Based on historical weather data, what has been the historical frequency of the daily highest temperature in Jeddah (King Abdulaziz International Airport) falling into each of the option ranges (e.g., 34°C, 35°C, 36°C or higher) on April 15th over the past 5 years?

AI-powered analysis for: Based on historical weather data, what has been the historical frequency of the daily highest temperature in Jeddah (King Abdulaziz International Airport) falling into each of the option ranges (e.g., 34°C, 35°C, 36°C or higher) on April 15th over the past 5 years?. Get detailed insights and real-time data on PolyPredict AI.

Given the latest meteorological models, is the prediction for the highest temperature in Jeddah on April 15 highly predictable now, or are there volatile weather fronts that could cause unexpected temperature shifts in the final days?

AI-powered analysis for: Given the latest meteorological models, is the prediction for the highest temperature in Jeddah on April 15 highly predictable now, or are there volatile weather fronts that could cause unexpected temperature shifts in the final days?. Get detailed insights and real-time data on PolyPredict AI.

Considering the market resolves based on whole degrees Celsius from Wunderground and ignores later revisions, what is the risk premium associated with potential rounding disputes or measurement glitches at borderline temperatures (e.g., a forecast of 34.5°C)?

AI-powered analysis for: Considering the market resolves based on whole degrees Celsius from Wunderground and ignores later revisions, what is the risk premium associated with potential rounding disputes or measurement glitches at borderline temperatures (e.g., a forecast of 34.5°C)?. Get detailed insights and real-time data on PolyPredict AI.

Highest temperature in Jeddah on April 15?

Weather|$4,768 Vol|

20 hrs 59 mins

Highest temperature in Jeddah on April 15? - AI Found +17¢ Mispricing

AI Signal Dashboard

Last updated: 2 hours ago

Top Undervalued

+17¢

34°C(Yes)

+12¢

36°C or higher(No)

+7¢

33°C(No)

Highest temperature in Jeddah on April 15? AI analysis: • +17¢ undervalued • Live Prediction Market fair value & mispricing alerts.

Undervalued Options Insights:

Based on the market's designated resolution source (Wunderground), the weather forecast for Jeddah o...

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All Outcomes

Market Price

AI Fair Value

Value Edge

34°C

YesNo

33¢

67¢

50¢

+17¢

0¢

36°C or higher

YesNo

22¢

78¢

10¢

90¢

0¢

+12¢

Expand to view all 11 options

⚠️ Risk Warning: Live data may lag! Prices can shift instantly due to news or low liquidity. Before trading, use AI Chat for [Live Recalculate], [Check Liquidity], [Trollbox Radar], or review [Fair Value Logic] to verify.

Exotics

This is a temperature prediction market for a specific city (Jeddah) on a specific date. While weather markets have a niche audience on prediction platforms, ordinary people would rarely think about this question beforehand, making it somewhat novelty and highly specific.

Movers

April 13, 2026 22:33 - April 14, 2026 05:03, the price of the '36°C or higher' option surged from 10.5c to 27c, driven by some forecast models or traders anticipating an extreme upside revision in temperatures as the resolution date approached. April 13, 2026 05:23 - April 13, 2026 06:28, the prices for the 31°C and 32°C options plummeted by over 10c (31°C fell from 19c to 8.5c, 32°C fell from 20.5c to 10c). The reason is that updated weather forecasts indicated higher temperatures (above 34°C) for April 15, shifting market expectations toward hotter options.