[Mandatory Task] Order Book & Fundamentals Comprehensive Assessment: Retrieve the latest campaign updates for the Wisconsin Democratic Primary (such as official announcements from Sara Rodriguez or Mandela Barnes), analyze the bid-ask spread and depth for top candidates in the Polymarket order book, and assess liquidity risks or arbitrage opportunities.

AI-powered analysis for: [Mandatory Task] Order Book & Fundamentals Comprehensive Assessment: Retrieve the latest campaign updates for the Wisconsin Democratic Primary (such as official announcements from Sara Rodriguez or Mandela Barnes), analyze the bid-ask spread and depth for top candidates in the Polymarket order book, and assess liquidity risks or arbitrage opportunities.. Get detailed insights and real-time data on PolyPredict AI.

[Politics] Authoritative Polls Comparison: Search for the latest data from the "Marquette Law School Poll" or "Milwaukee Journal Sentinel" regarding the 2026 Democratic Governor Primary, and compare the polling support for candidates like Chris Larson and David Crowley against their current Polymarket odds for significant deviations.

AI-powered analysis for: [Politics] Authoritative Polls Comparison: Search for the latest data from the "Marquette Law School Poll" or "Milwaukee Journal Sentinel" regarding the 2026 Democratic Governor Primary, and compare the polling support for candidates like Chris Larson and David Crowley against their current Polymarket odds for significant deviations.. Get detailed insights and real-time data on PolyPredict AI.

[General] Opportunity Cost of Capital: Given the resolution date of August 11, 2026, calculate the opportunity cost of locking up funds for approximately 5 months. Compare this against risk-free yields in DeFi protocols over the same period to evaluate if the potential ROI on the current favorite is sufficient to cover the time cost.

AI-powered analysis for: [General] Opportunity Cost of Capital: Given the resolution date of August 11, 2026, calculate the opportunity cost of locking up funds for approximately 5 months. Compare this against risk-free yields in DeFi protocols over the same period to evaluate if the potential ROI on the current favorite is sufficient to cover the time cost.. Get detailed insights and real-time data on PolyPredict AI.

Wisconsin Governor Democratic Primary Winner

Politics|$52.3k Vol|

99 days 11 hrs

Wisconsin Governor Democratic Primary Winner - AI Mispricing Alert

AI Signal Dashboard

Last updated: 04.30 04:00

Top Undervalued

+9.5¢

Sara Rodriguez(Yes)

+5¢

Mandela Barnes(No)

+4.6¢

Zachary Roper(Yes)

Wisconsin Governor Democratic Primary Winner AI analysis: • +9.5¢ undervalued • Live Prediction Market fair value & mispricing alerts.

Undervalued Options Insights:

Based on the latest price trends and fair value assessment, Francesca Hong's price has steadily clim...

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All Outcomes

Market Price

AI Fair Value

Value Edge

Sara Rodriguez

YesNo

8.5¢

91.5¢

18¢

82¢

+9.5¢

0¢

Mandela Barnes

YesNo

40¢

60¢

35¢

65¢

0¢

+5¢

Expand to view all 13 options

⚠️ Risk Warning: Live data may lag! Prices can shift instantly due to news or low liquidity. Before trading, use AI Chat for [Live Recalculate], [Check Liquidity], [Trollbox Radar], or review [Fair Value Logic] to verify.

Movers

April 28, 2026 - April 29, 2026, Zachary Roper's price surged from 0.35c to 14.2c, and Chris Larson's price spiked from 0.6c to 14.25c, likely due to favorable news regarding their campaign dynamics, endorsements, or polling data that broke their prolonged near-zero pricing. March 12, 2026 - March 19, 2026, the market was in consolidation; no major candidate saw price movements exceeding 10c. David Crowley stabilized around 7.5c after recovering from lows, digesting the previous revaluation. February 25, 2026 - March 3, 2026, Francesca Hong's price surged from 10c to 29c after a new Marquette Law School poll showed her leading or tied with Mandela Barnes at 11% support, solidifying her status as a top-tier contender. February 25, 2026 - February 27, 2026, Sara Rodriguez's price plummeted from 26c to 14c because the same poll showed the sitting Lieutenant Governor with only 6% support, significantly below expectations, causing a brief collapse in market confidence.