Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on April 26?
Weather|$11.3k Vol|
time16 hrs 33 mins

Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on April 26? - AI Found +17.5¢ Mispricing

AI Signal Dashboard

Last updated: 04.24 06:07
Top Undervalued
+17.5¢
15°C(Yes)
+12¢
18°C(No)
+8¢
16°C(Yes)

Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on April 26? AI analysis: • +17.5¢ undervalued • Live Prediction Market fair value & mispricing alerts.

Undervalued Options Insights:
The latest weather forecasts (including AccuWeather and Met Office) indicate that the high temperatu...
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Real-time High Yield Opportunities

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Highest temperature in Shanghai on April 27?
Weather|$11.9k Vol|
time1 days 16 hrs

Highest temperature in Shanghai on April 27?

Top Undervalued
+12.5¢
27°C(No)
+9.5¢
25°C(Yes)
Undervalued Options Insights:
According to the latest forecasts from multiple meteorological sources (e.g., AccuWeather, Meteoblue...
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Rule Risk
The primary risk is the discrepancy between the general title 'Shanghai' and the strict resolution source 'Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station (ZSPD)'. Due to its coastal location, Pudong's temperature can differ significantly from downtown Shanghai (e.g., Xujiahui). Additionally, users must be mindful of Wunderground's whole-degree Celsius rounding.
AI Analysis
Based on historical weather data, what is the frequency of the maximum temperature at Shanghai Pudong Airport landing in each of these specific brackets (from 21°C to 31°C or higher) on April 27th in recent years?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on April 27?
Weather|$12.9k Vol|
time1 days 16 hrs

Highest temperature in Hong Kong on April 27?

Top Undervalued
+14.7¢
30°C or higher(Yes)
+13¢
27°C(No)
Undervalued Options Insights:
Fair values are derived by normalizing the current market odds structure (sum of all Yes prices is 1...
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Exotics
Predicting the exact maximum temperature of a specific city on a given day is a standard weather market, but it remains a niche and somewhat novel topic for the general public compared to mainstream political or sports events.
AI Analysis
How exactly is the highest temperature determined using the Hong Kong Observatory's 'Daily Extract', and when is this data officially finalized for market resolution?
Lowest temperature in Seoul on April 26?
Weather|$32.8k Vol|
time16 hrs 33 mins

Lowest temperature in Seoul on April 26?

Top Undervalued
+83.8¢
8°C or below(No)
+24.9¢
10°C(Yes)
Undervalued Options Insights:
According to weather forecasts from the Aviation Meteorological Office (AMO) and AccuWeather, the lo...
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Rule Risk
The title asks for the lowest temperature in Seoul, but the rules explicitly state that the resolution data comes from the Incheon Intl Airport Station. Temperatures in central Seoul and at Incheon Airport can differ, so users relying only on the title may be misled. This is a clear rule trap.
AI Analysis
Explain the resolution criteria for this Seoul temperature market in simple terms, specifically how the lowest daily temperature at Incheon Airport is confirmed via Wunderground.
Lowest temperature in NYC on April 26?
Weather|$23.9k Vol|
time16 hrs 33 mins

Lowest temperature in NYC on April 26?

Top Undervalued
+18.5¢
44-45°F(Yes)
+13.5¢
38-39°F(Yes)
Undervalued Options Insights:
Based on the latest weather forecasts, the lowest temperature for New York (LaGuardia Airport) on Ap...
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AI Analysis
What is the historical frequency of the lowest temperature at LaGuardia Airport (KLGA) falling into these specific ranges (e.g., 44-45°F or 50-51°F) on April 26th in past years?
Will Amazon (AMZN) beat quarterly earnings?
Earnings|$26.5k Vol|
time4 days 1 hrs

Will Amazon (AMZN) beat quarterly earnings?

Top Undervalued
+3.7¢
(No)
Undervalued Options Insights:
The current market price indicates Option 'Yes' is trading at 0.94, showing extreme market optimism ...
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Hedging
Nasdaq 100
AMZN
As a core tech giant, Amazon's earnings results will directly cause significant volatility in its stock (AMZN), typically moving 5-10%. Additionally, given its massive weighting in the Nasdaq 100 and S&P 500, an earnings beat or miss creates a direct impact and directional catalyst for the tech sector and broader market sentiment.
Movers
April 21, 2026 - April 23, 2026: The price of Option 'Yes' steadily climbed from 84c to a peak of 94.5c, a 10.5c increase. This upward momentum is primarily driven by growing market confidence in big tech earnings beats as the reporting date approaches, prompting an influx of bullish bets.
AI Analysis
What are the exact conditions for this market to resolve as 'Yes', and how does the $1.65 GAAP EPS target apply to Amazon's upcoming earnings?
All Outcomes
Market Price
AI Fair Value
Value Edge
15°C
YesNo
7.5¢
92.5¢
25¢
75¢
+17.5¢
0¢
18°C
YesNo
16¢
84¢
4¢
96¢
0¢
+12¢

Expand to view all 11 options

⚠️ Risk Warning: Live data may lag! Prices can shift instantly due to news or low liquidity. Before trading, use AI Chat for [Live Recalculate], [Check Liquidity], [Trollbox Radar], or review [Fair Value Logic] to verify.
Divergence
The market currently prices 17°C (21.5 ￠) and 18°C (20.5 ￠) as the favorites, whereas mainstream weather forecasts, including AccuWeather and Met Office, predict a high of 15°C to 16°C (approx. 60°F). The market's expectation is notably warmer than recent meteorological model outputs, likely due to a delay in pricing in a recent cooling trend or updated weather forecasts.

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