Between April 29, 2026, and May 2, 2026, the price of Option_'Yes' climbed steadily from 64c to 93c, driven by Vitality's flawless 2-0 run in the group stage, which secured them a direct semi-final spot against a significantly weaker opponent, GamerLegion. Between April 28, 2026, and April 29, 2026, the price of Option_'Yes' surged from 51c to a peak of 92.5c, before settling around 78.5c. This significant movement was likely driven by the market correcting its underpricing of Vitality's extremely high probability of making a deep tournament run as the event approached.

April 30, 2026 - May 1, 2026, 'Man on Fire: Season 1' surged from ~26.5c to around 60.5c as viewership data heading into the weekend showed it taking a commanding lead for the #1 spot. April 30, 2026 - May 1, 2026, 'Should I Marry A Murderer?' saw a sharp spike from 10c to a peak of 45c before settling at 32.5c, reflecting sudden viral momentum and a market repricing of its competitive chances. April 30, 2026 - May 1, 2026, 'Running Point: Season 2' dropped from 42.5c to ~30.5c, losing its frontrunner status as competing shows gained stronger late-week traction.

May 1, 2026 - May 2, 2026: The price of the 30°C option plummeted from 27c to 8.5c, and the 29°C option dropped from 48c to 35.5c, while the 28°C option surged from 22.5c to 43c. The reason is that as the resolution date approaches, updated weather forecasts confirmed heavier rain and cloud cover, prompting the market to discount the likelihood of higher temperatures and shift the peak probability range down to 28°C.