Explain the resolution criteria for this market like I'm 5, specifically how the Wunderground Schiphol station (EHAM) data is finalized at the end of the day, and how the whole degree Celsius rounding rule affects borderline temperatures like 18.5°C?

AI-powered analysis for: Explain the resolution criteria for this market like I'm 5, specifically how the Wunderground Schiphol station (EHAM) data is finalized at the end of the day, and how the whole degree Celsius rounding rule affects borderline temperatures like 18.5°C?. Get detailed insights and real-time data on PolyPredict AI.

Based on historical meteorological data, what is the actual occurrence frequency of Amsterdam reaching a high of 20°C or higher in early April, and do current weather patterns match this historical trend?

AI-powered analysis for: Based on historical meteorological data, what is the actual occurrence frequency of Amsterdam reaching a high of 20°C or higher in early April, and do current weather patterns match this historical trend?. Get detailed insights and real-time data on PolyPredict AI.

For positions betting on higher temperature brackets (e.g., 19°C or above), what specific changes in the weather forecast 48 hours before April 7 (such as a sudden cold front or increased rain probability) should serve as an immediate stop-loss red line?

AI-powered analysis for: For positions betting on higher temperature brackets (e.g., 19°C or above), what specific changes in the weather forecast 48 hours before April 7 (such as a sudden cold front or increased rain probability) should serve as an immediate stop-loss red line?. Get detailed insights and real-time data on PolyPredict AI.

Highest temperature in Amsterdam on April 7?

Weather|$11.9k Vol|

11 hrs 31 mins

Highest temperature in Amsterdam on April 7? - AI Found +19.5¢ Mispricing

AI Signal Dashboard

Last updated: 04.06 01:36

Top Undervalued

+19.5¢

17°C(No)

+6.7¢

14°C(Yes)

+6¢

18°C(No)

Highest temperature in Amsterdam on April 7? AI analysis: • +19.5¢ undervalued • Live Prediction Market fair value & mispricing alerts.

Undervalued Options Insights:

According to the latest forecasts from Google Weather, KNMI, and major meteorological models, the hi...

🔓 Unlock Mispricing Insights (Pro)

All Outcomes

Market Price

AI Fair Value

Value Edge

17°C

YesNo

31.5¢

68.5¢

12¢

88¢

0¢

+19.5¢

14°C

YesNo

3.3¢

96.7¢

10¢

90¢

+6.7¢

0¢

Expand to view all 11 options

⚠️ Risk Warning: Live data may lag! Prices can shift instantly due to news or low liquidity. Before trading, use AI Chat for [Live Recalculate], [Check Liquidity], [Trollbox Radar], or review [Fair Value Logic] to verify.

Movers

April 4, 2026 - April 5, 2026, the price of 16°C surged from 20.5c to 45c as approaching dates brought strong consensus among weather forecasts, pinning the high near 16°C. April 5, 2026, the prices of 14°C and 15°C dropped significantly from 33c and 29.5c to 11.5c and 13.5c, respectively. This was due to models ruling out cooler scenarios, causing capital to shift heavily toward 16°C. April 3, 2026 - April 4, 2026, the prices of higher temperature options like 20°C and 21°C plummeted from 26c to below 5c. This is because, as the date approaches, the latest meteorological forecasts have definitively ruled out the possibility of anomalous highs above 20°C for that day. April 3, 2026 - April 4, 2026, prices for 15°C, 16°C, and 17°C fluctuated significantly between 17c and 26c. This volatility is driven by minor discrepancies among weather models (like GFS and ECMWF) regarding the exact timing of a high-pressure system, causing the mainstream high-temperature forecasts to repeatedly adjust within the 15°C-17°C range.