AI Signal Dashboard
Last updated: 10 hours ago
Top Undervalued
+4.5¢
24°C(No)
+3.3¢
26°C(Yes)
+3¢
23°C(No)
Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on April 13? AI analysis: • +4.5¢ undervalued • Live Prediction Market fair value & mispricing alerts.
Undervalued Options Insights:
With only about 1.5 days left until expiration, weather forecast models for the highest temperature ...
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Outcomes
Market
Price
AI Fair
Value
Value
Edge
24°C
YesNo
31.5¢
68.5¢
27¢
73¢
0¢
+4.5¢
26°C
YesNo
6.75¢
93.25¢
10¢
90¢
+3.3¢
0¢
Expand to view all 11 options
⚠️ Risk Warning: Live data may lag! Prices can shift instantly due to news or low liquidity. Before trading, use AI Chat for [Live Recalculate], [Check Liquidity], [Trollbox Radar], or review [Fair Value Logic] to verify.
Movers
From 2026-04-09 to 2026-04-11, the Yes price of the 22°C option dropped from 18c to 7.1c, as updated short-term weather forecasts further ruled out the possibility of lower temperatures, shifting the expected center toward 24-25°C.
From 2026-04-09 to 2026-04-10, the Yes price of the 26°C option plummeted from a high of 26c to 3.5c (later rebounding slightly to 11.3c on the 11th), because as the forecast date approaches, weather models ruled out the possibility of higher temperatures, shifting the expected high temperature center downwards.
From 2026-04-09 to 2026-04-10, the Yes price of the 22°C option dropped from a high of 22c to 6.3c, as forecasts indicated the daily high is unlikely to fall below 23°C, ruling out the cooler range.