[Mandatory Task] Order Book & Fundamentals Comprehensive Assessment: Retrieve the latest order book data on Polymarket for top contenders like the 'New York Giants', 'New Orleans Saints', and 'Las Vegas Raiders'. Combine this with late-February 2026 reports from team beat writers regarding their intent to replace starting QBs, and reassess the deviation between the current implied odds and the teams' actual draft intentions.

AI-powered analysis for: [Mandatory Task] Order Book & Fundamentals Comprehensive Assessment: Retrieve the latest order book data on Polymarket for top contenders like the 'New York Giants', 'New Orleans Saints', and 'Las Vegas Raiders'. Combine this with late-February 2026 reports from team beat writers regarding their intent to replace starting QBs, and reassess the deviation between the current implied odds and the teams' actual draft intentions.. Get detailed insights and real-time data on PolyPredict AI.

[Category 1: Sports] Key Variables Confirmation (Contracts & Dead Cap): Search for the specific contract structures of the current starting QBs for the NY Jets, Seattle Seahawks, and LA Rams for the 2026 season. Specifically verify if there are massive 'Dead Cap' hits or automatic extension clauses to analyze the financial feasibility and resistance to these teams drafting a new QB in the 1st round.

AI-powered analysis for: [Category 1: Sports] Key Variables Confirmation (Contracts & Dead Cap): Search for the specific contract structures of the current starting QBs for the NY Jets, Seattle Seahawks, and LA Rams for the 2026 season. Specifically verify if there are massive 'Dead Cap' hits or automatic extension clauses to analyze the financial feasibility and resistance to these teams drafting a new QB in the 1st round.. Get detailed insights and real-time data on PolyPredict AI.

[Category 2: General/Crypto] KOL Sentiment Analysis (Mock Draft Consensus): Search for and aggregate the latest 'Mock Draft' lists released in February 2026 by authoritative experts like Mel Kiper Jr. and Daniel Jeremiah. Tally which non-favorite teams (e.g., Titans or Browns) are unexpectedly projected to take a QB in the 1st round to identify if there are any undervalued 'dark horse' options in the market.

AI-powered analysis for: [Category 2: General/Crypto] KOL Sentiment Analysis (Mock Draft Consensus): Search for and aggregate the latest 'Mock Draft' lists released in February 2026 by authoritative experts like Mel Kiper Jr. and Daniel Jeremiah. Tally which non-favorite teams (e.g., Titans or Browns) are unexpectedly projected to take a QB in the 1st round to identify if there are any undervalued 'dark horse' options in the market.. Get detailed insights and real-time data on PolyPredict AI.

Sports|$157 Vol|

35 days 4 hrs

Which teams will draft a QB in the 1st round of the 2026 Pro Football draft? - AI Odds Analysis

All Outcomes

Market Price

AI Fair Value

Value Edge

Tennessee Titans

YesNo

38.8¢

61.2¢

1¢

99¢

0¢

+37.8¢

Cleveland Browns

YesNo

47¢

53¢

10¢

90¢

0¢

+37¢

Arizona Cardinals

YesNo

49¢

51¢

20¢

80¢

0¢

+29¢

Miami Dolphins

YesNo

49¢

51¢

20¢

80¢

0¢

+29¢

New Orleans Saints

YesNo

42.15¢

57.85¢

15¢

85¢

0¢

+27.1¢

Indianapolis Colts

YesNo

9¢

91¢

30¢

70¢

+21¢

0¢

Seattle Seahawks

YesNo

35.05¢

64.95¢

15¢

85¢

0¢

+20.1¢

New York Jets

YesNo

46¢

54¢

40¢

60¢

0¢

+6¢

Los Angeles Rams

YesNo

44.5¢

55.5¢

40¢

60¢

0¢

+4.5¢

Pittsburgh Steelers

YesNo

48¢

52¢

45¢

55¢

0¢

+3¢

New York Giants

YesNo

1.9¢

98.1¢

1¢

99¢

0¢

+0.9¢

Las Vegas Raiders

YesNo

98.9¢

1.1¢

99¢

1¢

+0.1¢

0¢

AI Insights:

03.13 15:28 Updated

Fair Value Reasoning:

Based on mid-March 2026 intelligence: The Las Vegas Raiders are a lock for the #1 pick and QB Fernando Mendoza, justifying 99c. The Cleveland Browns are significantly overvalued (48c); having drafted Shedeur Sanders in 2025 with Watson still on the roster, a 2026 1st-round QB pick is highly illogical. The Arizona Cardinals face a QB need but consensus mocks for the #3 pick unanimously point to OT or Edge, making 50c overpriced. The Pittsburgh Steelers are adjusted up to 45c due to recent credible links to 1st-round prospect Ty Simpson. The Miami Dolphins and New Orleans Saints are trading at a premium despite mocks suggesting Day 2 QB targets or other position focuses.

Sign up to view more information

Movers

2026-03-09 to 2026-03-10, Pittsburgh Steelers price surged from 13c to 45.5c, driven by multiple authoritative early-March mock drafts (e.g., A to Z Sports) projecting the Steelers to select Alabama QB Ty Simpson at pick #21 as a successor to Aaron Rodgers. 2026-03-10 to 2026-03-12, Miami Dolphins price rebounded from 11.5c to 25c; after plummeting due to Day 2 QB projections, this rebound likely represents a market correction reacting to confirmation of Tua Tagovailoa's departure. 2026-02-09 to 2026-02-10, Indianapolis Colts price briefly spiked amid speculation of an Anthony Richardson trade and a subsequent search for a new 1st-round QB.

Divergence

Major divergence exists for the Arizona Cardinals and Cleveland Browns. Market pricing implies a ~50% chance for both to draft a 1st-round QB. However, the latest March consensus from mainstream media (FantasyPros, CBS Sports, etc.) shows the Cardinals taking an OT (Francis Mauigoa) at #3, and the Browns targeting WR/OT due to the presence of Shedeur Sanders. Market prices significantly lag behind the latest roster intelligence and draft expert consensus.

Which teams will draft a QB in the 1st round of the 2026 Pro Football draft? - AI Odds Analysis

AI Insights:

Support

Frequently Asked Questions

The All-in-One AI Copilot for Prediction Markets

Markets

AI Insights

Tools & subscriptions

Community

Policies & security

Partner