Search historical weather data to calculate how often the highest temperature in Chengdu on April 13th has fallen within each of these 11 specific degree brackets over the past 10 years.

AI-powered analysis for: Search historical weather data to calculate how often the highest temperature in Chengdu on April 13th has fallen within each of these 11 specific degree brackets over the past 10 years.. Get detailed insights and real-time data on PolyPredict AI.

Explain in simple terms how Wunderground records the highest temperature for Chengdu airport (ZUUU) on April 13, and exactly how the rounding to whole degrees Celsius works for resolution.

AI-powered analysis for: Explain in simple terms how Wunderground records the highest temperature for Chengdu airport (ZUUU) on April 13, and exactly how the rounding to whole degrees Celsius works for resolution.. Get detailed insights and real-time data on PolyPredict AI.

Check the latest weather forecasts from multiple meteorological models (like ECMWF or GFS) for Chengdu on April 13 to confirm the most likely high temperature range.

AI-powered analysis for: Check the latest weather forecasts from multiple meteorological models (like ECMWF or GFS) for Chengdu on April 13 to confirm the most likely high temperature range.. Get detailed insights and real-time data on PolyPredict AI.

Verify the current reliability and update frequency of the Wunderground page for Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport (ZUUU) to ensure there are no missing data risks.

AI-powered analysis for: Verify the current reliability and update frequency of the Wunderground page for Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport (ZUUU) to ensure there are no missing data risks.. Get detailed insights and real-time data on PolyPredict AI.

Based on community history, how does Polymarket typically handle disputes if Wunderground revises its temperature data for April 13 before final resolution?

AI-powered analysis for: Based on community history, how does Polymarket typically handle disputes if Wunderground revises its temperature data for April 13 before final resolution?. Get detailed insights and real-time data on PolyPredict AI.

Deliberately search for bearish arguments: list 3 key meteorological factors (e.g., sudden cold fronts, rain, cloud cover) that could prevent Chengdu's high temperature from reaching 27°C or higher on April 13.

AI-powered analysis for: Deliberately search for bearish arguments: list 3 key meteorological factors (e.g., sudden cold fronts, rain, cloud cover) that could prevent Chengdu's high temperature from reaching 27°C or higher on April 13.. Get detailed insights and real-time data on PolyPredict AI.

As April 13 approaches, if current weather forecasts remain completely stable, analyze which temperature bucket option benefits the most from time decay (Theta)?

AI-powered analysis for: As April 13 approaches, if current weather forecasts remain completely stable, analyze which temperature bucket option benefits the most from time decay (Theta)?. Get detailed insights and real-time data on PolyPredict AI.

Analyze the typical forecast error margin for temperatures in the Sichuan Basin several days in advance—is this market highly predictable or still largely subject to random weather shifts?

AI-powered analysis for: Analyze the typical forecast error margin for temperatures in the Sichuan Basin several days in advance—is this market highly predictable or still largely subject to random weather shifts?. Get detailed insights and real-time data on PolyPredict AI.

Extract discussions from the Polymarket comment section or Discord to summarize the market's current core disagreements regarding Chengdu's temperature (e.g., discrepancies between local Chinese forecasts and Wunderground).

AI-powered analysis for: Extract discussions from the Polymarket comment section or Discord to summarize the market's current core disagreements regarding Chengdu's temperature (e.g., discrepancies between local Chinese forecasts and Wunderground).. Get detailed insights and real-time data on PolyPredict AI.

Suggest a core fundamental indicator (e.g., a sudden increase in precipitation probability or a cold wave warning) that, if triggered, dictates an immediate stop-loss for a position on the higher temperature brackets.

AI-powered analysis for: Suggest a core fundamental indicator (e.g., a sudden increase in precipitation probability or a cold wave warning) that, if triggered, dictates an immediate stop-loss for a position on the higher temperature brackets.. Get detailed insights and real-time data on PolyPredict AI.

Based on the historical accuracy of April weather forecasts, suggest a portfolio allocation percentage for betting on the most likely temperature bucket using the Kelly criterion principle.

AI-powered analysis for: Based on the historical accuracy of April weather forecasts, suggest a portfolio allocation percentage for betting on the most likely temperature bucket using the Kelly criterion principle.. Get detailed insights and real-time data on PolyPredict AI.

Recommend 3 high-quality meteorological Twitter accounts or Chinese weather forums that provide accurate microclimate analysis for the Chengdu Shuangliu Airport area.

AI-powered analysis for: Recommend 3 high-quality meteorological Twitter accounts or Chinese weather forums that provide accurate microclimate analysis for the Chengdu Shuangliu Airport area.. Get detailed insights and real-time data on PolyPredict AI.

Based on the current bid-ask spread across the 11 temperature options and fair value meteorological forecasts, what is the optimal limit order strategy to build a position in the 22°C to 24°C range?

AI-powered analysis for: Based on the current bid-ask spread across the 11 temperature options and fair value meteorological forecasts, what is the optimal limit order strategy to build a position in the 22°C to 24°C range?. Get detailed insights and real-time data on PolyPredict AI.

Considering the market cannot resolve until all data for April 13 is finalized, calculate if the potential excess return is worth locking up funds compared to risk-free yields in DeFi protocols.

AI-powered analysis for: Considering the market cannot resolve until all data for April 13 is finalized, calculate if the potential excess return is worth locking up funds compared to risk-free yields in DeFi protocols.. Get detailed insights and real-time data on PolyPredict AI.

Translate the current market odds for the '17°C or below' option into an intuitive probability metaphor, based on historical April weather patterns in Chengdu.

AI-powered analysis for: Translate the current market odds for the '17°C or below' option into an intuitive probability metaphor, based on historical April weather patterns in Chengdu.. Get detailed insights and real-time data on PolyPredict AI.

Look for other highly correlated spring weather prediction markets on Polymarket (e.g., temperatures in Beijing or Tokyo) and suggest constructing a combined betting portfolio.

AI-powered analysis for: Look for other highly correlated spring weather prediction markets on Polymarket (e.g., temperatures in Beijing or Tokyo) and suggest constructing a combined betting portfolio.. Get detailed insights and real-time data on PolyPredict AI.

If a severe spring cold wave hits the Sichuan Basin representing the worst-case scenario, logically project the extreme bottom support level for Chengdu's highest temperature on April 13.

AI-powered analysis for: If a severe spring cold wave hits the Sichuan Basin representing the worst-case scenario, logically project the extreme bottom support level for Chengdu's highest temperature on April 13.. Get detailed insights and real-time data on PolyPredict AI.

Provide guidance on placing extremely low bids (Stink Bids) in deep order books for extreme options like '27°C or higher' to catch sudden panic selling if forecasts shift slightly.

AI-powered analysis for: Provide guidance on placing extremely low bids (Stink Bids) in deep order books for extreme options like '27°C or higher' to catch sudden panic selling if forecasts shift slightly.. Get detailed insights and real-time data on PolyPredict AI.

Qualitatively analyze the risk-reward ratio: is buying the favorite option (e.g., 23°C) like 'picking up pennies' (high win rate, low odds), or is betting on extremes like 18°C closer to 'buying a lottery ticket'?

AI-powered analysis for: Qualitatively analyze the risk-reward ratio: is buying the favorite option (e.g., 23°C) like 'picking up pennies' (high win rate, low odds), or is betting on extremes like 18°C closer to 'buying a lottery ticket'?. Get detailed insights and real-time data on PolyPredict AI.

Compare the Polymarket implied probability distribution for Chengdu's April 13 temperature with forecasts from mainstream Chinese meteorological platforms (like Weather.com.cn) to identify any pricing deviations.

AI-powered analysis for: Compare the Polymarket implied probability distribution for Chengdu's April 13 temperature with forecasts from mainstream Chinese meteorological platforms (like Weather.com.cn) to identify any pricing deviations.. Get detailed insights and real-time data on PolyPredict AI.

Highest temperature in Chengdu on April 13?

Weather|$20.1k Vol|

1 days 1 hrs

Highest temperature in Chengdu on April 13? - AI Mispricing Alert

AI Signal Dashboard

Last updated: 2 hours ago

Top Undervalued

+4.5¢

21°C(Yes)

+3.5¢

23°C(No)

+3.3¢

19°C(No)

Highest temperature in Chengdu on April 13? AI analysis: • +4.5¢ undervalued • Live Prediction Market fair value & mispricing alerts.

Undervalued Options Insights:

With about one day left until settlement, prices have concentrated heavily around 22°C, 21°C, and 23...

🔓 Unlock Mispricing Insights (Pro)

All Outcomes

Market Price

AI Fair Value

Value Edge

21°C

YesNo

20.5¢

79.5¢

25¢

75¢

+4.5¢

0¢

23°C

YesNo

23.5¢

76.5¢

20¢

80¢

0¢

+3.5¢

Expand to view all 11 options

⚠️ Risk Warning: Live data may lag! Prices can shift instantly due to news or low liquidity. Before trading, use AI Chat for [Live Recalculate], [Check Liquidity], [Trollbox Radar], or review [Fair Value Logic] to verify.

Exotics

Predicting a specific city's daily high is common in daily life, but placing precise bets on it in prediction markets is a niche, novelty weather market.

Movers

April 11, 2026 - April 12, 2026, the price of '21°C' rose from 15.5c to 28.5c, indicating that the forecasted temperature has decreased and market expectations are shifting towards lower temperatures. April 11, 2026 - April 12, 2026, the price of '22°C' rose from 29c to 40c, becoming the current favorite option, reflecting that the forecasted high is highly likely to be 22°C. April 11, 2026 - April 12, 2026, the price of '23°C' fell from 32c to 20.5c, as expectations for higher temperatures weakened. April 9, 2026 - April 10, 2026, the price of '27°C or higher' plummeted from 26.5c to 4.5c as weather forecasts became clearer, ruling out extreme high temperatures. April 9, 2026 - April 10, 2026, the price of '25°C' fell from 21.5c to 9c due to a downward shift in the forecasted temperature center. April 9, 2026 - April 10, 2026, the price of '26°C' dropped from 18.5c to 7.65c, consistent with cooling expectations for high temperatures. April 9, 2026 - April 10, 2026, the price of '20°C' decreased from 17.5c to 4.5c, indicating that the probability of lower temperatures was also ruled out by forecasts. April 9, 2026 - April 10, 2026, the price of '24°C' fluctuated sharply between 12.5c and 27c, reflecting market disagreement on the exact peak temperature.