According to the latest 9-day weather forecast issued by the Hong Kong Observatory on March 27, 2026...

March 26, 2026 - March 27, 2026: The price of the 28°C option surged from 9c to a peak of 35.5c before stabilizing around 28.5c. This was driven by the Hong Kong Observatory upgrading its maximum temperature forecast for March 29 from 27°C to 28°C. March 25, 2026 - March 26, 2026: The price of the 26°C option experienced extreme volatility, plummeting from a peak of 37.5c to 8c before rebounding to 21c, largely influenced by fluctuating short-term weather models and rain expectations. March 25, 2026: The price of the 27°C option spiked from 16.5c to 37.5c as early forecasts published on that day indicated a maximum temperature centered around 27°C.

According to the latest weather forecasts (e.g., AccuWeather, Time and Date), the highest temperatur...

While weather prediction markets are somewhat common on prediction platforms (a niche category), betting on the daily high temperature of a specific Brazilian city on a specific day remains quite unconventional for the general public.

March 25, 2026 - March 27, 2026, the price of the 30°C option surged from 17.5c to 35.5c, as updated meteorological models revised the expected maximum temperature for this weekend upwards from the initial 28-29°C to around 30°C.

The latest weather forecasts show a significant upward revision for Shanghai's maximum temperature o...

The title broadly states 'Shanghai', but the rules strictly specify the 'Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station'. Shanghai is vast, and coastal airport temperatures can differ significantly from downtown, which is a classic trap. Also, it resolves to whole degrees Celsius.

March 27, 2026 - March 28, 2026: The price of 22°C surged from around 2.8c to 23.2c, and 23°C or higher jumped from 2.4c to a peak of 18.9c. This was driven by warm southerly flows prompting the CMA and global models to revise weekend temperature expectations upwards, supported by the actual temperature hitting 21-22°C the day prior. March 27, 2026 - March 28, 2026: The price of 18°C plummeted from 36.5c to 5.4c, and 19°C dropped to 16.5c after peaking at 37.5c, as the continued upward shift in forecasts heavily discounted the likelihood of cooler temperatures. March 26, 2026 - March 27, 2026: The price of 19°C surged from around 22.5c to 37.5c, before settling at 31.5c, as new meteorological forecast data revised the predicted high temperature towards 19°C. March 26, 2026 - March 27, 2026: The price of 20°C climbed from 11.5c to 24.5c, reflecting adjustments estimating slightly higher temperatures. March 26, 2026 - March 27, 2026: The price of 21°C rose from 8.5c to 19.5c, consistent with the overall upward trend in temperature forecasts. March 26, 2026 - March 27, 2026: The price of 18°C plummeted from 30.5c to 14.5c, as the forecasted temperature increase significantly reduced the likelihood of 18°C.

The latest forecast from Wunderground (the resolution source) specifically for KATL indicates a high...

Predicting the single-day high temperature of a specific city is a niche and novelty prediction market. While not as broadly mainstream as political elections or sports, weather forecasting is backed by scientific models and is not extremely absurd.

March 25, 2026 - March 27, 2026, the price of 70-71°F surged from 14c to 28.5c because certain weather models (like AccuWeather) adjusted their forecasts upward. March 25, 2026 - March 27, 2026, the price of 64-65°F plummeted from 17.5c to 4.5c as short-term forecasts largely ruled out highs below 66 degrees. March 25, 2026 - March 27, 2026, the price of 66-67°F fluctuated from 27c down to 16c and bounced back to 21c, reflecting ongoing model disagreements and subsequent corrections regarding the strength of the cold front.

Based on the latest meteorological data and market trends with less than 1 day to resolution, the fo...

Moderate risk exists: The title asks for the temperature in 'Taipei,' but the resolution rules strictly specify data from the Taiwan Taoyuan International Airport (RCTP) located in Taoyuan City. Since the two locations have different microclimates, traders relying on forecasts for Taipei City proper (e.g., Songshan Airport) may easily fall into this trap.

March 25, 2026 - March 28, 2026, the price of the 25°C option rose from 16.5c to a peak of 37.5c (currently at 31.5c) as approaching weather models narrowed the high-temperature range, confirming mild conditions. March 25, 2026 - March 28, 2026, the price of the '22°C or below' option sharply fell from 25.5c to around 6.8c because the latest forecasts ruled out the prolonged impact of a strong cold air mass, making a high of 22°C or lower highly unlikely. March 25, 2026 - March 27, 2026, the price of the 24°C option rose from 16.5c to 30c as updated meteorological forecasts confirmed a cooling trend, heavily increasing the probability of this range. March 25, 2026 - March 27, 2026, the price of the 29°C option crashed from 24.5c to around 1.5c because forecasts indicated a cooler air mass affecting the Taoyuan area, sharply reducing the chance of extreme heat.