Predicting the exact time the White House calls a 'full lid' is a highly niche political bet, appealing primarily to media insiders and hardcore political junkies. The general public rarely pays attention to such administrative minutiae, giving it a high novelty and exotic factor.

March 31, 2026 - April 1, 2026, the Yes price for April 1 plummeted from 88.5c to 12.5c (currently around 19.5c), likely because the newly released White House schedule for April 1 showed events continuing past 6:30 PM. March 31, 2026 - April 1, 2026, the Yes price for April 3 surged from 16.5c to 44.5c, returning to baseline expectations as the market corrected its initial assumptions. March 30, 2026 - March 31, 2026, the Yes price for March 31 plummeted from 46c to 4c, likely because the White House schedule indicated public events extending past 6:30 PM. March 30, 2026 - March 31, 2026, the Yes price for April 1 surged from 43.5c to 92c, possibly due to schedule updates at the time showing no evening events. March 30, 2026, the Yes price for April 3 dropped from 43.5c to 22c, reflecting expectations of a later event that day. March 30, 2026, the Yes price for March 30 surged from 44c to 99.95c, as a full lid was successfully called before 6:30 PM that day. March 28, 2026 - March 29, 2026, the Yes price for the April 4 option surged from 20c to 55.5c before dropping back to 31.5c. This high volatility is likely due to the uncertainty of the weekend schedule, causing the market to repeatedly adjust its expectations for an early lid on a Saturday. March 28, 2026 - March 29, 2026, the Yes price for the March 30 option briefly rose from 42c to 55c before falling back to 44c, likely driven by speculative trading or minor updates regarding Monday's schedule.