[Mandatory Task] Order Book & Fundamentals Comprehensive Assessment: Retrieve the latest order book data for the 'UFC Champion 2026' market, specifically analyzing the bid-ask spread and depth for favorites like Umar Nurmagomedov and Shavkat Rakhmonov. Combine this with current UFC rankings to assess if current odds adequately price in the risks of injuries and schedule uncertainties over the next two years.

AI-powered analysis for: [Mandatory Task] Order Book & Fundamentals Comprehensive Assessment: Retrieve the latest order book data for the 'UFC Champion 2026' market, specifically analyzing the bid-ask spread and depth for favorites like Umar Nurmagomedov and Shavkat Rakhmonov. Combine this with current UFC rankings to assess if current odds adequately price in the risks of injuries and schedule uncertainties over the next two years.. Get detailed insights and real-time data on PolyPredict AI.

[General/Newbie] Resolution Rules (ELI5): Explain the specific resolution criteria for 'Becomes champion... between Jan 1, 2026 and Dec 31, 2026' in simple terms: Does a fighter who wins the belt in 2025 and defends it throughout 2026 count as 'Yes', or strictly 'No' because they didn't technically 'become' champion during that specific window?

AI-powered analysis for: [General/Newbie] Resolution Rules (ELI5): Explain the specific resolution criteria for 'Becomes champion... between Jan 1, 2026 and Dec 31, 2026' in simple terms: Does a fighter who wins the belt in 2025 and defends it throughout 2026 count as 'Yes', or strictly 'No' because they didn't technically 'become' champion during that specific window?. Get detailed insights and real-time data on PolyPredict AI.

[General] Opportunity Cost of Capital: Given the resolution date is late 2026, calculate the opportunity cost of locking up capital for over 20 months. Compare the implied probability of favorites (e.g., Ian Garry) against the guaranteed return of a 4% APY risk-free asset to determine if the current odds offer sufficient risk premium.

AI-powered analysis for: [General] Opportunity Cost of Capital: Given the resolution date is late 2026, calculate the opportunity cost of locking up capital for over 20 months. Compare the implied probability of favorites (e.g., Ian Garry) against the guaranteed return of a 4% APY risk-free asset to determine if the current odds offer sufficient risk premium.. Get detailed insights and real-time data on PolyPredict AI.

Who will become a UFC champion in 2026?

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242 days 0 hrs

Who will become a UFC champion in 2026? - AI Mispricing Alert

AI Signal Dashboard

Last updated: 13 hours ago

Top Undervalued

+0.5¢

Manel Kape(No)

+0.5¢

Sergei Pavlovich(No)

+0.5¢

Ian Machado Garry(No)

Who will become a UFC champion in 2026? AI analysis: • +0.5¢ undervalued • Live Prediction Market fair value & mispricing alerts.

Undervalued Options Insights:

Current market prices reflect expectations that multiple fighters have recently been confirmed for 2...

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All Outcomes

Market Price

AI Fair Value

Value Edge

Manel Kape

YesNo

16.5¢

83.5¢

16¢

84¢

0¢

+0.5¢

Sergei Pavlovich

YesNo

50.5¢

49.5¢

50¢

0¢

+0.5¢

Expand to view all 28 options

⚠️ Risk Warning: Live data may lag! Prices can shift instantly due to news or low liquidity. Before trading, use AI Chat for [Live Recalculate], [Check Liquidity], [Trollbox Radar], or review [Fair Value Logic] to verify.

Movers

April 28, 2026 - April 29, 2026, Shavkat Rakhmonov's price surged from 10.5c to 50c, and Magomed Ankalaev's price surged from 25.5c to 49.5c, likely due to official confirmation of crucial upcoming title bouts or their status as #1 contenders for 2026. April 21, 2026 - April 22, 2026, Ian Machado Garry's price plummeted from 44.5c to 26c, Nassourdine Imavov's price plunged from 43.5c to 19c, and Alexander Volkov's price dropped from 45c to 17.5c, likely due to these fighters losing recent bouts or having their title shots delayed. April 14, 2026 - April 15, 2026, Cory Sandhagen's price surged from 10.5c to 47c, likely due to a victory in a key contender match or official confirmation of a 2026 title shot. April 12, 2026 - April 13, 2026, Charles Oliveira's price jumped from 10.5c to 47.5c, Max Holloway's from 10.5c to 48.5c, and Dricus Du Plessis's from 16c to 47.5c. This collective spike heavily suggests the finalization of major title fights or #1 contender bouts for these fighters. April 8, 2026 - April 10, 2026, Ian Machado Garry surged from 22c to 55.5c, Ciryl Gane from 33.5c to 54.5c, and Alexander Volkov from 10c to 47c, primarily driven by clarifications in the contender hierarchy of their respective divisions.