Visit the Polymarket page for 'White House # posts March 20 - March 27' to analyze the order book depth and bid-ask spreads, specifically tracking capital flows in popular ranges (like 80-99 or 100-119) to assess the market's core pricing of political activity for that week.

AI-powered analysis for: Visit the Polymarket page for 'White House # posts March 20 - March 27' to analyze the order book depth and bid-ask spreads, specifically tracking capital flows in popular ranges (like 80-99 or 100-119) to assess the market's core pricing of political activity for that week.. Get detailed insights and real-time data on PolyPredict AI.

Use X (Twitter) Advanced Search or third-party analytics to audit @WhiteHouse's actual total post count (main posts, quotes, and reposts only; strictly excluding replies) for each 7-day cycle over the past 4 weeks to calculate the average and volatility, establishing a baseline 'fair value' for this event.

AI-powered analysis for: Use X (Twitter) Advanced Search or third-party analytics to audit @WhiteHouse's actual total post count (main posts, quotes, and reposts only; strictly excluding replies) for each 7-day cycle over the past 4 weeks to calculate the average and volatility, establishing a baseline 'fair value' for this event.. Get detailed insights and real-time data on PolyPredict AI.

Search the official White House public schedule or Congressional legislative calendar for March 20–27, 2026, to identify major events (e.g., state visits, major bill signings, or breaking crises) that would cause a spike in tweet volume, determining if an 'event-driven' premium should be added to historical averages.

AI-powered analysis for: Search the official White House public schedule or Congressional legislative calendar for March 20–27, 2026, to identify major events (e.g., state visits, major bill signings, or breaking crises) that would cause a spike in tweet volume, determining if an 'event-driven' premium should be added to historical averages.. Get detailed insights and real-time data on PolyPredict AI.

Politics|$7,250 Vol|

7 days 11 hrs

White House # posts March 20 - March 27, 2026? - AI Odds Analysis

All Outcomes

Market Price

AI Fair Value

Value Edge

200+

YesNo

30¢

70¢

2¢

98¢

0¢

+28¢

180-199

YesNo

23.5¢

76.5¢

3¢

97¢

0¢

+20.5¢

120-139

YesNo

10¢

90¢

25¢

75¢

+15¢

0¢

140-159

YesNo

9¢

91¢

22¢

78¢

+13¢

0¢

100-119

YesNo

7.5¢

92.5¢

20¢

80¢

+12.5¢

0¢

160-179

YesNo

20¢

80¢

12¢

88¢

0¢

+8¢

80-99

YesNo

6.5¢

93.5¢

10¢

90¢

+3.5¢

0¢

20-39

YesNo

2.95¢

97.05¢

0¢

100¢

0¢

+2.9¢

40-59

YesNo

2.5¢

97.5¢

1¢

99¢

0¢

+1.5¢

<20

YesNo

0.95¢

99.05¢

0¢

100¢

0¢

+0.9¢

60-79

YesNo

5.5¢

94.5¢

5¢

95¢

0¢

+0.5¢

AI Insights:

03.17 12:13 Updated

Fair Value Reasoning:

Based on the Trump 2.0 administration's (2025-2026) social media strategy, President Trump is primar...

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Exotics

This is a typical niche derivative market. The general public cares about the content of White House policies, not the numerical 'frequency' of tweets. This is a statistical question created purely for betting, classifying it as a highly novel or 'exotic' market.

Divergence

Significant divergence. The market pricing implies a flat probability distribution (nearly all outcomes at ~25%), which is statistically impossible for mutually exclusive buckets. Reality follows a bell curve, likely centered between 100-160 posts. The market completely fails to reflect the actual social media frequency of the White House.

White House # posts March 20 - March 27, 2026? - AI Odds Analysis

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