How exactly does Wunderground round or finalize the whole degree Celsius temperatures for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport, and is there any resolution risk if the station's data is delayed or temporarily unavailable on April 12?

AI-powered analysis for: How exactly does Wunderground round or finalize the whole degree Celsius temperatures for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport, and is there any resolution risk if the station's data is delayed or temporarily unavailable on April 12?. Get detailed insights and real-time data on PolyPredict AI.

Based on the latest meteorological forecasts and historical mid-April weather patterns in Jakarta, is the highest temperature on April 12 purely dependent on random daily fluctuations, or are there predictable meteorological trends (like rain probability) guiding the outcome?

AI-powered analysis for: Based on the latest meteorological forecasts and historical mid-April weather patterns in Jakarta, is the highest temperature on April 12 purely dependent on random daily fluctuations, or are there predictable meteorological trends (like rain probability) guiding the outcome?. Get detailed insights and real-time data on PolyPredict AI.

Considering the market's extremely low volume ($286) and the fact that it cannot resolve until all data for April 12 is finalized, is the expected return of betting on a specific temperature range worth the opportunity cost of locking up your capital?

AI-powered analysis for: Considering the market's extremely low volume ($286) and the fact that it cannot resolve until all data for April 12 is finalized, is the expected return of betting on a specific temperature range worth the opportunity cost of locking up your capital?. Get detailed insights and real-time data on PolyPredict AI.

Highest temperature in Jakarta on April 12?

Weather|$29.1k Vol|

1 hrs 34 mins

Highest temperature in Jakarta on April 12? - AI Found +55.9¢ Mispricing

AI Signal Dashboard

Last updated: 04.11 15:07

Top Undervalued

+55.9¢

34°C(No)

+3¢

35°C(Yes)

+0.7¢

36°C(Yes)

Highest temperature in Jakarta on April 12? AI analysis: • +55.9¢ undervalued • Live Prediction Market fair value & mispricing alerts.

Undervalued Options Insights:

According to the latest meteorological forecasts, the expected high in Jakarta (Halim Airport) on Ap...

🔓 Unlock Mispricing Insights (Pro)

All Outcomes

Market Price

AI Fair Value

Value Edge

34°C

YesNo

98.95¢

1.05¢

43¢

57¢

0¢

+55.9¢

35°C

YesNo

0.95¢

99.05¢

4¢

96¢

+3¢

0¢

Expand to view all 4 options

⚠️ Risk Warning: Live data may lag! Prices can shift instantly due to news or low liquidity. Before trading, use AI Chat for [Live Recalculate], [Check Liquidity], [Trollbox Radar], or review [Fair Value Logic] to verify.

Exotics

Predicting the daily highest temperature of a specific city is a common type of short-term data betting in prediction markets (like weather markets on Polymarket). However, the general public rarely thinks about or predicts specific degree outcomes, making it a relatively niche topic.

Movers

April 10, 2026 - April 11, 2026, the price of the '34°C' option surged from 20.5c to 48.5c, while '32°C' plummeted from 42c to 10.5c. This was driven by an upward revision in weather forecast models or real-time station observations, causing funds to quickly shift to higher temperature ranges. April 8, 2026 - April 10, 2026, the prices of the '31°C' and '32°C' options rose from 16.5c and 14.5c to peaks of 28.5c and 42c respectively. This was due to updated weather forecasts initially revising the expected maximum temperature downwards as the forecast date approached. Between 08:58 and 10:03 on April 8, 2026, the price of the '28°C' option plummeted from 13c to 2.95c. As the forecast date approached, the certainty of short-term weather models increased, effectively ruling out the possibility of extreme low temperatures.

Divergence

There is a divergence. Mainstream weather forecasts (like Google and AccuWeather) predict a high of 31-32°C for Jakarta on April 12. However, the Polymarket overwhelmingly favors 34°C and 33°C. This is likely because the actual recorded temperatures at the specified Wunderground station (WIHH) tend to be higher than regional averages (due to urban heat island effects or sensor placement), and the market is pricing in this localized bias.