Ethereum price on March 30?
Crypto|$13.0k Vol|
time1 days 23 hrs

Ethereum price on March 30? - AI Found +13.3¢ Mispricing

AI Signal Dashboard

Last updated:
Top Undervalued
+13.3¢
2,000-2,100(No)
+4.4¢
1,800-1,900(Yes)
+3.1¢
1,900-2,000(No)

Ethereum price on March 30? AI analysis: • +13.3¢ undervalued • Live Prediction Market fair value & mispricing alerts.

Real-time High Yield Opportunities

View More
Who will win Big Brother Brasil 26?
Culture|$897.9k Vol|
time32 days 7 hrs

Who will win Big Brother Brasil 26?

Top Undervalued
+0.9¢
Gabriela Saporito(No)
+0.7¢
Jordana Morais(No)
Undervalued Options Insights:
Ana Paula Renault's price remains stable around 83c, firmly holding her position as the massive favo...
Log in to see more
Exotics
This is a prediction specific to a country (Brazil) and an entertainment show (Big Brother). While not entirely obscure given the show's massive popularity and viewership, it qualifies as a pop-culture niche market rather than a standard financial or political event.
AI Analysis
[Mandatory Task] Order Book & Fundamentals Comprehensive Assessment: Visit the Polymarket page for 'Who will win Big Brother Brasil 26?', analyze the order book depth, bid-ask spread, and recent volume. Given the current stage of the season (approx. mid-season), assess if the top contenders' prices (e.g., Jordana Morais, Aline Campos) are overvalued due to fan hype and identify potential arbitrage or liquidity risks.
March Inflation US - Annual
Economy|$2.8m Vol|
time12 days 7 hrs

March Inflation US - Annual

Top Undervalued
+0.5¢
2.7%(Yes)
+0.5¢
≥2.8%(Yes)
Undervalued Options Insights:
According to the Cleveland Fed's Inflation Nowcast model, the projected March CPI YoY remains around...
Log in to see more
Hedging
Nasdaq 100
US 10Y Yield
Gold
S&P 500
DXY
US CPI data is a critical input for Federal Reserve interest rate policy. An unexpectedly high inflation reading (e.g., ≥2.8%) would directly push up US Treasury yields (US 10Y Yield), strengthen the Dollar (DXY), and pressure risk assets like the S&P 500 and Nasdaq. Conversely, a significantly lower-than-expected reading (≤2.0%) could be seen as a signal for rate cuts, benefiting equities and Gold. This is a high-correlation, high-impact macro hedging event.
AI Analysis
[Mandatory Task] Order Book & Fundamentals Assessment: Access the Polymarket page for "March Inflation US - Annual". Given the low liquidity (~$7.5k volume), analyze the bid-ask spread and order book depth specifically for the core 2.3%-2.6% buckets. Determine if the current odds distribution reflects true macroeconomic consensus or is distorted by illiquidity, and calculate the potential slippage risk for entry.
Next leader out of power before 2027?
Geopolitics|$2.8m Vol|
time277 days 7 hrs

Next leader out of power before 2027?

Top Undervalued
+8¢
Orbán - Hungary PM(Yes)
+2.6¢
Netanyahu - Israel PM(Yes)
Undervalued Options Insights:
Orbán remains the primary focus. With the April 12 Hungarian election approaching and the opposition...
Log in to see more
Rule Risk
The 'Caretaker' clause creates significant ambiguity and 'race condition' risks. In parliamentary systems (Japan, France, UK), leaders often announce resignation but remain in power for months; the rules explicitly state this does not constitute 'ceasing to occupy' the office. This delay could allow a sudden exit elsewhere (death, coup) to resolve the market first. Additionally, defining 'permanent removal' during chaotic transfers of power or coups can be highly contentious in the short term.
Hedging
Gold
DXY
Crude Oil
S&P 500
This market includes key figures capable of triggering massive global volatility (Trump, Putin, Xi, Netanyahu). An unexpected exit of Trump or Xi would cause a 'black swan' structural shock to the S&P 500 and global safe-haven assets. Meanwhile, changes involving Putin, Netanyahu, or Venezuelan leadership are directly linked to geopolitical risk premiums in Crude Oil. While exits of minor leaders would have negligible impact, the presence of these heavyweights gives this market significant tail-risk hedging value.
AI Analysis
[Mandatory Task] Given the extremely low volume ($5.83) and the inclusion of non-incumbent 'future' leaders (e.g., Merz, Takaichi), analyze the Order Book for any genuine liquidity. Fundamentally, assess whether the probability for non-incumbents should be zero if they are not yet in office, and update the fair value odds for currently active leaders facing war or instability (e.g., Netanyahu, Zelenskyy) to leave before 2027.
Metamask FDV above ___ one day after launch?
Crypto|$2.7m Vol|
time278 days 12 hrs

Metamask FDV above ___ one day after launch?

Top Undervalued
+24.5¢
$2B(Yes)
+18.5¢
$1B(Yes)
Undervalued Options Insights:
The market currently prices the baseline probability of Metamask launching a token (represented by t...
Log in to see more
Rule Risk
The main risks lie in the data source for 'FDV' (Fully Diluted Valuation) and the precise definition of 'Launch'. While launch is defined as 'publicly transferable and tradable', ambiguity exists regarding airdrop claim periods, pre-launch futures, or restricted trading windows. Additionally, FDV relies on total supply data, which can be inaccurate or unverified on aggregators (like CoinGecko/CMC) on day one. The condition that it resolves to 'No' if no token launches by the end of 2026 introduces significant time-bound risk.
Hedging
ETH
MetaMask is critical infrastructure for the Ethereum ecosystem; its token launch and a high valuation would be bullish for Ethereum (ETH) and could signal a resurgence in DeFi. A very high FDV (e.g., >$4B) might catalyze a repricing of related infrastructure tokens or DEX governance tokens like UNI. However, as a project-specific valuation event, its impact is limited to the crypto sector, specifically ETH, rather than broader macro assets.
Divergence
There is a significant internal divergence in market pricing: if Metamask launches a token (priced at ~41.5% probability), its FDV is almost impossible to be below $1B, yet the $1B option is only priced at 19.5%. This steep decay in probability contradicts the actual valuation logic of top-tier crypto projects (mainstream consensus is that if Metamask launches a token, its FDV will be at least in the multi-billion dollar range).
AI Analysis
[Mandatory Task] Order Book & Fundamentals Comprehensive Assessment: Retrieve the latest odds for the Metamask FDV event on Polymarket to analyze the implied probability distribution across the $700M to $4B tiers. Combine this with the latest rumors regarding ConsenSys's (parent company) IPO vs. token launch and its Series D valuation (~$7B) to reassess if the market is mispricing the likelihood of a launch or applying an excessive valuation discount.
OpenAI IPO by...?
Tech|$1.1m Vol|
time277 days 7 hrs

OpenAI IPO by...?

Top Undervalued
+3.5¢
June 30, 2026(No)
Arbitrage Opportunity
5¢
Arbitrage
22.5%
Annualized yield
Arbitrage|Low Risk
Arbitrage Plan: Buy No on 'June 30, 2026' Plan Description: The current No price for 'June 30, 2026' is around 94.5c. Given that it is already late March, compl...
Log in to see more
Undervalued Options Insights:
The 'June 30' option is operationally almost impossible and valued near 0c (2c for extreme tail risk...
Log in to see more
Hedging
MSFT
As OpenAI's largest investor and partner, Microsoft (MSFT) would see its stock significantly impacted by OpenAI's IPO valuation and independence (positively or negatively depending on the structure). An OpenAI IPO would also create spillover effects for the entire AI sector (e.g., NVDA) and competitors (e.g., GOOGL), acting as a bellwether for Nasdaq sentiment.
AI Analysis
[Mandatory Task] Order Book & Fundamentals Comprehensive Assessment: Retrieve the latest rumors regarding OpenAI's IPO (specifically moves by CFO Sarah Friar), visit the Polymarket page to analyze liquidity differences between the June and December 2026 options, and assess if current odds fully price in regulatory hurdles and non-profit structure restructuring risks.
All Outcomes
Market Price
AI Fair Value
Value Edge
2,000-2,100
YesNo
42¢
59¢
27.7¢
72.3¢
0¢
+13.3¢
1,800-1,900
YesNo
9.2¢
97.5¢
13.6¢
86.4¢
+4.4¢
0¢

Expand to view all 11 options

⚠️ Risk Warning: Live data may lag! Prices can shift instantly due to news or low liquidity. Before trading, use AI Chat for [Live Recalculate], [Check Liquidity], [Trollbox Radar], or review [Fair Value Logic] to verify.
AI Insights & Reasoning:
Negative Factor 1: VWAP Deviation Rate, -0.0080, Impact-Intense, Factor description Intraday average cost: percentage deviation of price relative to intraday VWAP Negative Factor 2: Hourly MA60 Deviation Rate, -0.0210, Impact-Intense, Factor description Intraday trend direction: deviation of price relative to the 60-hour moving average (~2.5 days) Negative Factor 3: Hourly MA20 Deviation Rate, -0.0020, Impact-Strong, Factor description Institutional control indicator: deviation of price relative to the 20-hour moving average Negative Factor 4: Daily MA10 Deviation Rate, -0.0480, Impact-Strong, Factor description Short-term defense line: deviation of price relative to the 10-day moving average Negative Factor 5: Intraday Volatility Exhaustion Rate, 0.0210, Impact-Medium, Factor description Volatility exhaustion: today range relative to the 14-day average range

Support

Frequently Asked Questions

1. What is PolyPredict AI and how can I access it?
2. How does the AI determine the "Fair Value"?
3. What makes the "Arbitrage Plans" unique?
4. What is the difference between Event and Live Markets?
5. What are the key differences between the Free and Pro versions?
6. Can I use PolyPredict AI on Telegram?

The All-in-One AI Copilot for Prediction Markets

The All-in-One AI Copilot for Prediction Markets

PolyPredict AIPolyPredict AI
TwitterTelegramEmail
English

Market data provided by PolyMarket.

© 2026 SynthMind AI Limited.