Explain the resolution rules of this Guangzhou temperature market in simple terms, specifically how it relies on the Wunderground ZGGG station data.

AI-powered analysis for: Explain the resolution rules of this Guangzhou temperature market in simple terms, specifically how it relies on the Wunderground ZGGG station data.. Get detailed insights and real-time data on PolyPredict AI.

Verify if there is a risk of data updates stopping or being delayed for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport (ZGGG) station on Wunderground.

AI-powered analysis for: Verify if there is a risk of data updates stopping or being delayed for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport (ZGGG) station on Wunderground.. Get detailed insights and real-time data on PolyPredict AI.

Search the latest weather forecasts to confirm the core variables affecting the highest temperature at Guangzhou Baiyun Airport on May 13.

AI-powered analysis for: Search the latest weather forecasts to confirm the core variables affecting the highest temperature at Guangzhou Baiyun Airport on May 13.. Get detailed insights and real-time data on PolyPredict AI.

Based on historical weather data, what is the actual frequency of temperatures exceeding 30°C in Guangzhou during mid-May?

AI-powered analysis for: Based on historical weather data, what is the actual frequency of temperatures exceeding 30°C in Guangzhou during mid-May?. Get detailed insights and real-time data on PolyPredict AI.

Search Polymarket community history for any past resolution disputes caused by Wunderground weather data revisions.

AI-powered analysis for: Search Polymarket community history for any past resolution disputes caused by Wunderground weather data revisions.. Get detailed insights and real-time data on PolyPredict AI.

Translate the current odds for the '32°C' option into an intuitive probability metaphor to better understand market expectations.

AI-powered analysis for: Translate the current odds for the '32°C' option into an intuitive probability metaphor to better understand market expectations.. Get detailed insights and real-time data on PolyPredict AI.

Summarize the core disagreements in the Polymarket comment section regarding whether Guangzhou will experience a cold front or heatwave on May 13.

AI-powered analysis for: Summarize the core disagreements in the Polymarket comment section regarding whether Guangzhou will experience a cold front or heatwave on May 13.. Get detailed insights and real-time data on PolyPredict AI.

Considering weather forecasts become more accurate as the date approaches, analyze which options in this temperature market benefit more from time decay (Theta).

AI-powered analysis for: Considering weather forecasts become more accurate as the date approaches, analyze which options in this temperature market benefit more from time decay (Theta).. Get detailed insights and real-time data on PolyPredict AI.

Analyze whether the highest temperature on May 13 is subject to pure random volatility or if there is a highly predictable logic using current meteorological models.

AI-powered analysis for: Analyze whether the highest temperature on May 13 is subject to pure random volatility or if there is a highly predictable logic using current meteorological models.. Get detailed insights and real-time data on PolyPredict AI.

If a sudden extreme cold front occurs, logically project the bottom support price for the '25°C or below' option.

AI-powered analysis for: If a sudden extreme cold front occurs, logically project the bottom support price for the '25°C or below' option.. Get detailed insights and real-time data on PolyPredict AI.

Assuming a $1000 investment in the '29°C' option, calculate the actual net profit after deducting estimated Gas fees and slippage.

AI-powered analysis for: Assuming a $1000 investment in the '29°C' option, calculate the actual net profit after deducting estimated Gas fees and slippage.. Get detailed insights and real-time data on PolyPredict AI.

Assess whether the current odds are discounted enough to offset the 'rule risk premium' of Wunderground data differing from local official meteorological stations.

AI-powered analysis for: Assess whether the current odds are discounted enough to offset the 'rule risk premium' of Wunderground data differing from local official meteorological stations.. Get detailed insights and real-time data on PolyPredict AI.

Based on the current bid-ask spread and weather fair value, suggest an optimal limit order price for the '30°C' option that is easy to fill without losing edge.

AI-powered analysis for: Based on the current bid-ask spread and weather fair value, suggest an optimal limit order price for the '30°C' option that is easy to fill without losing edge.. Get detailed insights and real-time data on PolyPredict AI.

Based on the user's confidence in a specific meteorological model, suggest a portfolio allocation percentage for this temperature market using the Kelly criterion.

AI-powered analysis for: Based on the user's confidence in a specific meteorological model, suggest a portfolio allocation percentage for this temperature market using the Kelly criterion.. Get detailed insights and real-time data on PolyPredict AI.

Set a core indicator (e.g., the latest forecast drops by 2 degrees) that dictates an immediate stop-loss for holding the '34°C' option.

AI-powered analysis for: Set a core indicator (e.g., the latest forecast drops by 2 degrees) that dictates an immediate stop-loss for holding the '34°C' option.. Get detailed insights and real-time data on PolyPredict AI.

Provide guidance on placing extremely low bids (Stink Bids) in low-liquidity extreme temperature options (like '35°C or higher') to catch panic selling.

AI-powered analysis for: Provide guidance on placing extremely low bids (Stink Bids) in low-liquidity extreme temperature options (like '35°C or higher') to catch panic selling.. Get detailed insights and real-time data on PolyPredict AI.

For small-capital users, which underdog, high-payout temperature range would you recommend as a '$10 lottery ticket play'?

AI-powered analysis for: For small-capital users, which underdog, high-payout temperature range would you recommend as a '$10 lottery ticket play'?. Get detailed insights and real-time data on PolyPredict AI.

If a sudden forecast change causes the '31°C' option price to drop, evaluate whether this is a technical pullback or a fundamental reversal in the prediction trend.

AI-powered analysis for: If a sudden forecast change causes the '31°C' option price to drop, evaluate whether this is a technical pullback or a fundamental reversal in the prediction trend.. Get detailed insights and real-time data on PolyPredict AI.

List potential catalysts (such as forecast updates from authoritative meteorological agencies) that could cause extreme volatility in the Guangzhou temperature market within the next 48 hours.

AI-powered analysis for: List potential catalysts (such as forecast updates from authoritative meteorological agencies) that could cause extreme volatility in the Guangzhou temperature market within the next 48 hours.. Get detailed insights and real-time data on PolyPredict AI.

Look for other city temperature prediction markets on Polymarket and suggest how to construct a highly correlated combined betting portfolio.

AI-powered analysis for: Look for other city temperature prediction markets on Polymarket and suggest how to construct a highly correlated combined betting portfolio.. Get detailed insights and real-time data on PolyPredict AI.

Highest temperature in Guangzhou on May 13?

Weather|$10.6k Vol|

11 hrs 52 mins

Highest temperature in Guangzhou on May 13? - AI Mispricing Alert

AI Signal Dashboard

Last updated: 05.12 20:03

Top Undervalued

+5.6¢

29°C(Yes)

+3¢

31°C(Yes)

+2.5¢

30°C(Yes)

Highest temperature in Guangzhou on May 13? AI analysis: • +5.6¢ undervalued • Live Prediction Market fair value & mispricing alerts.

Undervalued Options Insights:

Based on the latest market pricing and weather trends, the market consensus has clearly concentrated...

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All Outcomes

Market Price

AI Fair Value

Value Edge

29°C

YesNo

1.45¢

98.55¢

7¢

93¢

+5.6¢

0¢

31°C

YesNo

11¢

89¢

14¢

86¢

+3¢

0¢

Expand to view all 8 options

⚠️ Risk Warning: Live data may lag! Prices can shift instantly due to news or low liquidity. Before trading, use AI Chat for [Live Recalculate], [Check Liquidity], [Trollbox Radar], or review [Fair Value Logic] to verify.

Exotics

Predicting the daily high temperature of a specific city is moderately common in prediction markets. However, for the general public, it is rarely pondered as a serious betting proposition beyond deciding daily attire.

Movers

May 11, 2026 - May 12, 2026, the price of the 32°C option surged from 12.5c to 36c, and the 33°C option surged from 12.1c to 31.15c. The reason is that as the expiration date approached, updated meteorological forecasts indicated slightly higher peak temperatures for May 13 than previously expected, shifting probabilities to higher temperature ranges. May 11, 2026 - May 12, 2026, the 31°C option experienced high volatility, rising from 22c to a peak of 32.5c before plunging to 8c, and finally rebounding to around 14.5c. This reflects adjustments in forecast models regarding the cooling effects of potential rain and cloud cover.