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Value
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June 30, 2026
YesNo
December 31, 2026
YesNo
March 31, 2026
YesNo
September 30, 2026
YesNo
AI Insights:
1 hours ago UpdatedFair Value Reasoning:
With mid-March here and zero TGE news, Q1 is effectively dead (March 31 at 0). The market is undergoing a second wave of capitulation, primarily reflected in the repricing of Q3 (September 30). Since token launches typically require a 1-3 month lead time for audits and announcements, the continued silence from Extended renders a Q2 (June 30) launch increasingly unlikely, suppressing it to 18c. The critical shift is the surrender of Q3 (dropping from ~56c to 40c), indicating the market no longer views Q3 as the 'safety net' but is pushing over 50% of the probability mass (91c - 40c = 51%) into Q4. Simply put, the consensus is now: 'Likely year-end, not mid-year.'
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Movers
March 15, 2026 - March 18, 2026, the price of the 'September 30, 2026' option plummeted from 55.5c to 40c. The reason is that with March half over and no Q2 roadmap or tokenomics details released, market confidence in a 'summer/early autumn launch' collapsed, causing a massive capital shift toward year-end expectations.
March 6, 2026 - March 10, 2026, the price of 'June 30' crashed from 64.5c to 39.5c, and 'September 30' dropped from 87.5c to 61.5c. The reason was the project team's continued silence entering mid-March, triggering a panic sell-off of H1 launch expectations.
March 1, 2026 - March 3, 2026, the 'June 30' option experienced significant volatility before a brief recovery, establishing the resistance level prior to the subsequent crashes.
