Ethereum above ___ on April 4?
Crypto|$10.1k Vol|
time5 days 20 hrs

Ethereum above ___ on April 4? - AI Found +20.9¢ Mispricing

AI Signal Dashboard

Last updated:
Top Undervalued
+20.9¢
1,900(No)
+19.3¢
1,800(No)
+5.8¢
2,100(No)

Ethereum above ___ on April 4? AI analysis: • +20.9¢ undervalued • Live Prediction Market fair value & mispricing alerts.

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"They Will Kill You" Rotten Tomatoes score?
Culture|$19.1k Vol|
time4 hrs 54 mins

"They Will Kill You" Rotten Tomatoes score?

Top Undervalued
+4.6¢
70+(Yes)
+1.6¢
60+(No)
Undervalued Options Insights:
Currently, 'They Will Kill You' has over 100 critical reviews on Rotten Tomatoes, with the Tomatomet...
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Movers
March 27, 2026 - March 28, 2026, the Yes price for 65+ plunged from 94.5c to 55.5c, and 70+ plummeted from 58.5c to 1.25c. The reason is that as the review count surpassed 100, the score settled around 66%-67%, crushing hopes for a 70+ score and introducing slight market fears of a drop below 65%. March 25, 2026 - March 27, 2026, the Yes price for 60+ surged from 43c to 98c, and 65+ surged from 40.5c to 94.5c, while the Yes price for 75+ plummeted from 44.5c to 2c. The reason is that as more early reviews were published and aggregated on Rotten Tomatoes, the film's score gradually locked into the 65-74% range, eliminating the likelihood of extremely high or low scores.
AI Analysis
Elon Musk # tweets March 28 - March 30, 2026?
Culture|$1.6m Vol|
time20 hrs 54 mins

Elon Musk # tweets March 28 - March 30, 2026?

Top Undervalued
+20.5¢
<40(No)
+9¢
40-64(Yes)
Undervalued Options Insights:
With over 17 hours of the tracking window already passed, Musk's actual posting frequency is signifi...
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Rule Risk
Moderate risk exists as resolution heavily relies on a specific third-party tracker rather than native X data. Distinguishing between standard replies (excluded) and 'main feed replies' (included) could cause confusion, and posts deleted under 5 minutes risk being uncounted if the tracker misses them.
Exotics
Betting on the exact frequency of a billionaire's social media posts over a specific 48-hour window is a highly niche and novelty proposition. Normal people do not track tweet volumes at this granular level.
Movers
March 28, 2026 - March 29, 2026: The price of the 40-64 option surged from 19.5c to 59.5c, and the <40 option rose from 1.25c to 16.3c; meanwhile, the 65-89 option plummeted from 48.5c to 18.5c, and the 90-114 option dropped from 24c to 4.55c. This occurred because, after the tracking window opened, traders dynamically repriced the options based on Musk's actual posting volume in the first 17 hours (which was much lower than expected), drastically downgrading the probabilities of higher-frequency brackets. March 26, 2026 - March 28, 2026: The price of the 115-139 option plummeted from 28c to 4.5c. This occurred because as the tracking window approached and began, traders observed that Musk's recent actual posting frequency could not support expectations of very high posting volumes, leading funds to shift toward lower-to-medium frequency brackets. March 26, 2026 - March 27, 2026: Prices for high-frequency options such as 140-164, 165-189, and 190-214 plummeted from around 50c to below 5c. This was caused by an initial overestimation of Musk's posting volume or distorted pricing due to low liquidity. As the tracking window approached, traders aggressively corrected the prices downward to align with his actual recent posting frequency.
AI Analysis
Will Trove refund ICO participants?
Crypto|$23.1k Vol|
time2 days 8 hrs

Will Trove refund ICO participants?

Top Undervalued
+0.1¢
(Yes)
Undervalued Options Insights:
With less than 4 days remaining until the March 31 deadline, it is operationally and practically imp...
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Exotics
This is a highly specific crypto project governance or legal compliance event. Trove (likely referring to a project facing regulatory pressure or community backlash) is not a mainstream topic. It is a niche event within the crypto circle related to specific governance or legal disputes, making it quite obscure to the general public.
AI Analysis
Trump Media x TAE Technologies merger closed by March 31?
Politics|$23.2k Vol|
time1 days 4 hrs

Trump Media x TAE Technologies merger closed by March 31?

Top Undervalued
+0.3¢
(No)
Undervalued Options Insights:
As of March 29, 2026, with only about 1.5 days left until the March 31 deadline, closing a merger in...
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Exotics
This is a highly counter-intuitive M&A deal. Merging a politically charged crypto/social media firm (Trump Media) with a frontier fusion energy company (TAE) spans vast sectors and carries significant 'meme' energy, making it an atypical commercial operation.
Hedging
DJT
This event is existential for Trump Media (DJT) stock. A successful merger transforms DJT from a social media play into a fusion tech stock, completely restructuring its valuation model; failure or delay by the deadline could cause speculative premiums to collapse instantly. It is the primary direct hedge for the stock.
AI Analysis
All Outcomes
Market Price
AI Fair Value
Value Edge
1,900
YesNo
75¢
28¢
51.1¢
48.9¢
+20.9¢
1,800
YesNo
89¢
13¢
67.7¢
32.3¢
+19.3¢

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⚠️ Risk Warning: Live data may lag! Prices can shift instantly due to news or low liquidity. Before trading, use AI Chat for [Live Recalculate], [Check Liquidity], [Trollbox Radar], or review [Fair Value Logic] to verify.
AI Insights & Reasoning:
Negative Factor 1: Last Week Low Breakdown Status, 1.0000, Impact-Intense, Factor description Structural breakdown: whether the price falls below last week lowest price (0/1) Negative Factor 2: Quarterly MA60 Deviation Rate, -0.0410, Impact-Intense, Factor description Medium-term trend: deviation of price relative to the 60-day decision moving average Negative Factor 3: Monthly MA20 Deviation Rate, -0.0570, Impact-Intense, Factor description Medium-term strength indicator: deviation of price relative to the 20-day life line Negative Factor 4: Weekly Price Change, -0.0270, Impact-Strong, Factor description Weekly candlestick pattern: percentage change from weekly open to current price Negative Factor 5: Bollinger Midline Deviation Rate, -0.0570, Impact-Strong, Factor description Swing support: deviation of price relative to the Bollinger midline (MA20) Negative Factor 6: Attack Line MA5 Deviation Rate, -0.0220, Impact-Medium, Factor description Short-term breakout potential: deviation of price relative to the 5-day moving average

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Ethereum above ___ on April 4? - AI Found +20.9¢ Mispricing