All
Outcomes
Market
Price
AI Fair
Value
Value
Edge
Vegas Golden Knights
YesNo
San Jose Sharks
YesNo
Arizona Coyotes
YesNo
Florida Panthers
YesNo
Detroit Red Wings
YesNo
Boston Bruins
YesNo
Washington Capitals
YesNo
Pittsburgh Penguins
YesNo
Philadelphia Flyers
YesNo
Nashville Predators
YesNo
Columbus Blue Jackets
YesNo
Ottawa Senators
YesNo
Winnipeg Jets
YesNo
Edmonton Oilers
YesNo
Montreal Canadiens
YesNo
New York Islanders
YesNo
Buffalo Sabres
YesNo
Calgary Flames
YesNo
Los Angeles Kings
YesNo
Tampa Bay Lightning
YesNo
Toronto Maple Leafs
YesNo
Colorado Avalanche
YesNo
Minnesota Wild
YesNo
Chicago Blackhawks
YesNo
Carolina Hurricanes
YesNo
New York Rangers
YesNo
Seattle Kraken
YesNo
Dallas Stars
YesNo
Anaheim Ducks
YesNo
St. Louis Blues
YesNo
Vancouver Canucks
YesNo
New Jersey Devils
YesNo
AI Insights:
03.13 03:39 UpdatedFair Value Reasoning:
The market pricing reflects a 'simulation' or 'future' timeline (March 2026) that distinctively contradicts current real-world team strengths. In this context, Colorado, Dallas, Minnesota, and Buffalo are effectively locks (>98c). Anaheim and Montreal are positioned strongly. The primary anomaly remains the 'Arizona Coyotes' (26c); although down from the previous 47c, the franchise is technically inactive (assets moved to Utah). Under strict naming rules, this option holds significant risk of resolving to No (Fair Value 0). The Ottawa Senators have seen a notable repricing (up to 47c from a previous 25c estimate), indicating a late-season surge in this specific scenario.
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Divergence
There is a massive divergence between market prices and real-world 2024-25 NHL team strengths. Real-world contenders (Rangers, Toronto, Florida) are priced near zero (<5c) here, while real-world rebuilding teams (Buffalo, Montreal, Anaheim) are priced as dominant locks (>85c). This confirms the event is tracking a fictional simulation or parallel universe dataset, not real-world news.