Highest temperature in Atlanta on April 12?
Weather|$11.7k Vol|
time1 days 9 hrs

Highest temperature in Atlanta on April 12? - AI Found +28.5¢ Mispricing

AI Signal Dashboard

Last updated: 04.09 20:00
Top Undervalued
+28.5¢
80-81°F(Yes)
+21.5¢
86-87°F(No)
+19.5¢
84-85°F(No)

Highest temperature in Atlanta on April 12? AI analysis: • +28.5¢ undervalued • Live Prediction Market fair value & mispricing alerts.

Undervalued Options Insights:
Based on the latest weather forecasts, the high temperature in Atlanta on April 12, 2026, is expecte...
🔓 Unlock Mispricing Insights (Pro)

Real-time High Yield Opportunities

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What will Bernie Sanders and Zohran Mamdani say at NYC Rally on April 12?
Mentions|$19.5k Vol|
time21 hrs 37 mins

What will Bernie Sanders and Zohran Mamdani say at NYC Rally on April 12?

Top Undervalued
+35.5¢
Twitch / Facebook(Yes)
+28¢
Oil / Gas / Gasoline(No)
Undervalued Options Insights:
Sanders and Mamdani are prominent progressive politicians. At a rally in NYC, it is highly likely th...
🔓 Unlock Mispricing Insights (Pro)
Rule Risk
The rules are highly specific, focusing on exact word forms (plurals and possessives count, but other variations do not; compound words count). It strictly limits to publicly broadcast remarks at the scheduled event. Technical failures preventing a broadcast or event cancellation will trigger the '-No Qualifying Event-' option. Special attention is needed for frequency-based options (e.g., Billionaire 10+ times).
Exotics
This is a highly novel prediction market, akin to a 'Bingo' game for political speeches. While predicting the themes of a politician's speech is not unheard of, betting on specific words and their exact frequencies at a specific event is highly unusual in traditional markets.
AI Analysis
Explain the resolution rules for this market like I'm 5: What exact conditions (e.g., compound words, plural forms, or broadcast requirements) must be met for a word spoken by Bernie Sanders or Zohran Mamdani at the April 12 NYC rally to count?
Minnesota Democratic Senate Primary Winner
Politics|$37.8k Vol|
time121 days 21 hrs

Minnesota Democratic Senate Primary Winner

Top Undervalued
+2¢
Peggy Flanagan(No)
+1¢
Angie Craig(Yes)
Undervalued Options Insights:
Given market pricing and previous context, Peggy Flanagan remains the clear frontrunner as the incum...
🔓 Unlock Mispricing Insights (Pro)
AI Analysis
[Mandatory Task] Order Book & Fundamentals Comprehensive Assessment: Visit the Polymarket page and, given the low liquidity (~$11k volume), critically analyze the order book depth and spread for the 'Other' option (likely a proxy for incumbent Senator Tina Smith). Assess whether current odds fairly reflect the probability of her re-election bid, or if they are distorted by speculative capital chasing high-profile challengers like Ilhan Omar.
Will Aaron Rodgers retire before next season?
Sports|$50.2k Vol|
time151 days 21 hrs

Will Aaron Rodgers retire before next season?

Top Undervalued
+2¢
(No)
Undervalued Options Insights:
As of early April 2026, Aaron Rodgers remains unsigned, keeping the 'Yes' price volatile around 19c....
🔓 Unlock Mispricing Insights (Pro)
AI Analysis
[Mandatory Task] Order Book & Fundamentals Assessment: Retrieve Aaron Rodgers' recent comments on the "Pat McAfee Show" and reports from Jets beat writers, combined with current Polymarket order book depth and odds changes, to reassess the fair value of him retiring before the 2026 season.
Nguesso out as President of the Republic of the Congo by end of 2026?
Politics|$10.7k Vol|
time263 days 21 hrs

Nguesso out as President of the Republic of the Congo by end of 2026?

Top Undervalued
+3.5¢
(No)
Undervalued Options Insights:
Over the past week, the market price has remained completely static at 13.5 cents. With the mid-Marc...
🔓 Unlock Mispricing Insights (Pro)
Exotics
This is a geopolitical prediction regarding a specific African leader's tenure. While a standard topic for regional observers, it is relatively niche for the general market. Given the leader's long-standing rule, a coup or sudden removal is a tail-risk event.
AI Analysis
[Mandatory Task] Order Book & Fundamentals Comprehensive Assessment: Retrieve the latest political situation in the Republic of the Congo, visit the Polymarket page to analyze the low liquidity order book ($1,669), and assess whether current odds fairly reflect coup or health risks over the long timeframe until 2026.
Glencore and Rio Tinto sale/merger announced by June 30?
Business|$39.3k Vol|
time79 days 21 hrs

Glencore and Rio Tinto sale/merger announced by June 30?

Top Undervalued
+5.4¢
(No)
Undervalued Options Insights:
Based on previous context, Rio Tinto triggered Rule 2.8 of the UK Takeover Code on Feb 5, 2026, lega...
🔓 Unlock Mispricing Insights (Pro)
Hedging
RIO
GLEN.L
This is a classic M&A arbitrage event. If a merger is announced, the share prices of both companies will move violently (typically a surge for the target and a dip or volatility for the acquirer). As both are mega-cap giants, such a deal would be a structural shock, directly impacting their stocks and potentially rippling through the global mining sector (e.g., copper and iron ore prices).
AI Analysis
[Mandatory Task] Order Book & Fundamentals Comprehensive Assessment: Retrieve the latest M&A rumors regarding Glencore and Rio Tinto, analyze the current order book depth and user discussions on the Polymarket event page, and update the assessment of fair value and arbitrage risks by weighing the regulatory hurdles and cultural differences between the two mining giants.
All Outcomes
Market Price
AI Fair Value
Value Edge
80-81°F
YesNo
6.5¢
93.5¢
35¢
65¢
+28.5¢
0¢
86-87°F
YesNo
26.5¢
73.5¢
5¢
95¢
0¢
+21.5¢

Expand to view all 11 options

⚠️ Risk Warning: Live data may lag! Prices can shift instantly due to news or low liquidity. Before trading, use AI Chat for [Live Recalculate], [Check Liquidity], [Trollbox Radar], or review [Fair Value Logic] to verify.
Exotics
While forecasting a specific city's daily high temperature is a standard 'weather market' in prediction platforms, it is not something the general public actively ponders unless there is an extreme heatwave. It remains a niche and geeky topic.
Movers
April 8, 2026 - April 9, 2026, the price of the 82-83°F option surged from 10c to 27c, and the 86-87°F option surged from 11c to 22c. This was due to market participants adjusting expectations upward based on potential warmer weather model runs. April 5, 2026 - April 8, 2026, no options experienced a price movement of more than 10 cents. The previous largest move was an 8-cent increase in the 86-87°F option, reflecting normal adjustments in weather expectations.
Divergence
Current market prices imply that the highest probabilities are for temperatures in the 84-85°F (27%) and 86-87°F (21.5%) ranges. However, major weather forecasts (such as AccuWeather) explicitly predict a high of 81°F to 82°F for Atlanta on April 12. The market expectation is significantly warmer than professional meteorological consensus, indicating a sharp divergence.

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