AI Signal Dashboard
Last updated: 04.30 11:57
Top Undervalued
+13.5¢
20-39(Yes)
+4.7¢
40-59(No)
+1.7¢
80-99(No)
NYC Mayor # posts April 28 - May 5, 2026? AI analysis: • +13.5¢ undervalued • Live Prediction Market fair value & mispricing alerts.
Undervalued Options Insights:
As time progresses and post data accumulates, market expectations have normalized from the previous ...
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Real-time High Yield Opportunities
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All
Outcomes
Market
Price
AI Fair
Value
Value
Edge
20-39
YesNo
78.5¢
21.5¢
92¢
8¢
+13.5¢
0¢
40-59
YesNo
7.7¢
92.3¢
3¢
97¢
0¢
+4.7¢
Expand to view all 10 options
⚠️ Risk Warning: Live data may lag! Prices can shift instantly due to news or low liquidity. Before trading, use AI Chat for [Live Recalculate], [Check Liquidity], [Trollbox Radar], or review [Fair Value Logic] to verify.
Rule Risk
Moderate risk exists as resolution strictly relies on a specific tracker (xtracker). Edge cases, such as deleted posts only counting if they survive ~5 minutes, and replies only counting if captured on the main feed by the tool, can easily cause discrepancies between manual counting and the official result.
Exotics
Highly exotic and novelty-driven. Forecasting the precise number of weekly tweets from a local politician is extremely niche; general audiences would never naturally ponder this metric without a specific betting market.
Movers
Between 2026-04-28 16:03 and 2026-04-29 21:18, the YES price for the '20-39' option surged from 49.5c to 94.5c, while '<20' and '40-59' plummeted from around 50c to below 5c. This was caused by the normalization of the previous liquidity anomaly as actual posting data became clear, concentrating funds on the most likely outcome.
Between 2026-04-28 16:03 and 17:08, the YES prices of multiple options (60-79, 100-119, 140-159, 180-199) anomalously surged by 17c to over 30c. This was caused by irrational and indiscriminate buying of YES shares, heavily distorting the market's liquidity.
