XRP price on May 17?
Crypto|$10.8k Vol|
time12 hrs 50 mins

XRP price on May 17? - AI Mispricing Alert

AI Signal Dashboard

Last updated:
Top Undervalued
0¢
1.00-1.10(Yes)

XRP price on May 17? AI analysis: • Live Prediction Market fair value & mispricing alerts.

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NHL Playoffs: Team to advance to Conference Finals
Sports|$39.4k Vol|
time5 days 20 hrs

NHL Playoffs: Team to advance to Conference Finals

Top Undervalued
+30.5¢
Buffalo Sabres(No)
+20¢
Montreal Canadiens(Yes)
Undervalued Options Insights:
The Montreal Canadiens currently hold a 3-2 series lead over the Buffalo Sabres in the second round ...
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Movers
May 13, 2026 - May 16, 2026: The Montreal Canadiens' Yes price surged from 51.5c to 79.5c (while the Buffalo Sabres dropped from 50c to 20.5c) because the Canadiens won Game 5 on May 14 with a 6-3 victory, taking a 3-2 series lead and pushing the Sabres to the brink of elimination. May 11, 2026 - May 13, 2026: The Montreal Canadiens' Yes price dropped from 69.5c to 51.5c because the Buffalo Sabres won Game 4 on May 12, tying the series at 2-2.
AI Analysis
Explain in simple terms the exact conditions for a team to resolve as 'Yes' or 'No' for reaching the 2026 NHL Conference Finals, including what happens if the playoffs are delayed past June 30, 2026.
Toronto Mayoral Election Winner
Politics|$30.6k Vol|
time162 days 8 hrs

Toronto Mayoral Election Winner

Top Undervalued
+8¢
Ana Bailão(Yes)
+7.5¢
Olivia Chow(No)
Undervalued Options Insights:
As the incumbent mayor of Toronto, Olivia Chow holds a significant incumbency advantage, giving her ...
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AI Analysis
What are the latest polling numbers for incumbent Olivia Chow compared to challengers like Ana Bailão and Brad Bradford, and how do they compare to the current Polymarket odds?
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by...?
Politics|$285.9k Vol|
time13 days 20 hrs

Will Trump restart Project Freedom by...?

Top Undervalued
+8.5¢
May 31(No)
Undervalued Options Insights:
According to reports on May 11, 2026, President Trump stated he is 'considering' relaunching Project...
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Rule Risk
The main risk lies in the subjective interpretation of what constitutes a 'substantially equivalent' military program. Furthermore, distinguishing between 'definitive announcements' and mere 'expressions of openness' could lead to resolution disputes.
Hedging
Crude Oil
The Strait of Hormuz is a critical chokepoint for global oil transit. Restarting US military escorts for commercial ships implies an escalation in geopolitical tensions and a high risk of supply disruption, which would act as a strong bullish catalyst for Crude Oil prices. Concurrently, Gold would see a slight boost as a safe haven, while broad equities (S&P 500) might face pressure from rising energy costs and war fears.
AI Analysis
How exactly does this market resolve? What defines a 'definitive announcement' or a 'substantially equivalent' program to Project Freedom in the Strait of Hormuz by Trump or the US military?
"Michael" 4th Weekend Box Office
Culture|$111.3k Vol|
time1 days 8 hrs

"Michael" 4th Weekend Box Office

Top Undervalued
+29.5¢
>25m(No)
+29¢
22-25m(Yes)
Undervalued Options Insights:
Based on the latest weekend box office performance and early Friday estimates, 'Michael' continues t...
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Movers
May 15, 2026 - May 16, 2026: The price of '>25m' surged from 39.5c to 55c, while '22-25m' dropped from 54c to 42c. This shift occurred due to stronger-than-expected Friday preliminary box office estimates, prompting an upward revision in market expectations. May 13, 2026 - May 14, 2026: The price of '>25m' surged from 49c to 65.5c, while '<19m' plummeted from 22c to 1.85c. This shift occurred because approaching weekend estimates and presales data indicated exceptionally strong legs for the movie, leading the market to rapidly price out the lower brackets.
AI Analysis
Explain in ELI5 terms: What are the exact resolution criteria and win/loss conditions for this prediction market on 'Michael's' 4th-weekend box office?
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?
Geopolitics|$194.8k Vol|
time408 days 20 hrs

Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?

Top Undervalued
+3.5¢
(No)
Undervalued Options Insights:
Most geopolitical experts and intelligence agencies assess that while Chinese leadership has instruc...
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Rule Risk
Moderate risk. While 'military offensive intended to establish control' is specific, scenarios like naval blockades, cyber warfare, or seizing minor outposts could trigger heavy debate over 'intent' and the definition of 'offensive'. Relying on media consensus for resolution also introduces subjectivity.
Hedging
Nasdaq 100
TSM
Gold
S&P 500
DXY
A Taiwan conflict would catastrophically disrupt the global semiconductor supply chain, causing extreme structural shocks to the Nasdaq 100 and S&P 500, with Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) facing a severe crash. Simultaneously, extreme war panic would trigger massive safe-haven flows, driving Gold and the US Dollar Index (DXY) significantly higher.
AI Analysis
Explain in the simplest terms: What are the exact resolution criteria and win/loss conditions for this market on whether China will invade Taiwan by 2027?
All Outcomes
Market Price
AI Fair Value
Value Edge
1.00-1.10
YesNo
0.1¢
100¢
0.1¢
100¢
0¢
0¢
1.50-1.60
YesNo
1.4¢
99.6¢
1.4¢
99.5¢
0¢
0¢

Expand to view all 11 options

⚠️ Risk Warning: Live data may lag! Prices can shift instantly due to news or low liquidity. Before trading, use AI Chat for [Live Recalculate], [Check Liquidity], [Trollbox Radar], or review [Fair Value Logic] to verify.
AI Insights & Reasoning:
Positive Factor 1: VWAP Deviation Rate, 0.0050, Impact-Intense, Factor description Intraday average cost: percentage deviation of price relative to intraday VWAP Positive Factor 2: Hourly MA20 Deviation Rate, 0.0020, Impact-Strong, Factor description Institutional control indicator: deviation of price relative to the 20-hour moving average Negative Factor 1: Hourly MA60 Deviation Rate, -0.0210, Impact-Intense, Factor description Intraday trend direction: deviation of price relative to the 60-hour moving average (~2.5 days) Negative Factor 2: Daily MA10 Deviation Rate, -0.0170, Impact-Strong, Factor description Short-term defense line: deviation of price relative to the 10-day moving average Negative Factor 3: Intraday Volatility Exhaustion Rate, 0.0430, Impact-Medium, Factor description Volatility exhaustion: today range relative to the 14-day average range

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