AI Signal Dashboard
Last updated: 05.02 06:54
Top Undervalued
+9.5¢
Alexander Vindman(Yes)
Arbitrage Opportunity
14¢
Arbitrage
58.1%
Annualized yield
Florida Democratic Senate Primary Winner AI analysis: • +9.5¢ undervalued • 58.1% arbitrage APY • Live Prediction Market fair value & mispricing alerts.
Arbitrage Plan:
Buy Yes on both Alexander Vindman and Angie Nixon.
Plan Description:
The combined Yes price for Vindman (82.65c) and Nixon (2.7c) is approximately 85.35c. Because the fi...
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Undervalued Options Insights:
The filing deadline for the Florida Democratic Senate primary passed on April 24, 2026. According to...
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Real-time High Yield Opportunities
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Outcomes
Market
Price
AI Fair
Value
Value
Edge
Alexander Vindman
YesNo
85.45¢
14.55¢
95¢
5¢
+9.5¢
0¢
Jared Moskowitz
YesNo
6.15¢
93.85¢
0¢
100¢
0¢
+6.1¢
Expand to view all 8 options
⚠️ Risk Warning: Live data may lag! Prices can shift instantly due to news or low liquidity. Before trading, use AI Chat for [Live Recalculate], [Check Liquidity], [Trollbox Radar], or review [Fair Value Logic] to verify.
Movers
April 30, 2026 - May 01, 2026, Alexander Vindman's price surged from 57c back to 87c (after briefly collapsing from 86c to 57c on Apr 30). This was likely caused by a liquidity shock from a large sell order or temporary speculative panic. However, since the filing deadline had passed and no major opponents filed, fundamental buyers quickly stepped in to restore his price to overwhelming frontrunner levels.
April 18, 2026 - April 24, 2026, The market maintained an extremely low-volatility sideways trend. Alexander Vindman remained stable around 89c, and Jared Moskowitz hovered near 6.5c, with no significant price movements exceeding 10c.
March 21, 2026 - March 27, 2026, The market continued its low-volatility sideways drift. Jared Moskowitz's price slowly bled from 6c to below 5c, further cementing Vindman's commanding lead at ~86c.
March 14, 2026 - March 20, 2026, The market cooled from previous speculative volatility and entered a consolidation phase. Jared Moskowitz's price fluctuated narrowly between 5c-7c, failing to sustain previous momentum, while Alexander Vindman stabilized at 88c-89c. This indicates fading expectations for a surprise Moskowitz run, with capital flowing back to Vindman based on fundamentals.
Feb 27, 2026 - Mar 05, 2026, Jared Moskowitz's price more than doubled from ~6c to 13.6c, while frontrunner Alexander Vindman corrected from ~89c to ~83c. This indicates a structural shift over the past week where the market significantly increased its speculative hedge on a Moskowitz entry, although no single daily move exceeded the 10c volatility threshold.
Feb 21, 2026 - Feb 23, 2026, The market entered a period of extreme stability, with no option moving more than 1 cent, reflecting a solidified consensus on Vindman's lead at that time.