[Mandatory Task] Retrieve the latest Order Book data for 'Will Trump declare war on Iran' on Polymarket, analyze the bid-ask spread and depth given the approaching March 31, 2026 deadline, and assess if the price reflects rational geopolitical risk or retail panic.

[Mandatory Task] Order Book & Fundamentals Comprehensive Assessment: Analyze the order book depth and spread for the Feb 28/Mar 31 options regarding Prymorske's capture. Simultaneously, compare the latest 'red shading' coverage on the ISW map against DeepStateMap's live frontline to assess if the current odds accurately reflect the actual momentum of Russian forces and the remaining distance to be covered in Zaporizhzhia.

[Mandatory Task] Retrieve the latest order book data and the $350k trading volume for the 'Zelenskyy out by March 2026' market to assess liquidity depth. Combine this with fundamental analysis by searching for breaking news regarding a potential 'government reset' or Zelenskyy's health, paying special attention to the rule that 'an announcement of resignation resolves to Yes immediately,' and analyze if the current price reflects the risk of an early announcement.

[Mandatory Task] Comprehensive Assessment: Visit the Polymarket page for this event to analyze the Order Book depth and user discussions regarding Mojtaba Khamenei's movements, and update the assessment of fair value and risks for the 'Yes' options (March 31 or April 30) based on the latest geopolitical news.

[Mandatory Task] Retrieve the latest status of the "Kharg Island oil terminal strike" market on Polymarket (Volume: $6444), analyze the order book depth and bid-ask spread to assess liquidity risks, and combine with the latest March 2026 geopolitical news to update the fair value assessment of a "Yes" outcome.

[Mandatory Task] Order Book & Fundamentals Comprehensive Assessment: Retrieve the latest official statements from the National Electoral Council (CNE) regarding the election calendar, analyze the liquidity depth and spread between the 'March 31' and 'December 31' options on Polymarket, and assess if the market is overpricing the risk of the 'Barbados Agreement' negotiations collapsing.

[Mandatory Task] Retrieve the latest Polymarket order book data and user discussions for 'US/Israel strike on Fordow', and combine this with recent geopolitical news regarding Iran's uranium enrichment levels to assess whether the current odds accurately reflect the risk of military conflict through 2026.

[Mandatory Task] Order Book & Fundamentals Comprehensive Assessment: Retrieve the latest geopolitical developments between Greece and Turkey (e.g., diplomatic statements, scheduled naval exercises in the Aegean) and combine this with the Polymarket order book depth and spread to analyze whether the current odds reasonably reflect the true risk of a 'substantial military engagement'.

[Mandatory Task] Retrieve the latest Polymarket data for "Masoud Pezeshkian out by...?", specifically analyzing the volume and implied probability differences between the March 31, June 30, and December 31 options. Does the liquidity in the longer-dated (Dec 2026) order book support a valid fair value assessment, or is it distorted by low volume?

[Mandatory Task] Order Book & Fundamentals Comprehensive Assessment: Visit the Polymarket page for this event to analyze the latest odds spread between 'No Prison Time' and the sentencing brackets. Combine this with Maduro's current fugitive status and the Dec 31, 2027 deadline to reassess if current prices reasonably reflect the risks of 'no trial in absentia' and time decay.

[Mandatory Task] Order Book & Fundamentals Comprehensive Assessment: Retrieve the latest information, visit the Polymarket page for the corresponding Event to analyze the Order Book and user discussions, and update the assessment of fair value, arbitrage strategies, and risks regarding the Trump administration recognizing Pahlavi.

Visit the Polymarket page for 'US announces military support of Kurds in Iran by March 31' to analyze the order book depth and recent trading activity; specifically, assess if the extremely low volume ($100) indicates a market consensus that an 'official policy announcement' is highly unlikely, and determine if the current bid-ask spread offers any actionable arbitrage opportunities or presents a liquidity trap.

[Mandatory Task] Order Book & Fundamentals Comprehensive Assessment: Retrieve the latest order book data and user discussions for the 'Nothing Ever Happens: 2026' market. Analyze the bid-ask spread to identify which specific trigger condition (e.g., 'China invades Taiwan' vs. '9.0 Earthquake') is currently viewed as the primary risk, and assess the fair value of the 'Yes' price given the cumulative probability of all 13 failure scenarios.

Retrieve the latest data from IMF Portwatch for the Strait of Hormuz, analyze the order book flows and implied probabilities for each bracket (e.g., 40-50 vs 50-60) on Polymarket, and assess whether the market's pricing of geopolitical risk is fair.