Recent price trends indicate a strong market shift towards extreme highs. The 80°F+ option has surge...

March 25, 2026 - March 26, 2026: The price of '80°F or higher' surged from 14.5c to a peak of 39.5c (currently ~35c) due to short-term weather models significantly upgrading Saturday's high temperature forecast driven by a stronger-than-expected high-pressure ridge. March 25, 2026 - March 26, 2026: The price of '74-75°F' plummeted from 27.5c to 10c as the previously forecasted mild warmup was replaced by a more aggressive heat projection, drastically reducing the probability of hitting this lower bucket.

Based on the latest weather forecasts, the high temperature at Tokyo Haneda Airport on March 28 is e...

This is a prediction market for weather data at a specific location and date. While weather forecasting is common, betting on it falls under 'Novelty Markets,' less mainstream than elections or sports. However, since weather derivatives exist in finance, its exotic nature is moderate.

March 24 - March 26, 2026: The prices of extreme options '11°C or below' and '21°C or higher' plummeted from 25.5c to under 6c. This happened because updated weather forecasts ruled out extreme temperature deviations as the target date approached. March 24 - March 26, 2026: The prices for '17°C' and '18°C' surged from roughly 17c to over 32c, as the latest meteorological data (e.g., AccuWeather forecasting 64°F/17.8°C) locked them in as the most likely outcomes.

Current market prices show Jannik Sinner dominating at 79c. His strong track record at the Miami Ope...

March 23, 2026 - March 26, 2026: Jannik Sinner's price surged from 68.5c to 79c, driven by the consolidation of liquidity into the sole super-favorite as the tournament progressed and key rivals exited, significantly increasing certainty. March 23, 2026 - March 26, 2026: Arthur Fils's price fluctuated upward from 5.15c to 8.35c (peaking at 11.5c), as his upset potential attracted capital seeking high-odds hedges. March 22, 2026 - March 25, 2026: Jannik Sinner's price surged continuously from 48c to 75c, driven by the consolidation of liquidity into the sole super-favorite as the tournament progressed and key rivals exited, significantly increasing certainty. March 21, 2026 - March 24, 2026: Alexander Zverev's price crashed from 25.5c to 6.45c, reflecting a decline in market confidence and a massive liquidity drain caused by the siphoning effect towards Sinner. March 21, 2026 - March 23, 2026: Prices for players like Jiri Lehecka and Frances Tiafoe corrected drastically from anomalous highs of ~49c down to single digits, highly likely due to early illiquidity or the normalization of data initialization errors.

The latest weather forecasts (e.g., Google Weather, AccuWeather, Time and Date) indicate that the hi...

Between 2026-03-26 01:40 and 2026-03-26 07:05, the price of the 18°C option surged from 27.5c to 40.5c, driven by updated meteorological models converging tightly around this temperature. Between 2026-03-25 15:55 and 2026-03-26 02:45, the price of the 19°C option plunged from 29.5c to 15.5c, as some short-term forecasts slightly lowered the expected high, causing capital to rebalance across adjacent temperature ranges.

As of March 27, 2026, with only about 4 days left until settlement, the yes price for ↓ $275 has sur...

This event directly tracks Alphabet (GOOGL) stock performance. If extreme options (e.g., '↓ $240' or '↑ $420') are triggered, it implies a structural shock (>20% move) within a single month, representing an 'Extreme' impact (Score 5) for GOOGL and a significant mover for the Nasdaq 100 (Score 3) due to its heavy weighting. Buying specific outcomes serves as a direct portfolio hedge.

March 26, 2026 - March 27, 2026, the price of ↓ $275 surged significantly from 21c to 57.5c, before stabilizing around 50c. This was caused by GOOGL experiencing significant downward pressure very close to the settlement date, making a drop below 275 a high-probability event, which the market urgently repriced. March 25, 2026 - March 26, 2026, the price of ↓ $260 briefly spiked from 9.65c to 44.35c before quickly falling back to ~10c, driven by extreme intraday volatility in GOOGL sparking short-term speculation and triggering stop-losses around the $260 level. March 24, 2026 - March 25, 2026, the price of ↓ $290 surged from 45c to 99.95c, as GOOGL stock continued to plunge intraday and confirmed touching the $290 trigger line, leading the market to price it as a certainty. March 24, 2026, the price of ↓ $290 oddly dropped from 57c to 45c. This is likely because the snapshot time captured pre-market stability and failed to reflect the subsequent intraday crash, which should have significantly increased the option's value. Mar 20, 2026 - Mar 23, 2026, the price of ↓ $290 surged from 29.5c to 57c, while ↑ $320 collapsed from 30.5c to 9c, as GOOGL failed to hold the $305 recovery level and plunged to $293 on the 23rd, triggering a sharp repricing of downside risk.