Predicting the exact frequency of social media posts by a government account over a week is a highly specific novelty market that ordinary people rarely consider or track.

April 3, 2026 - April 4, 2026: The price of the '200+' option crashed from roughly 80c down to around 30c, as the actual posting frequency of the White House account slowed noticeably, drastically cooling expectations of exceeding 200 posts. April 3, 2026 - April 4, 2026: The price of the '180-199' option surged from 20.5c to 55c, as the slowing post rate caused the market to recalculate and determine that the final total is highly likely to land in this range, prompting a massive shift of funds. April 3, 2026 - April 4, 2026: The price of the '160-179' option rebounded from 4.5c to 16c, reflecting a small probability that the total could fall into this range if weekend posting slows even further. April 1, 2026 - April 2, 2026: The price of the '200+' option surged from 16.85c to a high of 55c (then ~54.75c), as the actual posting frequency of the White House account rose sharply, drastically increasing expectations of the total exceeding 200 posts. April 1, 2026 - April 2, 2026: The price of the '160-179' option crashed from 52c to 15.5c, because the high posting frequency made this range appear too conservative, prompting a rapid exit of funds. March 31, 2026 - April 1, 2026: The prices of the '120-139' and '140-159' options crashed from 31c and 29c down to 5c and 9.5c respectively, due to the actual first-day tweet data tracking significantly higher than initially expected, making these lower ranges highly unlikely. March 29, 2026 - March 31, 2026: The price of the '160-179' option surged from 28c to a peak of 63.5c, as the monitoring period began and traders observed the White House account maintaining a higher daily posting frequency, shifting the expected center upwards. March 29, 2026 - March 31, 2026: The price of the '180-199' option rose from 18.5c to 39.5c before retreating slightly, reflecting a temporary market repricing towards higher posting frequencies.

April 3, 2026 20:30 - April 4, 2026 05:10, the price of the '<35m' option plummeted from 64c to 33c, while '35-38m' surged from 27c to 44.5c (before settling at 37c), and '38-41m' rose from 7.5c to 17.5c. This was driven by Friday's preliminary box office estimates exceeding expectations, showing 'Project Hail Mary' holding up better than anticipated against stiff competition, leading the market to sharply correct its sub-$35M projections. April 1, 2026 23:00 - April 2, 2026 20:40, the price of the '<35m' option experienced extreme volatility, dropping from 57.5c to 45c before rebounding to 62.5c. The reason is the market was digesting the newly released weekend theater counts, leading to intensified friction between bulls and bears. April 1, 2026 10:05 - April 1, 2026 12:15, the price of the '<35m' option surged from 50.5c to 70c, while the higher box office brackets (35-38m, 38-41m, and >41m) plummeted by roughly 20c to 25c. This sudden shift was driven by updated weekend projections showing that new massive competing releases will heavily cannibalize 'Project Hail Mary's screen count and audience share.

The Bank of Korea's interest rate decision directly impacts the Korean Won (KRW) and the Korean equity market (e.g., EWY ETF). An unexpected hike or cut would cause volatility in the KRW exchange rate and significantly affect the valuation of Korea's export-oriented companies. While it serves as a liquidity bellwether for Asia, its impact on global majors like the S&P 500 is relatively contained.

US GDP data is a key macroeconomic indicator influencing monetary policy expectations (Fed rate cut/hike path). If Q1 2026 data significantly deviates from expectations (e.g., signaling recession or overheating), it will directly impact US Treasury yields (especially the 10Y) and the DXY. For equities, interest-rate-sensitive small caps (Russell 2000) and the S&P 500 will also react significantly. This is a standard macro-trading event.

Apr 2, 2026 - Apr 4, 2026, the price of '2.0–2.5%' fell from 20.6c to 9.15c, likely due to early April macro data releases (such as ISM Manufacturing or early payroll indicators) causing expectations to polarize. Capital flowed out of this moderate middle bracket toward both higher and lower growth projections. Mar 24, 2026 - Mar 25, 2026, the price of '1.5–2.0%' surged from 7c to 17.15c, as some investors revised down their Q1 growth expectations based on new macroeconomic data, prompting a short-term capital rotation into the lower-to-mid growth bracket. Mar 16, 2026 - Mar 21, 2026, the price of '≥3.5%' steadily retraced from 31.5c to 20c (an 11.5c drop), while '2.5–3.0%' rose from 15.3c to 23.35c. The reason is a market correction of the extreme 'overheating/boom' bets for Q1, with capital flowing back to more moderate growth expectations, erasing the premium caused by previous euphoria. Mar 11, 2026 - Mar 14, 2026, the price of '≥3.5%' surged from 16.5c to 29c, while '<1.0%' dropped from 22.1c to 15c. The reason is the rapid dissipation of recession panic, with investors doubling down on strong Q1 US economic growth, completing the right side of a V-shaped reversal. Mar 5, 2026 - Mar 7, 2026, the price of '<1.0%' surged from 14c to 24.1c, while '≥3.5%' plunged from 34.5c to 22.5c, driven by a sudden collapse in the strong economy consensus spooked by weak macro data.

The rules explicitly restrict the resolution to 'English only' TV shows, which diverges from the broad 'global' phrasing in the title. If a non-English show has the highest global views, it will not win. Additionally, there is a risk of data delay resulting in an 'Other' resolution.

2026-04-02 to 2026-04-04, the price of 'Raw: 2026 - March 23, 2026' crashed from 48c to 1.6c due to lower-than-expected viewership and liquidity shifting towards new entries or the 'Other' option. 2026-04-02 to 2026-04-04, the price of 'Something Very Bad Is Going to Happen: Season 1' plummeted from 41c to 7c, likely because it was overtaken by a newly released or unlisted dark horse series. 2026-04-02 to 2026-04-04, the price of 'ONE PIECE: Season 2' dropped from 41c to 3.1c, sharing the same fate as market consensus shifted entirely away from the previously favored top contenders.

Significant divergence exists. Previous analysis based on FlixPatrol data gave 'Something Very Bad Is Going to Happen' an overwhelming >90% chance of winning. However, the prediction market now prices all listed shows combined at less than 25%. This indicates that market participants have priced in recent, potentially non-public viewership intelligence suggesting that an unlisted show ('Other') will take the crown, contrasting with earlier mainstream expectations.