Ethereum above ___ on March 30?
Crypto|$12.2k Vol|
time4 days 20 hrs

Ethereum above ___ on March 30? - AI Found +23.9¢ Mispricing

AI Signal Dashboard

Last updated:
Top Undervalued
+23.9¢
2,100(No)
+23.5¢
2,000(No)
+14.6¢
2,200(No)

Ethereum above ___ on March 30? AI analysis: • +23.9¢ undervalued • Live Prediction Market fair value & mispricing alerts.

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Flu Hospitalization Rate Week 11, 2026?
Science|$16.2k Vol|
time1 days 4 hrs

Flu Hospitalization Rate Week 11, 2026?

Top Undervalued
+1¢
80–90(Yes)
+0.9¢
<60(No)
Undervalued Options Insights:
Based on recent market pricing and previous analysis, the cumulative hospitalization rate for Week 1...
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Exotics
This is a relatively specialized public health data market. While the flu season is common knowledge, the general public rarely tracks the specific 'cumulative hospitalization rate per 100,000'. It qualifies as a niche market, appealing mostly to data geeks or public health observers rather than the general public.
Movers
March 23, 2026 - March 24, 2026, the price of the '90-100' option spiked from 0.65c to 40.6c before crashing back to 3.2c, likely due to a short-lived speculative bet on an abnormal data surge, which quickly corrected as the market rationalized. March 20, 2026 - March 23, 2026, the market rapidly completed price discovery following the CDC data release on March 20, with the '80-90' option consolidating in the high 96c-98c range, while other options collapsed near zero.
AI Analysis
Retrieve the latest information, visit the Polymarket page for the 'Flu Hospitalization Rate Week 11, 2026' event to analyze the Order Book (currently low volume at $75.0) and user discussions, and update the assessment of fair value, liquidity risks, and potential spread issues.
#1 song on Spotify this week? (March 27)
Culture|$152.5k Vol|
time1 days 4 hrs

#1 song on Spotify this week? (March 27)

Top Undervalued
+1.4¢
SWIM - BTS(Yes)
Arbitrage Opportunity
3¢
Arbitrage
750%
Annualized yield
Arbitrage|Low Risk
Arbitrage Plan: Buy Yes on 'SWIM - BTS' Plan Description: This is a very low-risk yield opportunity (Soft Arb). 'SWIM - BTS' has effectively locked up the win...
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Undervalued Options Insights:
We are currently on Day 5 of the Spotify tracking week (March 20 - March 26). Since its release on M...
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Movers
March 21, 2026 - March 22, 2026, 'Babydoll - Dominic Fike' crashed from 66c to under 2c, and 'Risk It All - Bruno Mars' fell from 37.5c to 1.5c. This massive repricing was triggered by early streaming data for the tracking week beginning March 20, which revealed that BTS's new single 'SWIM' debuted with a dominant lead (approx. 2x the streams of competitors), causing the market to effectively declare the race over and rendering previous favorites worthless.
AI Analysis
[Mandatory Task] Order Book & Fundamentals Comprehensive Assessment: Visit the Polymarket page to analyze the current odds and order book depth for 'Babydoll', 'DtMF', and 'Risk It All', and combine this with the latest data from Spotify Charts (Global Daily) for March 20 to assess if the market price accurately reflects the current cumulative streaming lead.
2026 Men’s Miami Open Winner
|$275.8k Vol|
time4 days 4 hrs

2026 Men’s Miami Open Winner

Top Undervalued
+9.5¢
Jannik Sinner(No)
+4.5¢
Alexander Zverev(Yes)
Undervalued Options Insights:
Although Jannik Sinner is dominant and his win probability naturally increases as he advances, a pri...
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Movers
March 22, 2026 - March 24, 2026: Jannik Sinner's price surged continuously from 48c to 74.5c, driven by the consolidation of liquidity into the sole favorite following Alcaraz's exit, alongside increased certainty as the tournament progresses. March 21, 2026 - March 24, 2026: Alexander Zverev's price crashed from 25.5c to 6.5c, reflecting a collapse in market confidence and a liquidity drain caused by the siphoning effect towards Sinner. March 21, 2026 - March 23, 2026: Prices for players like Jiri Lehecka and Tommy Paul corrected drastically from anomalous highs of ~49c (likely data initialization errors or illiquid pricing) down to single digits.
Divergence
Divergence exists. Market pricing (Sinner 75%) implies the tournament outcome is nearly a foregone conclusion. However, sports betting models and experts typically cap 'absolute favorites' at this stage around 55%-65% win probability. The prediction market is exhibiting extreme herding behavior, prematurely discounting the possibility of an upset by contenders like Zverev or Fils.
AI Analysis
[Mandatory Task] Visit the Polymarket page for this event and cross-reference with the live 2026 Miami Open draw/bracket. Analyze the Order Book to determine if the odds for remaining players are fair, specifically focusing on the spread between favorites (e.g., Sinner, Alcaraz) and surging underdogs to identify potential arbitrage or mispricing.
Highest temperature in Paris on March 26?
Weather|$39.1k Vol|
time16 hrs 46 mins

Highest temperature in Paris on March 26?

Top Undervalued
+4¢
11°C(No)
+3¢
8°C(Yes)
Undervalued Options Insights:
As the resolution time approaches (less than 1 day away), meteorological models have reached extreme...
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Movers
March 24, 2026 - March 25, 2026, the price of the 10°C option surged from 29c to 45c, as approaching forecast dates provided firmer meteorological data confirming the high was more likely around 10 degrees rather than the earlier expectation of 9 degrees. March 22, 2026 - March 23, 2026, the price of the 9°C option surged from 18.5c to 35.5c, as meteorological models (like GFS and ECMWF) converged on a specific cooling magnitude around 9 degrees. March 22, 2026 - March 23, 2026, the price of the '14°C or higher' option crashed from 25c to 3.7c, because updated forecasts definitively ruled out a warm front, confirming the arrival of cold air. March 22, 2026 - March 23, 2026, the price of the 5°C option crashed from 17.5c to ~4c, as forecasts refined the temperature range, reducing the probability of extreme cold despite the confirmed temperature drop.
AI Analysis
Retrieve the latest Order Book for the 'Highest temperature in Paris' event, specifically noting the liquidity risk due to the low volume (~$101); compare current odds against real-time forecasts from Wunderground and Meteo France to assess if the market is mispricing the likely temperature range.
Highest temperature in Chengdu on March 27?
Weather|$13.9k Vol|
time1 days 16 hrs

Highest temperature in Chengdu on March 27?

Top Undervalued
+11¢
22°C(Yes)
+5.5¢
20°C(No)
Undervalued Options Insights:
According to the latest weather forecasts, the high temperature in Chengdu on March 27 is expected t...
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Movers
From March 23, 2026, to March 25, 2026, the price of the '24°C or higher' option plummeted from 26c to 13c, as the forecast for extreme heat was revised down as the date approached, returning market expectations to a normal range. From March 23, 2026, to March 25, 2026, the price of the '20°C' option surged from 11c to 24c before falling back to 19c, reflecting forecast volatility in this range.
AI Analysis
Retrieve the latest temperature forecasts for Chengdu Shuangliu Airport (ZUUU) on March 27 from Wunderground and major meteorological models (GFS/ECMWF), and analyze the fair value and potential slippage risks of the temperature ranges (specifically 19°C-23°C) given the current low-liquidity order book ($210 volume).
All Outcomes
Market Price
AI Fair Value
Value Edge
2,100
YesNo
67.5¢
32.5¢
43.6¢
56.4¢
0¢
+23.9¢
2,000
YesNo
88¢
15¢
61.5¢
38.5¢
0¢
+23.5¢

Expand to view all 11 options

⚠️ Risk Warning: Live data may lag! Prices can shift instantly due to news or low liquidity. Before trading, use AI Chat for [Live Recalculate], [Check Liquidity], [Trollbox Radar], or review [Fair Value Logic] to verify.
AI Insights & Reasoning:
Positive Factor 1: Quarterly MA60 Deviation Rate, 0.0050, Impact-Intense, Factor description Medium-term trend: deviation of price relative to the 60-day decision moving average Positive Factor 2: Monthly MA20 Deviation Rate, 0.0230, Impact-Intense, Factor description Medium-term strength indicator: deviation of price relative to the 20-day life line Positive Factor 3: Weekly Price Change, 0.0500, Impact-Strong, Factor description Weekly candlestick pattern: percentage change from weekly open to current price Positive Factor 4: Bollinger Midline Deviation Rate, 0.0230, Impact-Strong, Factor description Swing support: deviation of price relative to the Bollinger midline (MA20) Positive Factor 5: Attack Line MA5 Deviation Rate, 0.0170, Impact-Medium, Factor description Short-term breakout potential: deviation of price relative to the 5-day moving average Negative Factor 1: Volume-Price Divergence Signal, 1.0000, Impact-Strong, Factor description Potential trap signal: detect divergence where price rises but volume decreases

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