Clavicular unbanned from Kick by...?
Culture|$40.6k Vol|
time16 days 21 hrs

Clavicular unbanned from Kick by...? - AI Mispricing Alert

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Last updated: 03.27 23:59
Top Undervalued

Clavicular unbanned from Kick by...? AI analysis: Live Prediction Market fair value & mispricing alerts.

Undervalued Options Insights:
Current market prices indicate a high probability (89c) of Clavicular being unbanned by March 31. Fo...
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Highest temperature in Seattle on March 29?
Weather|$48.7k Vol|
time9 hrs 44 mins

Highest temperature in Seattle on March 29?

Top Undervalued
+12¢
48-49°F(No)
+8.6¢
44-45°F(Yes)
Undervalued Options Insights:
Latest weather forecasts and market trends indicate a significant downward revision in the expected ...
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Movers
March 27, 2026 - March 28, 2026, the price of '46-47°F' surged from 6c to 42.5c. The reason is that approaching the resolution date, updated weather forecasts significantly lowered the expected high temperature. March 27, 2026 - March 28, 2026, the price of '44-45°F' surged from 4c to 28.9c, also driven by firmer forecasts of cooler weather. March 27, 2026 - March 28, 2026, the price of '50-51°F' plummeted from 29.5c to 6.5c as lower temperature forecasts ruled out this warmer range. March 25, 2026 - March 27, 2026, the price of '56°F or higher' plummeted from 25.5c to 3.35c. The reason is that as the date approaches, weather forecasts confirmed cooler weather (highs around 49°F), ruling out unseasonably warm temperatures. March 25, 2026 - March 27, 2026, the price of '48-49°F' surged from 17.0c to 30.5c. The reason is that meteorological models converged, predicting the highest temperature to fall exactly within this range.
AI Analysis
Highest temperature in Chicago on March 29?
Weather|$52.8k Vol|
time9 hrs 44 mins

Highest temperature in Chicago on March 29?

Top Undervalued
+6.5¢
64-65°F(Yes)
+3¢
66-67°F(Yes)
Undervalued Options Insights:
The latest weather forecasts (including NWS and major models) consistently predict a high temperatur...
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Movers
From 2026-03-25 to 2026-03-28, the price of '56-57°F' crashed from 26.5c to 5.6c, as weather forecasts confirmed a significant warming trend as the date approached. From 2026-03-25 to 2026-03-28, the price of '58-59°F' fell from 24.0c to 10.5c, also driven by warmer weather forecasts. From 2026-03-25 to 2026-03-28, the price of '62-63°F' increased from 17.0c to 24.5c (peaking at 29.5c), becoming the new favored range. From 2026-03-25 to 2026-03-27, the price of '53°F or below' plummeted from 24.5c to 2.5c, as weather forecasts indicated significantly warmer temperatures. From 2026-03-25 to 2026-03-27, the price of '64-65°F' surged from 15.5c to 26.5c, temporarily becoming the top prediction in the market.
AI Analysis
Highest temperature in Ankara on March 29?
Weather|$206.9k Vol|
time9 hrs 44 mins

Highest temperature in Ankara on March 29?

Top Undervalued
+19¢
10°C(No)
+17¢
11°C(No)
Undervalued Options Insights:
According to the latest forecasts, the expected high temperature for Ankara (LTAC) on March 29 is be...
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Movers
March 25, 2026 - March 28, 2026, the price of the 9°C option surged from 19.5c to 34.5c, as weather forecast models fine-tuned the expected temperature range, significantly increasing the likelihood of 9°C. March 25, 2026 - March 28, 2026, the price of the 10°C option surged from 18.5c to 38.5c, while the 12°C option dropped from 20c to 2.65c. This was driven by updated weather models revising the expected high for March 29 down from a median of 12°C to roughly 10°C. March 25, 2026 - March 28, 2026, the price of the 8°C option fell from 18.5c to 4.1c as the expected lower bound for the temperature rose. March 25, 2026 - March 26, 2026, the 11°C option experienced high volatility, rising from 17.5c to 29.5c before dropping to 12.5c, reflecting forecast uncertainty during the transition period.
AI Analysis
Highest temperature in Houston on March 29?
Weather|$17.2k Vol|
time9 hrs 44 mins

Highest temperature in Houston on March 29?

Top Undervalued
+6.5¢
84-85°F(No)
+5.5¢
82-83°F(Yes)
Undervalued Options Insights:
Based on the latest weather forecasts (e.g., Google Weather and local KHOU forecasts), the high temp...
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Exotics
Predicting the exact daily high temperature for a specific city is a niche prediction market topic. While not uncommon in weather derivatives, it is somewhat unusual for average retail traders compared to standard political or financial events.
Movers
March 28, 2026 - March 29, 2026, as forecast models confirmed the temperature rebound following the weekend cold front, the price of 82-83°F surged from around 31c to 50c, settling near 44c, while 78-79°F plummeted from 16c to 3c. This was due to weather data consistently converging on a high near 82°F, eliminating earlier concerns of temperatures remaining in the upper 70s. March 25, 2026 - March 27, 2026, weekend weather forecast models continuously adjusted. Shifting forecasts regarding the intensity of the incoming cold front caused multiple options (82-83°F, 84-85°F, 78-79°F) to experience volatile swings, as the market fluctuated between projecting a high in the upper 70s versus the lower 80s.
AI Analysis
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on March 29?
Weather|$28.5k Vol|
time9 hrs 44 mins

Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on March 29?

Top Undervalued
+5.5¢
21°C or below(Yes)
+4¢
22°C(No)
Undervalued Options Insights:
Based on the latest trading data and the extremely short time remaining until resolution (less than ...
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Movers
March 27, 2026 - March 28, 2026, the price of '21°C or below' surged from 49c to 86.5c, as the resolution date approached and short-term weather forecasts highly confirmed the cooler temperature trend. March 26, 2026 - March 27, 2026, the price of '21°C or below' surged from around 10c to 52c, while higher temperature options like '24°C' and '25°C' plummeted from ~24c to under 7c. This was driven by updated weather models ruling out earlier mild projections, expecting cooler northerly winds over Tel Aviv. March 25, 2026 - March 26, 2026, the '22°C' and '23°C' options experienced intense fluctuations of over 10c (touching 37c and 32c respectively), due to divergent guidance from different forecast ensembles (ECMWF and GFS) causing market indecision.
AI Analysis
⚠️ Risk Warning: Live data may lag! Prices can shift instantly due to news or low liquidity. Before trading, use AI Chat for [Live Recalculate], [Check Liquidity], [Trollbox Radar], or review [Fair Value Logic] to verify.
Exotics
This market focuses on the ban status of a specific streamer on a specific platform, representing a highly niche internet culture event that the general public rarely thinks about.
Divergence
There is a significant divergence between options within the prediction market itself. The price for the shorter timeline (March 31) is 89c, much higher than the longer timeline (April 15) at 57.5c. This contradicts basic probability logic, indicating a severe disconnect in liquidity or attention between the different options.

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