Bitcoin above ___ on April 4?
Crypto|$19.4k Vol|
time6 days 11 hrs

Bitcoin above ___ on April 4? - AI Found +23.8¢ Mispricing

AI Signal Dashboard

Last updated:
Top Undervalued
+23.8¢
64,000(No)
+23.4¢
62,000(No)
+20.3¢
66,000(No)

Bitcoin above ___ on April 4? AI analysis: • +23.8¢ undervalued • Live Prediction Market fair value & mispricing alerts.

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What will be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?
netflix|$11.2k Vol|
time1 days 19 hrs

What will be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?

Top Undervalued
+2.2¢
Gaslit By My Husband: The Morgan Metzer Story(No)
+1.4¢
War Machine(No)
Undervalued Options Insights:
Based on the latest streaming ranking data, the top movies on Netflix US are not in the list of opti...
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Exotics
While Netflix rankings are a topic of public interest, predicting specifically the '#2' movie falls into a niche prediction market category. It attracts entertainment industry watchers or specific data geeks, rather than being a broad question the general public naturally contemplates.
Movers
March 24, 2026 - March 25, 2026, the price of Gaslit By My Husband: The Morgan Metzer Story plummeted from 26c to 4c, as the market realized its chances of being #2 were extremely low. March 24, 2026 - March 25, 2026, the price of The Captive plummeted from 40.5c to 2.55c, due to actual ranking data showing it had no chance of reaching the top. March 24, 2026 - March 25, 2026, the price of Trap House plummeted from 40.5c to 2.55c, caused by fierce competition and lower-than-expected actual viewership. March 24, 2026 - March 25, 2026, the price of Trolls plummeted from 40.5c to 2.55c, similar to other initially overvalued options, as actual streaming data did not support its high price. March 24, 2026 - March 25, 2026, the price of War Machine plummeted from 44.5c to 5c, because the market realized the actual top list was dominated by unlisted movies.
AI Analysis
2026 NCAA Tournament Winner
Sports|$22.7m Vol|
time5 days 19 hrs

2026 NCAA Tournament Winner

Top Undervalued
+1.8¢
Illinois(Yes)
+1.6¢
Arizona(No)
Undervalued Options Insights:
As the 2026 NCAA Tournament enters its final stages, market prices reflect the latest game results. ...
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Movers
March 28, 2026 - March 29, 2026, Arizona's price surged from 28.8c to 35.25c, likely due to a crucial victory that significantly boosted their championship prospects. March 28, 2026 - March 29, 2026, Purdue's price crashed from 10.15c to 0.3c, as they were likely eliminated from the tournament. March 28, 2026 - March 29, 2026, Iowa's price crashed from 2.45c to 0.05c, as they were likely eliminated. March 28, 2026 - March 28, 2026, Illinois's price dropped slightly from 13.1c to 11.95c, but remained high around 12c. March 26, 2026 - March 27, 2026, Houston's price crashed from approximately 11c to 0.05c after being upset and eliminated from the tournament. March 26, 2026 - March 27, 2026, Illinois's price surged from 5.55c to 12.75c following a crucial victory that advanced them to the next round, significantly boosting their championship prospects. March 23, 2026, Florida's price crashed from 10.65c to 0.05c after the defending champion and No. 1 seed was stunned by No. 9 Iowa, 73-72, in the Round of 32. This massive upset fundamentally reshaped the market's probability distribution. March 21, 2026 - March 24, 2026, Houston's price rose from 7.5c to 11.5c, driven by dominant double-digit victories and home-court advantage (prior to their eventual elimination).
AI Analysis
How many times will the US strike Somalia in March?
Politics|$686.3k Vol|
time5 days 19 hrs

How many times will the US strike Somalia in March?

Top Undervalued
+0.5¢
6-9(No)
+0.5¢
≤5(Yes)
Undervalued Options Insights:
As of March 28, with only about 7 days left until expiration, the price for '≤5' has surged from aro...
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Exotics
This is a niche geopolitical/military prediction market. While US military operations in Somalia are real and serious, predicting the exact number of strikes is a specialized topic for the general public, less common than elections or sports.
Movers
March 27, 2026 - March 28, 2026, the price of '≤5' surged from 13c to 61.45c, while '6-9' plummeted from 86c to 39.5c. This was driven by the continued lack of new confirmed AFRICOM strikes recently, causing the market to aggressively upgrade expectations that the final count will stall at or below 5. March 21, 2026 - March 23, 2026, the price of '6-9' rose from 56c to 67c, driven by the confirmation of a strike on March 19 against Al-Shabaab. This pushed the running total to ~5, making the 6-9 range the immediate statistical favorite and triggering FOMO buying. March 13, 2026 - March 16, 2026, the price of '≤5' surged from 20.5c to 39c, while '6-9' plummeted from 47.5c to 32.5c. This volatility was driven by the complete absence of confirmed strikes in the first week of March, causing the market to aggressively downgrade total count expectations.
AI Analysis
NCAA Tournament: Team to make Semifinals
Sports|$52.7k Vol|
time5 days 19 hrs

NCAA Tournament: Team to make Semifinals

Top Undervalued
+30.9¢
Purdue(Yes)
+29.9¢
Arizona(No)
Undervalued Options Insights:
The current date is March 28, 2026, and the NCAA Tournament is in the Elite Eight stage, competing f...
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Movers
March 27, 2026 - March 28, 2026: Michigan State's price surged from 16c to 50c as the team pulled off an upset in the Sweet 16 to advance to the Elite Eight. March 26, 2026 - March 27, 2026: Illinois' price skyrocketed from 29.5c to 74c, Arizona's price rose from 54.5c to 70.5c, and Iowa's price surged from 8.25c to 59.55c (before retreating later), as these teams secured crucial victories, drastically improving their Final Four odds. March 25, 2026 - March 26, 2026: UConn's price plummeted from 51.5c to 19c due to poor performance or facing a tough matchup, dimming their advancement prospects. March 24, 2026 - March 25, 2026: UConn's price increased from 41c to 51.5c due to improved expectations following earlier tournament wins.
AI Analysis
All Outcomes
Market Price
AI Fair Value
Value Edge
64,000
YesNo
77¢
26¢
50.2¢
49.8¢
+23.8¢
62,000
YesNo
89¢
14¢
62.6¢
37.4¢
+23.4¢

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⚠️ Risk Warning: Live data may lag! Prices can shift instantly due to news or low liquidity. Before trading, use AI Chat for [Live Recalculate], [Check Liquidity], [Trollbox Radar], or review [Fair Value Logic] to verify.
AI Insights & Reasoning:
Negative Factor 1: Last Week Low Breakdown Status, 1.0000, Impact-Intense, Factor description Structural breakdown: whether the price falls below last week lowest price (0/1) Negative Factor 2: Quarterly MA60 Deviation Rate, -0.0500, Impact-Intense, Factor description Medium-term trend: deviation of price relative to the 60-day decision moving average Negative Factor 3: Monthly MA20 Deviation Rate, -0.0530, Impact-Intense, Factor description Medium-term strength indicator: deviation of price relative to the 20-day life line Negative Factor 4: Weekly Price Change, -0.0210, Impact-Strong, Factor description Weekly candlestick pattern: percentage change from weekly open to current price Negative Factor 5: Bollinger Midline Deviation Rate, -0.0530, Impact-Strong, Factor description Swing support: deviation of price relative to the Bollinger midline (MA20) Negative Factor 6: Attack Line MA5 Deviation Rate, -0.0210, Impact-Medium, Factor description Short-term breakout potential: deviation of price relative to the 5-day moving average

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Bitcoin above ___ on April 4? - AI Found +23.8¢ Mispricing