Will Predict.fun launch a token by ___?
Crypto|$5,741 Vol|
time649 days 3 hrs

Will Predict.fun launch a token by ___? - AI Found +33.5¢ Mispricing

AI Signal Dashboard

Last updated: 03.12 23:01
Top Undervalued
+33.5¢
June 30, 2026(Yes)
+11.5¢
March 31, 2027(No)
+11¢
December 31, 2027(No)

Will Predict.fun launch a token by ___? AI analysis: • +33.5¢ undervalued • Live Prediction Market fair value & mispricing alerts.

Undervalued Options Insights:
Current date is March 12, 2026. Predict.fun launched its points farming campaign on BNB Chain on Dec...
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Denmark Parliamentary Election Winner
Politics|$722.7k Vol|
time22 hrs 57 mins

Denmark Parliamentary Election Winner

Top Undervalued
+0.5¢
Social Democrats(No)
+0.4¢
Green Left(No)
Undervalued Options Insights:
With less than 24 hours until election day, the market has effectively locked in the outcome. The So...
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AI Analysis
Highest temperature in Seoul on March 23?
Weather|$232.4k Vol|
time10 hrs 57 mins

Highest temperature in Seoul on March 23?

Top Undervalued
+65.3¢
16°C or higher(No)
+36.6¢
14°C(Yes)
Undervalued Options Insights:
This presents a classic 'geographic confusion' arbitrage opportunity. The market is heavily pricing ...
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Movers
March 22, 2026, the price of '16°C or higher' crashed from an intraday high of 70.4c to 48.6c, as traders began to price in the temperature differential between downtown Seoul and Incheon Airport closer to settlement, causing the earlier high-temp FOMO to collapse. March 21-22, 2026, the price of '13°C' fell from ~30c to 6c, as capital chased high-temp options driven by misleading city forecasts, leaving this meteorologically accurate option severely oversold.
Divergence
Significant divergence exists. Market prices imply a ~50% probability of temperatures exceeding 16°C at Incheon Airport, whereas mainstream meteorological models (Wunderground/TWC) forecast only 13°C-14°C for the location. The market is pricing in the 'heat island' weather of downtown Seoul rather than the coastal weather of the resolution source.
AI Analysis
Highest temperature in Tokyo on March 23?
Weather|$99.9k Vol|
time10 hrs 57 mins

Highest temperature in Tokyo on March 23?

Top Undervalued
+16¢
14°C(No)
+15.5¢
15°C(Yes)
Undervalued Options Insights:
Although Google/Weather.com forecasts a high of only 13°C, the actual recorded temperature at Tokyo ...
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Exotics
While weather is a common topic, predicting the exact high temperature at Tokyo Haneda Airport for a specific future date (March 23, 2026) is a relatively niche and specific market that most people would not naturally consider without prompting.
Movers
On March 22, 2026, the price of 14°C experienced extreme volatility, surging from 34c to 84c before correcting to 66.5c; simultaneously, 15°C rebounded from lows of ~10c to 32.5c. Reason: As Tokyo entered the morning of March 23, the actual temperature (11°C) was warmer than expected, causing the previously favored '13°C' outcome (implied context) to collapse, forcing the market to aggressively reprice the 14°C and 15°C options.
Divergence
Significant divergence exists. Google Weather and TimeAndDate still list a daily high of 13°C (55-56°F), which contradicts the market's aggressive positioning on 14°C (66%) and 15°C (32%). This divergence stems from automated forecast models likely failing to account for the unexpectedly high starting temperature (11°C) this morning; traders are pricing based on real-time observations rather than lagging model outputs.
AI Analysis
"Hoppers" 3rd Weekend Box Office
Culture|$96.8k Vol|
time10 hrs 57 mins

"Hoppers" 3rd Weekend Box Office

Top Undervalued
+32¢
18-19.5m(Yes)
+30.1¢
16.5-18m(No)
Undervalued Options Insights:
According to the latest Sunday (March 22) data from sources like The Numbers and BoxOfficeMojo, the ...
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Movers
March 21, 2026 - March 22, 2026, '16.5-18m' surged from ~10c to ~80c, while '19.5-21m' crashed from ~38c to <1c. This was driven by the release of Sunday studio estimates ($18.0M), which decimated the bullish '$20M+' rumors from Saturday, forcing capital to flee back to the conservative range and bet on actuals dipping slightly below the $18M estimate. March 21, 2026, '16.5-18m' previously spiked to ~56c, reflecting initial panic over competition, before briefly retracting due to the false bullish Saturday reports.
Divergence
Significant divergence exists. Mainstream box office trackers (e.g., The Numbers) report a weekend estimate of $18.0M, which would result in a win for '18-19.5m' under the specific market rules. However, the prediction market is pricing '16.5-18m' at 80%, indicating a strong trader conviction that the finalized 'Actuals' will come in lower than the Sunday studio estimate (under-performance), thereby flipping the resolution bucket.
AI Analysis
Highest temperature in Seattle on March 23?
Weather|$21.6k Vol|
time10 hrs 57 mins

Highest temperature in Seattle on March 23?

Top Undervalued
+14.5¢
50-51°F(Yes)
+12¢
52-53°F(No)
Undervalued Options Insights:
Although Sunday (Mar 22) recorded a high of 52°F and the NWS predicts a repeat of 52°F for Monday (M...
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Movers
From 16:20 on Mar 22 to early Mar 23, 2026, the price of '52-53°F' surged from 20.5c to 39.5c, while '50-51°F' plunged from 48.5c to 30.5c. The driver was Sunday's actual recorded high of 52°F, which validated the NWS model. Market participants aggressively repriced specifically for Monday to match Sunday's persistence (NWS predicts 52°F for Monday), abandoning the cooler bets based on commercial models (which forecast 50°F).
Divergence
Significant divergence exists. The market currently favors '52-53°F' (40%), aligning with the National Weather Service (NWS) forecast of 52°F. However, the **official resolution source**, Wunderground, along with Google Weather, explicitly forecasts a high of **50°F** (in the 50-51°F range) for Monday. The market is over-indexing on NWS persistence while ignoring the cooling signal (due to increasing clouds) from the resolution source's own model, creating value in '50-51°F'.
AI Analysis
All Outcomes
Market Price
AI Fair Value
Value Edge
June 30, 2026
YesNo
26.5¢
73.5¢
60¢
40¢
+33.5¢
March 31, 2027
YesNo
84.5¢
15.5¢
73¢
27¢
+11.5¢

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⚠️ Risk Warning: Live data may lag! Prices can shift instantly due to news or low liquidity. Before trading, use AI Chat for [Live Recalculate], [Check Liquidity], [Trollbox Radar], or review [Fair Value Logic] to verify.
Exotics
This is a niche market concerning a specific operational decision of a crypto project (Predict.fun within the Blast ecosystem). While not completely absurd, it appeals to a specific subset of people following DeFi and the Blast ecosystem, rather than the general public.

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