Fetterman out by December 31, 2026?
Politics|$537 Vol|
time242 days 2 hrs

Fetterman out by December 31, 2026? - AI Mispricing Alert

AI Signal Dashboard

Last updated: 04.28 22:22
Top Undervalued
+5¢
(No)

Fetterman out by December 31, 2026? AI analysis: • +5¢ undervalued • Live Prediction Market fair value & mispricing alerts.

Undervalued Options Insights:
The current price for the 'Yes' option remains at 10 cents. Since last month, there has been no nega...
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Real-time High Yield Opportunities

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SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap
Tech|$3.2m Vol|
time607 days 2 hrs

SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap

Top Undervalued
+0.8¢
800B–900B(Yes)
Arbitrage Opportunity
1¢
Arbitrage
0.78%
Annualized yield
Arbitrage|Direct Arb
Arbitrage Plan: Buy 'Yes' shares for all available options to create a fully covered portfolio. Plan Description: The current sum of all 'Yes' prices is approximately 98.7c. Theoretically, buying one 'Yes' share of...
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Undervalued Options Insights:
Market expectations for SpaceX's valuation remain highly optimistic. Recent prices have stabilized a...
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Hedging
TSLA
DXYZ
A SpaceX IPO is a major capital market event. Given Elon Musk's dual leadership, liquidity flows or attention shifts could impact TSLA stock. DXYZ (Destiny Tech100) holds significant private SpaceX shares, making its price extremely sensitive to SpaceX's valuation. Google (Alphabet), as an early investor, would see minor asset revaluation. Overall, this serves as a significant hedge for the space tech sector and Musk-related equities.
AI Analysis
F1 Constructors' Champion
Sports|$14.7m Vol|
time217 days 2 hrs

F1 Constructors' Champion

Top Undervalued
+0.5¢
Mercedes(Yes)
+0.5¢
Ferrari(Yes)
Undervalued Options Insights:
According to the latest market data, Mercedes' implied probability of winning the championship has s...
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Hedging
RACE
Ferrari (RACE) is the only pure-play public stock where F1 performance is a direct material driver. A Championship win under the new 2026 regulations would significantly boost brand value and stock price (meriting a score of 3). Liberty Media (FWONA) owns F1, but a specific team winning is neutral for them. For Mercedes (MBG.DE), F1 success is a minor factor relative to their massive automotive operations.
Movers
May 1 - May 2, 2026, Mercedes' price dropped from 76.5c to 64.5c, while McLaren rose from 7.5c to 14.5c and Ferrari also climbed to 14.5c. This was driven by recent track performances or data updates indicating stronger competitiveness from McLaren and Ferrari, significantly narrowing the gap with Mercedes. Apr 28 - May 1, 2026, the overall market remained stable with no option experiencing a fluctuation of more than 10c. Mercedes' price stabilized around 76.5c, and Ferrari stabilized between 11.5c and 12.5c, indicating no major breaking news or track data updates recently. Apr 27 - Apr 30, 2026, the overall market remained stable. Mercedes stabilized around 76.5c, and Ferrari at 11.5c. Apr 26 - Apr 29, 2026, the overall market remained stable. Mercedes' price stabilized between 76c and 77.5c, and Ferrari between 11.5c and 12c. Apr 24 - Apr 26, 2026, the overall market remained stable. Mercedes stabilized between 76c and 76.5c. Apr 22 - Apr 24, 2026, the market remained stable. Mercedes stabilized in the 76.5c-77.5c range. Apr 11 - Apr 23, 2026, the overall market continuously remained stable with no option experiencing a fluctuation of more than 10c. Mar 13 - Mar 16, 2026, Mercedes' price surged from 58.5c to 80.5c, driven by overwhelming victories in Australia and China that confirmed their engine advantage.
AI Analysis
Next Prime Minister of Sweden
World|$1.9m Vol|
time133 days 2 hrs

Next Prime Minister of Sweden

Top Undervalued
+0.7¢
Ebba Busch(No)
+0.5¢
Magdalena Andersson(Yes)
Undervalued Options Insights:
The Swedish political landscape remains tightly balanced. The Red-Green bloc maintains a slight edge...
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AI Analysis
West Bengal Legislative Assembly Election Winner
Elections|$4.7m Vol|
time4 days 2 hrs

West Bengal Legislative Assembly Election Winner

Top Undervalued
+0.4¢
BJP(Yes)
Undervalued Options Insights:
Current market pricing indicates an extremely tight race between AITC (54c) and BJP (45.6c). Followi...
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Hedging
EPI
INDA
The election is primarily a contest between the incumbent AITC and the challenger BJP. A surprise victory or significant seat gain for the BJP would be viewed as a major political consolidation for the Modi government, likely triggering a rally in India-focused ETFs (e.g., INDA, EPI). An AITC victory, being the status quo, would likely be priced in with neutral impact. There is no correlation with US domestic assets like the S&P 500.
AI Analysis
NBA Playoffs: Team to advance to Conference Semifinals
Sports|$1.5m Vol|
time10 hrs 9 mins

NBA Playoffs: Team to advance to Conference Semifinals

Top Undervalued
+1.6¢
Boston Celtics(Yes)
Arbitrage Opportunity
2¢
Arbitrage
730%
Annualized yield
Arbitrage|Direct Arb
Arbitrage Plan: Buy Yes on Boston Celtics (66.45c) and Yes on Philadelphia 76ers (31.55c). Plan Description: The Celtics and 76ers are playing each other in the same series, meaning exactly one will advance. B...
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Undervalued Options Insights:
The current prediction market prices reflect the latest game situations and implied probabilities fo...
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Movers
2026-05-01 to 2026-05-02, the Detroit Pistons' price surged drastically from 45c to 76.6c before settling at 48.45c, while the Orlando Magic's price plummeted from 55.8c to 23.7c before rebounding to 51c. Concurrently, the Cleveland Cavaliers dropped from 90.5c to 72.5c, and the Toronto Raptors surged from 8.1c to 27.5c. This indicates the Pistons staged a massive comeback in a do-or-die scenario to take control over the Magic, while the Raptors stayed alive against the Cavaliers. 2026-04-30 to 2026-05-01, the Boston Celtics' price fell sharply from 91.1c to 72.5c, and the Philadelphia 76ers rebounded from 9.1c to 29.4c. This was because the 76ers secured a crucial win to stave off elimination and extend their series against the Celtics. 2026-04-27 to 2026-05-01, teams like the Cavaliers, Pistons, and Raptors experienced drastic intraday swings. These extreme fluctuations indicate that the first round was in the heat of elimination or match-point games, where single-game results triggered massive probability re-evaluations. 2026-04-26 to 2026-04-29, the Orlando Magic's price surged from 43.2c to 68c before retracing slightly, indicating they briefly established an advantage in earlier crucial games.
AI Analysis
All Outcomes
Market Price
AI Fair Value
Value Edge
YesNo
10¢
90¢
95¢
+5¢
⚠️ Risk Warning: Live data may lag! Prices can shift instantly due to news or low liquidity. Before trading, use AI Chat for [Live Recalculate], [Check Liquidity], [Trollbox Radar], or review [Fair Value Logic] to verify.
Exotics
This falls under political gossip or health-related speculation. While not as absurd as alien bets, wagering on a specific senator's premature departure due to health or other reasons is more niche than general election predictions, heavily influenced by Fetterman's personal health history.

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