April 6, 2026 - April 7, 2026, the price of '76°F or higher' surged from 44c to a peak of 69c before settling at 58c, while '74-75°F' stabilized in the 30c-35c range. This occurred as the resolution date arrived and new meteorological data indicated strong boundary-layer heating could push temperatures significantly above model expectations, leading capital to concentrate on the highest brackets. April 5, 2026 - April 6, 2026, the price of '76°F or higher' surged from 38c to 56c, and '74-75°F' briefly touched 35c. This was due to updated meteorological models indicating that the impact of the warm air mass might be stronger than initially expected, further raising high-temperature expectations. April 3, 2026 - April 4, 2026, the price of '76°F or higher' surged from 22.5c to 40c, and '74-75°F' rose from 15.5c to 29.5c. This is because, as the resolution date approaches, new meteorological models indicate a stronger warm air mass affecting the region, leading to upward revisions in temperature expectations. April 3, 2026 - April 4, 2026, the price of '68-69°F' plummeted from 16.5c to 2.6c, and '70-71°F' dropped from 20c to 10c, as forecasts generally ruled out significant cooling or persistent cloud cover, prompting market capital to swiftly exit lower temperature ranges.

The National Weather Service (NWS) and other mainstream forecasting agencies predict the high temperature in Atlanta on April 7 to be around 74°F to 75°F. However, the prediction market assigns an over 57% probability that the temperature will hit '76°F or higher'. This divergence stems from traders believing that official models fail to fully account for the extra heating effect brought by abundant sunshine and specific wind directions, leading to a more aggressive market expectation than the official forecasts.