AI Signal Dashboard
Last updated: 04.14 21:20
Top Undervalued
+9¢
(No)
Eric Swalwell arrested by May 31? AI analysis: • +9¢ undervalued • Live Prediction Market fair value & mispricing alerts.
Undervalued Options Insights:
The current market price is 14 cents, but there is just over a month left until the expiration date ...
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Outcomes
Market
Price
AI Fair
Value
Value
Edge
YesNo
14¢
86¢
5¢
95¢
0¢
+9¢
⚠️ Risk Warning: Live data may lag! Prices can shift instantly due to news or low liquidity. Before trading, use AI Chat for [Live Recalculate], [Check Liquidity], [Trollbox Radar], or review [Fair Value Logic] to verify.
Exotics
Predicting the arrest of a sitting US Representative by a specific date is a niche and novelty political speculation market. Unless a highly explosive scandal is actively unfolding, the general public rarely considers this.
Divergence
The price of 'Yes' on Polymarket is 14c, implying a 14% chance of arrest. This is significantly elevated, as in the mainstream view, there are currently no active criminal arrest warrants or imminent legal actions against Eric Swalwell. This reflects over-speculation or echo-chamber effects among some participants in the prediction market.