MicroStrategy announced a massive capital raise plan (~$44B) on March 24, which clearly indicates th...

This event is directly linked to MicroStrategy's (MSTR) stock price, as its valuation is tightly coupled with its Bitcoin holdings. A new purchase announcement is typically viewed as a bullish signal, potentially triggering stock volatility (Score 3). It also impacts Bitcoin's price, but given BTC's large market cap, the effect of a single announcement is relatively minor (Score 2).

Based on the latest weather forecast trends and recent actual temperature observations in Singapore,...

While weather forecasting is a common category in prediction markets, predicting the exact highest temperature for a specific city on a specific day remains relatively niche. Unless one is a local resident or weather enthusiast, ordinary people rarely ponder such specific outcomes.

Between March 28 and March 28, 2026, the price for 32°C surged from 46c to 57c, while the price for 31°C plummeted from 37c to 25.5c, as the approaching settlement day and latest weather forecasts strongly indicated a peak temperature around 32°C. Between March 25 and March 27, 2026, the price for 31°C surged from 13.5c to 28c, likely due to some forecast models slightly lowering expected peak temperatures. Between March 25 and March 27, 2026, the price for 32°C spiked from 16.5c to 43.5c before settling at 36c, as short-term weather forecasts heavily favored the 32°C range. Between March 25 and March 27, 2026, the price for 28°C plummeted from 25c to 0.45c, 29°C plummeted from 26c to 1.6c, and 30°C plummeted from 26c to 3.9c, as the approaching date practically eliminated the possibility of such unseasonably low temperatures.

Project Hail Mary is currently the most dominant film at the box office. Even in its second weekend,...

Significant contradiction in the rules text. The first sentence explicitly states the market resolves based on the '3 day weekend of March 13 - 15' (past dates), while the title and the latter part of the rules specify the 'March 27 - March 29' weekend. While the market intent is clearly for the upcoming March 27 weekend given the settlement date (March 30), the 'March 13-15' typo creates a substantial risk for dispute resolution (e.g., if resolved on March 13 data, the winner would likely be 'Hoppers' or 'Reminders of Him' instead of the current favorite 'Project Hail Mary').

According to the latest weather forecasts, the high temperature at Dallas Love Field (KDAL) on March...

March 27, 2026 - March 28, 2026, the price of the 84-85°F option dropped from 29c to 14.5c because the latest short-term forecasts largely ruled out temperatures reaching 84°F or higher. March 27, 2026 - March 28, 2026, the price of the 82-83°F option rose from 22.5c to 40.5c, then slightly pulled back to 34.5c, as weather models converged on a high of around 83°F. March 25, 2026 - March 27, 2026, the price of the 84-85°F option dropped from 27.5c to 8c before rebounding to 18.5c; the 82-83°F option dropped from 26.5c to 16.5c, then recovered to 21c; the 78-79°F option dropped from 26.5c to 11.5c and rebounded to 20.5c. This volatility is due to updates in short-term weather forecasting models causing the expected high to fluctuate around 80°F, prompting traders to adjust their positions accordingly.

With less than 24 hours until market resolution, weather forecasts for London City Airport on March ...

March 25, 2026 - March 28, 2026, the price of 11°C surged from 28.5c to 48.5c, as short-term weather forecasts highly converged on this temperature approaching the resolution date. March 25, 2026 - March 28, 2026, the price of 13°C plummeted from 30c to 3.5c as updated models completely ruled out the possibility of an abnormal temperature spike. March 26, 2026 - March 27, 2026, the price of 12°C surged from 13.5c to 23.5c, driven by short-term meteorological models slightly revising the peak temperature estimates upwards. March 25, 2026 - March 26, 2026, the price of 10°C fluctuated heavily between 10.5c and 23.5c, reflecting minor shifts in forecasting models choosing between 10°C and 11°C.