What price will Ethereum hit on March 29?
Crypto|$14.4k Vol|
time17 hrs 24 mins

What price will Ethereum hit on March 29? - AI Mispricing Alert

AI Signal Dashboard

Last updated:
Top Undervalued
+7.8¢
↑ 2,050(Yes)
+5.2¢
↑ 2,100(Yes)
+1.2¢
↑ 2,150(Yes)

What price will Ethereum hit on March 29? AI analysis: • +7.8¢ undervalued • Live Prediction Market fair value & mispricing alerts.

Real-time High Yield Opportunities

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What will be the top global Netflix movie this week?
netflix|$25.0k Vol|
time1 days 13 hrs

What will be the top global Netflix movie this week?

Top Undervalued
+1.9¢
War Machine(No)
+1.3¢
Trolls(No)
Undervalued Options Insights:
Based on the latest streaming data tracking, recently released hit movies not included in the option...
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Movers
Mar 25, 2026 - Mar 26, 2026, the price of 'War Machine' plummeted from 11c to 3.4c, eventually settling around 1.3c, as real-time tracking showed its viewership falling short of unlisted competitors. Mar 24, 2026 - Mar 26, 2026, the price of 'Trolls' plummeted from 25.5c to 1.45c, as weekend viewership data confirmed the catalog title could not maintain the top spot against unlisted new releases.
AI Analysis
[Mandatory Task] Order Book & Fundamentals Comprehensive Assessment: Retrieve the latest global data from top10.netflix.com and FlixPatrol to analyze if 'Peaky Blinders: The Immortal Man' (released March 20) is dominating the global charts but missing from the options, creating a massive 'Other' outcome risk. Also, assess the risk of 'Gaslit By My Husband' performing well in the US but failing to capture the Global #1 spot.
Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on March 29?
Weather|$62.6k Vol|
time1 hrs 24 mins

Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on March 29?

Top Undervalued
+11.5¢
30°C(Yes)
+9.4¢
27°C(No)
Undervalued Options Insights:
Current market prices are heavily concentrated in the 28°C to 30°C range, with 29°C being the most p...
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Rule Risk
Moderate risk exists. The title generically mentions 'Buenos Aires', but rules specifically designate the 'Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station (SAEZ)'. This airport is outside the city center, and its temperatures can differ from downtown. Furthermore, the strict reliance on Wunderground and rounding to whole degrees Celsius means traders using other weather apps might be misled.
Movers
March 28, 2026 - March 29, 2026: The prices for the 27°C and 28°C options rebounded from around 4c and 15c to 14.2c and 24.5c respectively, while the 31°C and '33°C or higher' options plummeted to 7.5c and below 1c. This was caused by the latest weather forecasts showing incoming rain that will suppress extreme heat on the resolution day, prompting the market to price out temperatures above 31°C. March 25, 2026 - March 27, 2026: The prices for the 27°C and 28°C options plummeted from 25.5c and 28c down to approximately 3c and 6c, respectively. Meanwhile, the '33°C or higher' option surged from 1.5c to a peak of 16.45c. This was caused by updated meteorological models indicating a significant warming trend, drastically shifting the expected high temperature upwards.
Divergence
There is a notable divergence. Several mainstream public weather forecasts (e.g., Google Weather, AccuWeather) predict a high of 26°C to 27°C for Ezeiza on March 29 with incoming thunderstorms. However, the prediction market heavily favors the 28°C to 30°C range. This discrepancy may be due to the specific microclimate data of the Wunderground station differing from general models, or market participants anticipating that the cold front/rain will arrive only after the daily high temperature has already been reached.
AI Analysis
Verify the Wunderground page for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport (SAEZ) to confirm how quickly and reliably they finalize daily high temperature data, and assess any potential risks of data outages on March 29.
"Hoppers" 4th Weekend Box Office
Culture|$62.7k Vol|
time13 hrs 24 mins

"Hoppers" 4th Weekend Box Office

Top Undervalued
+68.5¢
12-13m(No)
+42.6¢
10-11m(Yes)
Undervalued Options Insights:
Based on the latest market data, the 10-11m and 11-12m brackets remain the most likely outcomes. Con...
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Movers
March 24, 2026 - March 27, 2026, prices across all brackets continued to experience wild fluctuations. For example, the '<10m' Yes price dropped from 43.5c to 11c before rebounding to 31.5c; '10-11m' Yes price swung heavily between 14c and 52c; '11-12m' Yes price also dropped from 44.5c to 14.5c. The reason is extreme illiquidity in this market, where minor trades cause massive price deviations. March 24, 2026 - March 26, 2026, prices across all brackets experienced wild fluctuations. For instance, the '10-11m' Yes price surged from 14c to 52c on March 25, before settling at 34c; '11-12m' Yes price also swung heavily between 15.5c and 44.5c. The reason is extreme illiquidity in this market, where minor trades cause massive price deviations.
AI Analysis
[Mandatory Task] Retrieve the latest box office projections for 'Hoppers' 4th weekend, visit the Polymarket page to analyze the order book spread given the extremely low volume ($33.5), and assess the fair value of each bracket based on last week's trend.
What will be the top global Netflix show this week?
Culture|$50.1k Vol|
time1 days 13 hrs

What will be the top global Netflix show this week?

Top Undervalued
+1.7¢
Virgin River: Season 7(Yes)
+1.2¢
Bridgerton: Season 4(No)
Undervalued Options Insights:
As the tracking week nears its end (concluding Sunday), ONE PIECE Season 2 has thoroughly cemented i...
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Movers
March 27, 2026 - March 28, 2026: The price of ONE PIECE: Season 2 surged from 68.5c to 95.5c, as the tracking period nears its end and market confidence in it topping the English TV list has crystallized into near certainty, leading to a heavy sell-off of other options. March 25, 2026 - March 26, 2026: The price of ONE PIECE: Season 2 surged from 25c to a peak of 78.5c before settling around 67c, driven by market confidence that its viewership hours significantly outpaced competitors, alleviating concerns of a third-week drop-off. March 25, 2026 - March 26, 2026: The prices of A Friend, A Murderer: Limited Series and The TikTok Killer: Limited Series plummeted from ~8c to under 1c, as traders realized these are non-English series and thus ineligible for the English-only tracking list.
AI Analysis
Visit the Polymarket page for 'Top Global Netflix Show' to analyze the order book depth and user sentiment, determining if the high odds for 'ONE PIECE: Season 2' or 'Bridgerton: Season 4' reflect actual viewership dominance or just speculative hype, and update the fair value assessment.
ICE Shooter fired/resigns by March 31?
Trump|$311.5k Vol|
time1 days 13 hrs

ICE Shooter fired/resigns by March 31?

Top Undervalued
+0.3¢
(No)
Undervalued Options Insights:
With less than 2 days remaining until March 31, the probability of 'Yes' has effectively reached zer...
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Exotics
This is a market derived from specific socio-political news, focusing on the career fate of a specific law enforcement officer. While not completely absurd (it's a current event topic), it is highly niche and specific, differing from broad election or economic indicator markets, giving it a moderate level of novelty.
AI Analysis
[Mandatory Task] Order Book & Fundamentals Comprehensive Assessment: Retrieve the latest investigation updates on the Jan 7, 2026, Minneapolis ICE shooting, analyze the order book depth and user discussions for this $277k volume market, and reassess the fair value of a termination occurring before March 31 given federal employee protection laws.
All Outcomes
Market Price
AI Fair Value
Value Edge
↑ 2,050
YesNo
32¢
68¢
39.8¢
60.2¢
+7.8¢
0¢
↑ 2,100
YesNo
5¢
95¢
10.2¢
89.8¢
+5.2¢
0¢

Expand to view all 14 options

⚠️ Risk Warning: Live data may lag! Prices can shift instantly due to news or low liquidity. Before trading, use AI Chat for [Live Recalculate], [Check Liquidity], [Trollbox Radar], or review [Fair Value Logic] to verify.
AI Insights & Reasoning:
Negative Factor 1: VWAP Deviation Rate, -0.0030, Impact-Intense, Factor description Intraday average cost: percentage deviation of price relative to intraday VWAP Negative Factor 2: Hourly MA60 Deviation Rate, -0.0080, Impact-Intense, Factor description Intraday trend direction: deviation of price relative to the 60-hour moving average (~2.5 days) Negative Factor 3: Hourly MA20 Deviation Rate, -0.0070, Impact-Strong, Factor description Institutional control indicator: deviation of price relative to the 20-hour moving average Negative Factor 4: Daily MA10 Deviation Rate, -0.0400, Impact-Strong, Factor description Short-term defense line: deviation of price relative to the 10-day moving average Negative Factor 5: Intraday Volatility Exhaustion Rate, 0.0390, Impact-Medium, Factor description Volatility exhaustion: today range relative to the 14-day average range

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