Crypto|$10.5k Vol|
288 days 2 hrsWhat will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest reach in 2026? - AI Odds Analysis
All
Outcomes
Market
Price
AI Fair
Value
Value
Edge
$4B
YesNo
$5B
YesNo
$3B
YesNo
$6B
YesNo
$2B
YesNo
$9B
YesNo
$7B
YesNo
$8B
YesNo
$10B
YesNo
AI Insights:
03.11 00:37 UpdatedFair Value Reasoning:
Based on current market data, the growth momentum of Hyperliquid HIP-3 Open Interest (OI) remains strong. Market pricing suggests $2B is effectively a certainty (current price 77c, but logically should be near 99c), while $3B (49.5c) is severely undervalued given the nearly 300-day remaining window and current growth slope. Considering HIP-3 grew from $260M to $1B+ in just 6 weeks, reaching $4B-$5B by year-end is highly probable even if the current ~$500M/month growth rate halves. However, the market currently exhibits significant irrational pricing: $6B (31c) is priced higher than $5B (29c), and $7B (30c) is also higher than $5B. This inversion is illogical as reaching $6B requires passing $5B. The fair value model corrects these inversions, viewing the $3B-$5B range as undervalued, while high-end targets ($9B/$10B) face exponentially increasing difficulty despite high odds.
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Exotics
This is a specific financial metric prediction for a particular decentralized exchange (Hyperliquid) ecosystem growth. While DeFi derivatives are a hot topic, the specific Open Interest (OI) of HIP-3 (Hyperliquid's native EVM/tech standard) is a relatively niche technical metric that the general public or even mainstream crypto investors might not be familiar with in detail.
Movers
Mar 7, 2026 - Mar 9, 2026: The price of the '$3B' option rebounded from 40.5c to 55.5c as the market corrected previous overly pessimistic pricing, confirming the high probability of hitting this mid-term target given the underlying data growth.
Mar 8, 2026 - Mar 9, 2026: The price of the '$2B' option climbed rapidly from 68.5c to 80.5c as short-term volatility subsided and the market re-confirmed $2B as a highly probable baseline threshold.
Feb 9, 2026 - Feb 10, 2026: The price of the '$6B' option surged from 27.5c to 40c (later settling at 36.5c) as the market corrected the previous severe inversion where $8B was priced higher than $6B.
Divergence
Significant internal logical divergence (price inversion) exists. While there is no massive mainstream media coverage to contrast with, the internal prediction market inversion where $6B Yes (31c) is priced higher than $5B Yes (29c) indicates severe confusion or liquidity inefficiency among market participants regarding pricing models. This usually implies some capital is betting on 'extreme optimism' scenarios while ignoring the necessity of the intermediate path.
