Explain the resolution rules and the Wunderground data source criteria (ZUUU station) for the Chengdu April 3 highest temperature market in the simplest terms.

AI-powered analysis for: Explain the resolution rules and the Wunderground data source criteria (ZUUU station) for the Chengdu April 3 highest temperature market in the simplest terms.. Get detailed insights and real-time data on PolyPredict AI.

What do current weather models (like ECMWF or GFS) predict for Chengdu's high temperature on April 3, and what upcoming forecast updates could act as catalysts for price volatility?

AI-powered analysis for: What do current weather models (like ECMWF or GFS) predict for Chengdu's high temperature on April 3, and what upcoming forecast updates could act as catalysts for price volatility?. Get detailed insights and real-time data on PolyPredict AI.

Given the extremely low market volume ($156.78), how should I place 'stink bids' across the various temperature options (e.g., 25°C, 26°C) to catch sudden panic selling or mispricings?

AI-powered analysis for: Given the extremely low market volume ($156.78), how should I place 'stink bids' across the various temperature options (e.g., 25°C, 26°C) to catch sudden panic selling or mispricings?. Get detailed insights and real-time data on PolyPredict AI.

Highest temperature in Chengdu on April 3?

Weather|$13.2k Vol|

1 days 5 hrs

Highest temperature in Chengdu on April 3? - AI Mispricing Alert

AI Signal Dashboard

Last updated: 1 hours ago

Top Undervalued

+7.5¢

25°C(No)

+3.5¢

26°C(Yes)

+3.2¢

29°C(No)

Highest temperature in Chengdu on April 3? AI analysis: • +7.5¢ undervalued • Live Prediction Market fair value & mispricing alerts.

Undervalued Options Insights:

With less than two days until the resolution date on April 3, the latest market prices indicate that...

All Outcomes

Market Price

AI Fair Value

Value Edge

25°C

YesNo

32.5¢

67.5¢

25¢

75¢

0¢

+7.5¢

26°C

YesNo

29.5¢

70.5¢

33¢

67¢

+3.5¢

0¢

Expand to view all 11 options

⚠️ Risk Warning: Live data may lag! Prices can shift instantly due to news or low liquidity. Before trading, use AI Chat for [Live Recalculate], [Check Liquidity], [Trollbox Radar], or review [Fair Value Logic] to verify.

Movers

April 1, 2026, 20:30 to April 2, 2026, 05:10, the Yes price for '26°C' surged from 29c to 33.5c, as approaching weather forecast data became more certain, making 26°C the most likely high temperature. April 1, 2026, 12:50 to April 2, 2026, 04:05, the Yes price for '25°C' rose from 19.5c to 24.5c due to fine-tuning in forecast models increasing its probability. March 31, 2026, 19:30 to March 31, 2026, 20:35, the Yes price for '25°C' spiked from 23c to 33.5c before settling back to 23c, as an evening weather forecast update made 25°C the most likely high temperature, triggering a short-term buying surge. March 30, 2026, 04:30 to March 30, 2026, 17:30, the Yes price for '30°C or higher' plummeted from 24c to 6.5c, as the possibility of extreme high temperatures was explicitly ruled out by weather forecasts as the date approached. March 30, 2026, 00:10 to March 30, 2026, 14:15, the Yes price for '22°C' experienced extreme volatility, rising from 16c to 24c then crashing to 5c, due to intra-day clarifications regarding the uncertainty of rain or a cooling trend in the forecast.