviation of price relative to the 10-day moving average Positive Factor 4: Intraday Volatility Exhaustion Rate, 0.0240, Impact-Medium, Factor description Volatility exhaustion: today range relative to the 14-day average range Negative Factor 1: Hourly MA20 Deviation Rate, -0.0020, Impact-Strong, Factor description Institutional control indicator: deviation of price relative to the 20-hour moving average

Support

Frequently Asked Questions

1. What is PolyPredict AI and how can I access it?
2. How does the AI determine the "Fair Value"?
3. What makes the "Arbitrage Plans" unique?
4. What is the difference between Event and Live Markets?
5. What are the key differences between the Free and Pro versions?
6. Can I use PolyPredict AI on Telegram?

The All-in-One AI Copilot for Prediction Markets

The All-in-One AI Copilot for Prediction Markets

PolyPredict AIPolyPredict AI
TwitterTelegramEmail
English

Market data provided by PolyMarket.

© 2026 SynthMind AI Limited.

PolyPredict AI Robot