AI Signal Dashboard
Last updated: 5 hours ago
Top Undervalued
+0.6¢
Meta(No)
+0.5¢
OpenAI(No)
+0.5¢
Google(Yes)
Which company has best AI model end of June? AI analysis: • +0.6¢ undervalued • Live Prediction Market fair value & mispricing alerts.
Undervalued Options Insights:
With less than two months until the June 30 settlement date, Anthropic's dominance on the Chatbot Ar...
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Outcomes
Market
Price
AI Fair
Value
Value
Edge
Meta
YesNo
0.65¢
99.35¢
0¢
100¢
0¢
+0.6¢
OpenAI
YesNo
6.5¢
93.5¢
6¢
94¢
0¢
+0.5¢
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⚠️ Risk Warning: Live data may lag! Prices can shift instantly due to news or low liquidity. Before trading, use AI Chat for [Live Recalculate], [Check Liquidity], [Trollbox Radar], or review [Fair Value Logic] to verify.
Hedging
GOOGL
MSFT
This event correlates directly with the stock prices of major tech giants. If Google (Gemini) or Microsoft (OpenAI) takes the top spot, it signals technical leadership, likely boosting their stock. Conversely, if a player like DeepSeek or xAI unexpectedly tops the leaderboard, it could be viewed as an erosion of the incumbents' moats, weighing on GOOGL/MSFT. DeepSeek's past performance has already demonstrated its ability to shock chip stocks (like NVDA) and tech giants. It is a moderately impactful tradable event.
Movers
Apr 28, 2026 - May 1, 2026, Anthropic's price surged from 54.8c to 69.9c as time diminishes the likelihood of competitors launching disruptive models before the deadline, further cementing its lead and tie-breaker certainty.
Apr 27, 2026 - Apr 28, 2026, Anthropic's price surged from 41.3c to 54.8c, as market expectations for OpenAI releasing GPT-5 before the end of June cooled down. Capital flowed out of OpenAI, reconfirming Anthropic's current lead.
Apr 24, 2026 - Apr 27, 2026, Anthropic's price plunged from 53.15c to 41.3c, as rapidly rising market expectations for disruptive model releases from Google and OpenAI put immense pressure on the current leader, accelerating capital outflows.
Apr 25, 2026 - Apr 26, 2026, Google's price surged from 26.5c to 36.5c. The reason is the approaching Google I/O in May, which pushed market expectations for a revolutionary new model release to a climax, attracting massive capital inflows.
Apr 16, 2026 - Apr 19, 2026, Google's price climbed from 18.5c to 29c, while Anthropic dropped from 65.05c to 51.65c, driven by rising expectations for Google's Gemini updates.
Apr 16, 2026 - Apr 18, 2026, Anthropic's price pulled back from 65.05c to 58.1c, while OpenAI rebounded from 8.5c to 16c due to new rumors about OpenAI releasing major updates soon.
Apr 13, 2026 - Apr 16, 2026, Anthropic's price rose to 65.05c as its alphabetical tie-breaker advantage was further priced in, while OpenAI dropped to 8.5c.
Apr 6, 2026 - Apr 12, 2026, OpenAI's price climbed to 17.5c while Google fell to 13.5c amid GPT-5 expectations.
Mar 21, 2026 - Mar 24, 2026, Google mildly recovered to 26.5c as traders rebalanced positions.
Mar 14, 2026 - Mar 21, 2026, Anthropic surged to 58.6c as the market fully digested the tie-breaker rule advantage.
