[Mandatory Task] Visit the Polymarket page to analyze the order book depth and bid-ask spread in conjunction with Neymar's current (March 2026) actual health status and recent odds trends, assessing whether the market has fully priced in the risk of his inclusion in the final Brazil National Team squad.

AI-powered analysis for: [Mandatory Task] Visit the Polymarket page to analyze the order book depth and bid-ask spread in conjunction with Neymar's current (March 2026) actual health status and recent odds trends, assessing whether the market has fully priced in the risk of his inclusion in the final Brazil National Team squad.. Get detailed insights and real-time data on PolyPredict AI.

[Key Variables Confirmation] Search for Neymar's latest medical reports and club (e.g., Al Hilal) appearance records as of mid-March 2026 to confirm if he has fully recovered from previous injuries and possesses the match fitness required for high-intensity competition.

AI-powered analysis for: [Key Variables Confirmation] Search for Neymar's latest medical reports and club (e.g., Al Hilal) appearance records as of mid-March 2026 to confirm if he has fully recovered from previous injuries and possesses the match fitness required for high-intensity competition.. Get detailed insights and real-time data on PolyPredict AI.

[Potential Catalyst Prediction] Retrieve the official schedule from the Brazilian Football Confederation (CBF) for the 2026 World Cup squad announcement (typically May), and analyze how the national team call-ups for the March international break will serve as a short-term catalyst triggering significant price volatility.

AI-powered analysis for: [Potential Catalyst Prediction] Retrieve the official schedule from the Brazilian Football Confederation (CBF) for the 2026 World Cup squad announcement (typically May), and analyze how the national team call-ups for the March international break will serve as a short-term catalyst triggering significant price volatility.. Get detailed insights and real-time data on PolyPredict AI.

Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Soccer|$576.8k Vol|

76 days 23 hrs

Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? - AI Mispricing Alert

AI Signal Dashboard

Last updated: 05.02 01:49

Top Undervalued

+5.5¢

(No)

Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? AI analysis: • +5.5¢ undervalued • Live Prediction Market fair value & mispricing alerts.

Undervalued Options Insights:

The current market price is stable around 36.5c, slightly lower than the average of the past few day...

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All Outcomes

Market Price

AI Fair Value

Value Edge

YesNo

41.5¢

58.5¢

36¢

64¢

0¢

+5.5¢

⚠️ Risk Warning: Live data may lag! Prices can shift instantly due to news or low liquidity. Before trading, use AI Chat for [Live Recalculate], [Check Liquidity], [Trollbox Radar], or review [Fair Value Logic] to verify.

Movers

April 28, 2026 - April 30, 2026, the price of Option_'Yes' briefly surged from 37.5c to 48.0c before quickly falling back to 37.5c. The spike was driven by media rumors that Neymar had resumed club training and looked sharp, sparking brief optimism about his selection; however, subsequent official clarifications that his minutes still needed strict management wiped out the market's overenthusiasm. April 22, 2026 - April 24, 2026, the price of Option_'Yes' dropped from 46.5c to 34.5c. Despite potential squad openings due to Estevao's injury, former Brazil international Rai publicly questioned Neymar's physical condition, stating he is not at the level required for the World Cup, which exacerbated market concerns over his inclusion. March 31, 2026 - April 3, 2026, the price of Option_'Yes' dropped from 41.5c to 30.5c, continuing the market's pessimism regarding his fitness and selection prospects. March 16, 2026 - March 17, 2026, the price of Option_'Yes' plummeted from ~60c to 42.5c, driven by Carlo Ancelotti's announcement of the Brazil squad for March friendlies, which excluded Neymar. Ancelotti cited fitness concerns, triggering a panic sell-off.