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Last updated: 20 minutes ago
Top Undervalued
+2.5¢
14°C(No)
+2.5¢
13°C(Yes)
+2¢
15°C(Yes)
Highest temperature in Istanbul on April 13? AI analysis: • +2.5¢ undervalued • Live Prediction Market fair value & mispricing alerts.
Undervalued Options Insights:
Based on the latest market data and weather forecast trends, the highest temperature at Istanbul Air...
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Outcomes
Market
Price
AI Fair
Value
Value
Edge
14°C
YesNo
37.5¢
62.5¢
35¢
65¢
0¢
+2.5¢
13°C
YesNo
35.5¢
64.5¢
38¢
62¢
+2.5¢
0¢
Expand to view all 11 options
⚠️ Risk Warning: Live data may lag! Prices can shift instantly due to news or low liquidity. Before trading, use AI Chat for [Live Recalculate], [Check Liquidity], [Trollbox Radar], or review [Fair Value Logic] to verify.
Exotics
While checking the weather is a daily routine, betting on the exact integer of the highest temperature for a specific city on a specific day in a prediction market remains a somewhat niche and moderately novel topic.
Movers
From April 11, 2026 to April 12, 2026, the price of the 13°C option rose from 20.5c to 38c (an increase of over 10c), as the latest weather forecasts further confirmed expectations of a lower high temperature.
From April 11, 2026 to April 12, 2026, the price of the 14°C option rose from 24.5c to 37.5c (an increase of over 10c), as the temperature forecast range narrowed, making 14°C one of the most likely outcomes.
From April 11, 2026 to April 12, 2026, the price of the 15°C option fell from 32c to 8c (a drop of over 10c), as the probability of reaching 15°C was significantly downgraded as the date approached.
From April 9, 2026 to April 10, 2026, the price of the 16°C option fell from 18.5c to 6.5c (a drop of over 10c), as weather forecasts revised the expected high temperatures downwards as the date approached.
From April 9, 2026 to April 10, 2026, the price of the 17°C option dropped from 19.5c to 5.6c (a drop of over 10c), due to updated forecasts significantly reducing the probability of reaching higher temperatures.
From April 9, 2026 to April 10, 2026, the price of the 13°C option rose from 8.5c to 22c (an increase of over 10c), as forecasts indicated a higher likelihood of cooler weather.