What will be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?
Culture|$4,331 Vol|
time3 days 0 hrs

What will be the #2 US Netflix movie this week? - AI Mispricing Alert

AI Signal Dashboard

Last updated: 14 minutes ago
Top Undervalued
+0.4¢
Beast(Yes)
+0.4¢
Untold: Jail Blazers(No)
+0.2¢
Black and Blue(Yes)

What will be the #2 US Netflix movie this week? AI analysis: • +0.4¢ undervalued • Live Prediction Market fair value & mispricing alerts.

Undervalued Options Insights:
The Yes prices for all listed options have crashed to 5c or below over the past day, with the sum of...
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Real-time High Yield Opportunities

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Highest temperature in Milan on April 18?
Weather|$30.3k Vol|
time12 hrs 45 mins

Highest temperature in Milan on April 18?

Top Undervalued
+5.5¢
24°C(No)
+4¢
23°C(Yes)
Undervalued Options Insights:
Based on the latest weather forecasts and market trends, the highest temperature in Milan (Malpensa ...
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Movers
April 16, 2026 - April 17, 2026, the price of the 25°C option surged from 14.5c to 38.5c, as the latest meteorological forecasts closer to the resolution date revised the expected high temperature upwards to around 25°C. April 16, 2026 - April 17, 2026, the price of the 23°C option plummeted from 30.5c to 12.5c, because the probability of settling at 23°C significantly decreased with the upward revision in temperature forecasts. April 16, 2026 - April 17, 2026, the price of the 24°C option rose from 20.5c to 35.5c, peaking at 37.5c, indicating that 24°C and 25°C have become the primary contested range.
AI Analysis
Check the historical reliability and update frequency of the Wunderground Malpensa Intl Airport (LIMC) data source to confirm there are no risks of missing or delayed maximum temperature records for April 18.
Highest temperature in Lagos on April 18?
Weather|$17.5k Vol|
time12 hrs 45 mins

Highest temperature in Lagos on April 18?

Top Undervalued
+10¢
32°C(No)
+8.5¢
33°C(Yes)
Undervalued Options Insights:
According to the latest forecasts from Wunderground [2], Lagos is expected to reach a high between 8...
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Exotics
While weather forecasting is a standard derivative category in prediction markets, betting on the exact daily high temperature at a specific weather station in Lagos, Nigeria, on a random day is a niche topic that the general public would not typically think about or monitor.
Movers
Between 09:18 and 13:38 on April 16, 2026, the 35°C option spiked from 7.5c to 27c before dropping to 14c. During the same window, the 33°C option plummeted from 37.5c to 18.5c and rebounded, and 31°C crashed from 18c to 4.5c. This extreme volatility was driven by shifting near-term weather models regarding the exact timing of thunderstorms, causing wild speculation on the probability of a temperature spike.
Divergence
Mainstream weather forecasts (e.g., Wunderground [2]) predict peak temperatures between 31°C and 32°C [2], yet the prediction market places the highest probabilities on 33°C (29c) and 34°C (24.5c). This divergence likely occurs because forecast models tend to be conservative with thunderstorm dampening effects, while traders anticipate delayed rain, allowing for a brief, sharp afternoon temperature spike.
AI Analysis
How reliable is the Wunderground historical data for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport (DNMM) station, and what resolution risks exist if the station misses data or stops updating on April 18?
Highest temperature in Atlanta on April 18?
Weather|$24.5k Vol|
time12 hrs 45 mins

Highest temperature in Atlanta on April 18?

Top Undervalued
+6.5¢
90-91°F(Yes)
+3.5¢
88-89°F(No)
Undervalued Options Insights:
Latest weather forecasts indicate that the high temperature in Atlanta on April 18, 2026, will likel...
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Exotics
While checking the weather is a daily routine, predicting the exact high-temperature range for a specific city on a specific future date is not something most people think about unless prompted, making it a moderately niche prediction market topic.
Movers
April 16, 2026 - April 17, 2026: The prices of several lower-temperature options (such as 82-83°F, 80-81°F, 78-79°F) crashed by more than 10c each. For instance, 82-83°F plummeted from 20.5c to 2.5c. This is because, as the target date approaches, weather forecasts consolidated around near 90°F highs, eliminating the possibility of lower temperatures. April 16, 2026 - April 17, 2026: The price of 84-85°F dropped from 27c to 15.5c, as temperature expectations shifted even higher into the 86-89°F range.
AI Analysis
How frequently does Wunderground update the KATL station data, and is there any risk of downtime or delay on April 18?
IA-01 Democratic Primary Winner
Politics|$14.9k Vol|
time45 days 0 hrs

IA-01 Democratic Primary Winner

Top Undervalued
+5.1¢
Christina Bohannan(Yes)
+1.5¢
Taylor Wettach(No)
Undervalued Options Insights:
Based on prior analysis, Taylor Wettach withdrew in January 2026 to run for Iowa State Auditor and w...
🔓 Unlock Mispricing Insights (Pro)
AI Analysis
[Mandatory Task] Order Book & Fundamentals Comprehensive Assessment: Visit the Polymarket page to analyze the Order Book for the IA-01 Democratic Primary. Given the extremely low volume ($30), assess the spread risk caused by liquidity depletion. Simultaneously, retrieve local Iowa political news to confirm if 2024 nominee Christina Bohannan has officially announced her 2026 run, utilizing this to reassess if current prices reflect her fair value as the potential frontrunner.
PA-16 House Election Winner
Politics|$15.6k Vol|
time199 days 0 hrs

PA-16 House Election Winner

Top Undervalued
+13¢
Republican Party(Yes)
+8.5¢
Democratic Party(No)
Undervalued Options Insights:
PA-16 is a Solid Republican district (Cook PVI R+13) in northwestern Pennsylvania. Incumbent Republi...
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Divergence
There is a divergence between the market price (implying an 87% chance for the GOP) and mainstream political forecasting models. Major election raters like the Cook Political Report classify PA-16 as 'Solid Republican,' a category where the historical win rate exceeds 95%. The market, likely due to low liquidity or retail bias, is underpricing the absolute advantage the GOP holds in this district.
AI Analysis
[Mandatory Task] Order Book & Fundamentals Comprehensive Assessment: Retrieve the latest campaign status of incumbent Republican Mike Kelly and the Cook Partisan Voting Index (PVI) for PA-16. Visit the Polymarket page to analyze the bid-ask spread given the low liquidity ($4463.8), and assess whether the current price offers arbitrage opportunities by deviating from the consensus of this being a "Safe Republican" seat.
All Outcomes
Market Price
AI Fair Value
Value Edge
Beast
YesNo
2.6¢
97.4¢
3¢
97¢
+0.4¢
0¢
Untold: Jail Blazers
YesNo
3.45¢
96.55¢
3¢
97¢
0¢
+0.4¢

Expand to view all 9 options

⚠️ Risk Warning: Live data may lag! Prices can shift instantly due to news or low liquidity. Before trading, use AI Chat for [Live Recalculate], [Check Liquidity], [Trollbox Radar], or review [Fair Value Logic] to verify.
Exotics
Predicting the exact #2 movie on a streaming platform for a specific week is somewhat niche and novelty compared to mainstream political or financial events, but it remains a standard pop culture market.
Movers
April 16, 2026 - April 17, 2026, the price of 'A Quiet Place Part II' plummeted from 15.5c to 5c, as new daily viewership data suggested it had been pushed out of the top two spots. April 16, 2026 - April 17, 2026, the price of 'Untold: Jail Blazers' further crashed from 10.5c to 3.45c, falling entirely out of contention. April 15, 2026 - April 16, 2026, the price of 'Untold: Jail Blazers' surged from 26c to a high of 47c before settling at 24.5c, as early viewership data suggested a strong push for #2, followed by tightening competition. April 15, 2026 - April 16, 2026, the price of 'Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle' dropped from 27c to 6c, as new daily data showed its viewership ranking slipping, losing its edge for the #2 spot. April 15, 2026 - April 16, 2026, the price of 'Thrash' fell sharply from 25.5c to 5c, likely because it is either securing the #1 spot or falling out of the top two entirely. April 15, 2026 - April 16, 2026, the price of 'Beast' plummeted from 27c to 3c, as its viewership performance failed to hold up. April 15, 2026 - April 16, 2026, the price of 'Anaconda' crashed from 26c to under 1c, completely falling out of contention. April 15, 2026 - April 16, 2026, the price of 'The Truth & Tragedy of Moriah Wilson' crashed from 27.5c to 1c, losing all competitiveness.

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