AI Signal Dashboard
Last updated: 04.07 11:36
Top Undervalued
+45¢
16°C(Yes)
+22¢
17°C(No)
+21¢
18°C(No)
Highest temperature in Busan on April 8? AI analysis: • +45¢ undervalued • Live Prediction Market fair value & mispricing alerts.
Undervalued Options Insights:
Latest weather forecasts indicate sunny conditions for Busan on April 8, with expected highs around ...
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Outcomes
Market
Price
AI Fair
Value
Value
Edge
16°C
YesNo
0.05¢
99.95¢
45¢
55¢
+45¢
0¢
17°C
YesNo
62¢
38¢
40¢
60¢
0¢
+22¢
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⚠️ Risk Warning: Live data may lag! Prices can shift instantly due to news or low liquidity. Before trading, use AI Chat for [Live Recalculate], [Check Liquidity], [Trollbox Radar], or review [Fair Value Logic] to verify.
Exotics
While weather derivatives exist in institutional finance, betting on the specific daily high temperature of a particular South Korean city in a retail prediction market is a highly niche and somewhat bizarre topic. It lacks broad public interest and primarily appeals only to weather enthusiasts or local residents.
Movers
From 2026-04-06 19:25 to 2026-04-07 10:35, the price of 16°C surged from 40.5c to 54.5c as short-term weather models confirmed the expected temperature ceiling.
From 2026-04-05 22:50 to 2026-04-07 05:10, the price of 17°C plunged from 47c to 29.5c and continued to fall to 23c, because the market downgraded expectations for higher temperatures following updated meteorological data.
From 2026-04-03 to 2026-04-07, options for 14°C and below steadily crashed to under 5c, as the possibility of extreme cold weather was completely ruled out.
Divergence
Mainstream weather forecasts (e.g., Google Weather and AccuWeather) project a high of around 17°C - 18°C (63°F-64°F) for Busan on April 8, whereas the prediction market heavily favors 16°C (54.5%). This divergence is likely due to the specific microclimate of the Gimhae International Airport (RKPK) station, which tends to record slightly lower temperatures than broader city forecasts.