Based on historical data, how many times did the @WhiteHouse account post on X (formerly Twitter) on average per week during the past month?

AI-powered analysis for: Based on historical data, how many times did the @WhiteHouse account post on X (formerly Twitter) on average per week during the past month?. Get detailed insights and real-time data on PolyPredict AI.

Explain it like I'm 5: How are replies, quote posts, and deleted posts from the White House counted towards the total in this market?

AI-powered analysis for: Explain it like I'm 5: How are replies, quote posts, and deleted posts from the White House counted towards the total in this market?. Get detailed insights and real-time data on PolyPredict AI.

How reliable is Polymarket's official X tracker when counting high-frequency @WhiteHouse posts, and what happens if the tracker goes down?

AI-powered analysis for: How reliable is Polymarket's official X tracker when counting high-frequency @WhiteHouse posts, and what happens if the tracker goes down?. Get detailed insights and real-time data on PolyPredict AI.

Are there any major scheduled events (such as holidays, presidential speeches, or press briefings) between May 1 and May 8, 2026, that could cause a surge in White House tweets?

AI-powered analysis for: Are there any major scheduled events (such as holidays, presidential speeches, or press briefings) between May 1 and May 8, 2026, that could cause a surge in White House tweets?. Get detailed insights and real-time data on PolyPredict AI.

Who manages the @WhiteHouse X account, and have there been any recent PR staff changes that might affect the posting frequency?

AI-powered analysis for: Who manages the @WhiteHouse X account, and have there been any recent PR staff changes that might affect the posting frequency?. Get detailed insights and real-time data on PolyPredict AI.

Has there been any historical dispute on Polymarket regarding the X tracker missing deleted tweets or rapid-fire posts for similar events?

AI-powered analysis for: Has there been any historical dispute on Polymarket regarding the X tracker missing deleted tweets or rapid-fire posts for similar events?. Get detailed insights and real-time data on PolyPredict AI.

How do the current odds intuitively translate into the probability of the White House posting more than 140 times this week? (e.g., Is it more likely than flipping a coin?)

AI-powered analysis for: How do the current odds intuitively translate into the probability of the White House posting more than 140 times this week? (e.g., Is it more likely than flipping a coin?). Get detailed insights and real-time data on PolyPredict AI.

What are prediction market analysts saying on X regarding the expected @WhiteHouse tweet volume for the first week of May?

AI-powered analysis for: What are prediction market analysts saying on X regarding the expected @WhiteHouse tweet volume for the first week of May?. Get detailed insights and real-time data on PolyPredict AI.

What potential breaking political news or catalysts in early May could cause extreme volatility in the White House's posting volume within a 48-hour window?

AI-powered analysis for: What potential breaking political news or catalysts in early May could cause extreme volatility in the White House's posting volume within a 48-hour window?. Get detailed insights and real-time data on PolyPredict AI.

Is the @WhiteHouse posting frequency strictly scheduled by the PR team, or is it highly reactive to daily breaking news (more random)?

AI-powered analysis for: Is the @WhiteHouse posting frequency strictly scheduled by the PR team, or is it highly reactive to daily breaking news (more random)?. Get detailed insights and real-time data on PolyPredict AI.

If the White House posts very little over the weekend, which bracket (e.g., <20 or 100-119) benefits the most from time decay (Theta) as the deadline approaches?

AI-powered analysis for: If the White House posts very little over the weekend, which bracket (e.g., <20 or 100-119) benefits the most from time decay (Theta) as the deadline approaches?. Get detailed insights and real-time data on PolyPredict AI.

Given the current odds, is betting on extreme brackets (like <20 or 200+) a high-risk 'lottery ticket' or a sound mathematical play based on recent averages?

AI-powered analysis for: Given the current odds, is betting on extreme brackets (like <20 or 200+) a high-risk 'lottery ticket' or a sound mathematical play based on recent averages?. Get detailed insights and real-time data on PolyPredict AI.

Given the current low volume of $76 in this market, how severe is the slippage risk if I invest $1,000 in the 100-119 posts bracket?

AI-powered analysis for: Given the current low volume of $76 in this market, how severe is the slippage risk if I invest $1,000 in the 100-119 posts bracket?. Get detailed insights and real-time data on PolyPredict AI.

How does the current @WhiteHouse posting pace compare to historical data from the same period (first week of May) in previous years?

AI-powered analysis for: How does the current @WhiteHouse posting pace compare to historical data from the same period (first week of May) in previous years?. Get detailed insights and real-time data on PolyPredict AI.

What is the actual net ROI for a $1,000 bet on the 120-139 posts bracket after deducting estimated Gas fees and potential slippage?

AI-powered analysis for: What is the actual net ROI for a $1,000 bet on the 120-139 posts bracket after deducting estimated Gas fees and potential slippage?. Get detailed insights and real-time data on PolyPredict AI.

In this low-liquidity market, what is the optimal limit order price to set for the 80-99 bracket to avoid losing edge to slippage?

AI-powered analysis for: In this low-liquidity market, what is the optimal limit order price to set for the 80-99 bracket to avoid losing edge to slippage?. Get detailed insights and real-time data on PolyPredict AI.

If I bet on the brackets under 80 posts, at what daily average tweet count should I immediately trigger my stop-loss red line?

AI-powered analysis for: If I bet on the brackets under 80 posts, at what daily average tweet count should I immediately trigger my stop-loss red line?. Get detailed insights and real-time data on PolyPredict AI.

Based on the historical daily average of White House tweets, what percentage of my bankroll should I allocate to this event using the Kelly criterion?

AI-powered analysis for: Based on the historical daily average of White House tweets, what percentage of my bankroll should I allocate to this event using the Kelly criterion?. Get detailed insights and real-time data on PolyPredict AI.

If the White House suddenly goes silent for a day, how can I place 'stink bids' in extreme brackets like 200+ or <20 to catch panic selling?

AI-powered analysis for: If the White House suddenly goes silent for a day, how can I place 'stink bids' in extreme brackets like 200+ or <20 to catch panic selling?. Get detailed insights and real-time data on PolyPredict AI.

For a micro-capital player with $10, which underdog option (e.g., 200+) in this White House tweet market offers the best entertainment and high-payout potential?

AI-powered analysis for: For a micro-capital player with $10, which underdog option (e.g., 200+) in this White House tweet market offers the best entertainment and high-payout potential?. Get detailed insights and real-time data on PolyPredict AI.

White House # posts May 1 - May 8, 2026? - AI Found +41.5¢ Mispricing

Politics|$9,914 Vol|

5 days 9 hrs

White House # posts May 1 - May 8, 2026? - AI Found +41.5¢ Mispricing

AI Signal Dashboard

Last updated: 05.01 16:55

Top Undervalued

+41.5¢

140-159(No)

+36¢

160-179(No)

+34.7¢

60-79(Yes)

White House # posts May 1 - May 8, 2026? AI analysis: • +41.5¢ undervalued • Live Prediction Market fair value & mispricing alerts.

Undervalued Options Insights:

The official White House X account (@WhiteHouse) typically posts about 5-15 times a day during norma...

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All Outcomes

Market Price

AI Fair Value

Value Edge

140-159

YesNo

42.5¢

57.5¢

1¢

99¢

0¢

+41.5¢

160-179

YesNo

37¢

63¢

1¢

99¢

0¢

+36¢

Expand to view all 10 options

⚠️ Risk Warning: Live data may lag! Prices can shift instantly due to news or low liquidity. Before trading, use AI Chat for [Live Recalculate], [Check Liquidity], [Trollbox Radar], or review [Fair Value Logic] to verify.

Exotics

Betting on the exact number of posts a specific official account makes in a single week is a highly niche and novelty topic that the general public rarely thinks about.

Movers

Between April 28 and April 29, 2026, the Yes prices for the 40-59, 60-79, and 80-99 options crashed from around 40c to near 0c, driven by market expectations of significantly higher posting frequencies or tracker data adjustments. Between April 29 and May 1, 2026, the 100-119 option plunged from 27c to 3.5c, while the 140-159 option fluctuated wildly between 35c and 19.5c. This volatility reflects massive trader disagreement over whether the recent high-frequency posting trend will sustain through May 8.

Divergence

There is a stark divergence between mainstream expectations and current market prices. Mainstream consensus and historical norms suggest a weekly output of roughly 50-90 posts for this account. However, the prediction market is currently placing the bulk of the probability (with wildly inflated Yes sums) on exceptionally high ranges (140-200+), an incredibly abnormal deviation.